The CAC 40 starts sitting in the green

The CAC 40 starts the session in positive territory. The flagship Paris takes Index 0.46% to 3705.79 points. Markets welcome the extension to the head of the Fed Ben Bernanke. In choosing the U.S. Senate is also banking on a continuation of the current monetary policy, marked by very low rates. The news is welcome.

But the extreme volatility of the day calls for caution. Already at 10 minutes of opening the future of Paris showed an increase of 0.61% when they were -1.97% an hour ago … The day in Paris, the meeting was marked by the 'indecision. Opening up, balanced mid-session, then heavy fall at the close (-1.89%) ACC 40 do not know what direction to take. This Friday, the meeting should be similar.The closing in the red on Wall Street Thursday (-1.13%) doing nothing to fix things.

The Asia this morning ruled clearer. In Tokyo, the Nikkei ended in sharp fall of 2.08%. Furthermore, all financial markets in the region have followed the trend.

The markets will remain very nervous before the publication of a series of important statistics on Friday. The U.S. will unveil their highly anticipated first estimate of GDP for the fourth quarter to 14.30. At 15.45, the PMI Region Chigaco for January will be announced. Approximately 10 minutes later fall index of consumer confidence as measured by the University of Michigan (second estimate for January). As for American publications before market, Chevron, Honeywell and Mattel will unveil the fourth quarter.The day before, the number of good publications (Ford, AT & T, Procter, Colgate, etc..) Was used to support an increase in the CAC 40.

Before that, in Europe, markets will learn in 10 hours of the M3 money supply and credit to the private sector in the euro area. At 11 hours, they will know the rate of unemployment in the area and the first estimate of inflation for January.

Telecommunications on the alert

According to the Tribune on Friday, the mobile operators must pay at least 120 million euros for one of the last two blocks of frequencies available yet for the fourth license for 3G mobile freecreditscore . A follow therefore, the reaction of France Telecom, Vivendi and Bouygues Going into battle.Iliad, which has won through its subsidiary Free the fourth license for mobile telephony in December, will be observed.

The bank should also react to the reappointment of Ben Bernanke to head Fed. The Senate of the United States confirmed Thursday its new term as president of the U.S. central bank (Fed) for four years. Highly criticized by politicians for his supposed links too close to Wall Street, Ben Bernanke should ensure the continuity of the current system for rates. The announcement added that Chinese leaders in Davos that offer a monetary policy "more flexible depending on circumstances." The reaction of banking and finance sector is expected: BNP Paribas, Credit Agricole, Societe Generale, Dexia and Axa

JC Decaux on Thursday sales down 11.5% in 2009. This is less than expected.The group plans a return to organic growth in the first quarter.

Areva said Thursday sales rose 5.4% to 8.5 billion euros for 2009 and forecast in 2010 a significant growth of its backlog and its turnover .

Fleury Michon has also published its results yesterday. The group reported an increase of 8.8% of its turnover in the fourth quarter, to 138.1 million euros.

Carbone Lorraine also posted lower sales in the fourth quarter of 2009 but 17% said to have enhanced growth markets like Asia.

Beneteau said Thursday targeting a turnover up 20% in 2010-2011 and an operating margin of more than 9%. For 2009-2010, the group announced that its turnover is expected to grow by 17% to 771 million euros.The group will hold a general meeting this Friday at 14.30.

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"The iPad will boost not only the share price"

Lefigaro.fr / jdf.com – From a financial standpoint, that is the Apple iPad?

Virginia Laz – First, it reinforces the paradigm shift from Apple: the group has grown from a niche policy to a policy of mass with the iPhone. Hence the $ 50 billion in sales, on an annualized basis, which surprised Steve Jobs himself! Then, the results of the first quarter of 2009-2010 show that volume sales of the iPod falling, while sales of computers do not know the same growth as the Iphone. So the iPad is a growth driver for both products. This is not a revolutionary product range. Both the iPod and the iPhone were new engines of growth, as the iPad is a substitute.

What is the point for Apple to launch in early 2010?

We must understand that growth does not draw more American market.This is ripe, people have their Mac, their iPhone, iPod. It should now launch a product to boost envy. Another important element: the Amazon Kindle. It works quite well. The iPad is a way for Apple to remain competitive in this segment because there will be needs in this market. The electronic book will become a reality. More newspapers seek a digital business model. Apple has chosen to launch this iPad, which is actually an iPod Touch with an extra dimension.

Why the interest in exchange for Apple has been moderate on Wall Street yesterday, winning the title by 0.94% closing, when the Nasdaq advanced 0.8%?

The title is up, so this is not a launch failure. However, investors have realized that this was only a growth driver and not a revolution for the brand, so the courses will not explode in the coming days.We can expect a nice way of stabilizing the stock market.

Apple can expect a big performance on images?

The tablet will be sold until March. It is unclear whether it will sell well. I can hardly see the genius in there, I am doubtful. But there is an interesting position on the huge market for netbooks. And people are "wired", which have their iPhone, will be interested because they are accustomed to handling. Moreover, since Apple entered the market for mass consumption, he chose the right price ($ 499) is relatively low. So it can play. The only obstacle is the performance of the iPad: it only handles one application at a time. Those looking for a netbook will be disappointed because the iPad actually a super basic netbook.But ultimately, it can encrypt so interesting for Apple.

What are the prospects of the group including this new product?

I think the iPad would boost figures for Apple later this year. But in parallel, slowing iPod will continue, netbooks will be cannibalized by the iPhone and iPad will falter, as it will be impossible to rebuild a 100% growth in this product, because of market saturation . So we can expect growth, but that is not very important.

Can we expect more launches of this type?

Apple's interest to do so. But according to Steve Jobs himself, is his most impressive. Many say it is the latest innovation from Apple CEO.I also think that there will be improvements on the products but not to launch new concepts in the short term.

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The Paris Bourse widening losses

The fall continues at the Paris Bourse. After opening down 0.73% at 3779.24 points, the CAC 40 plunged more sharply in the red circles in the morning. Around 11.10 pm, the benchmark DAX index lost 1.37% in Paris to 3754.93 points.

And pessmisme wins all European markets.The London Stock Exchange fell 1.03% to 0.91% at 5179 points while in Frankfurt the Dax loose 0.89% to 5618 points.

"The results of U.S. companies in 2009, better than expected, are completely ignored by markets that focus on three issues: Obama and his banking project, the re-appointment of Ben Bernanke to head the Fed and the organization of economic slowdown China by the Beijing authorities, "said Xavier de Villepion, fund manager at Global Equities.

This decrease in the overall rating takes place amid concerns over banks, while in Davos, experts discuss the modalities of regulation put in place in this sector."Investors fear that they reduce their size or they are prohibited from carrying out activities on their own funds," says Alice Lhabouz, manager Turgot Asset Management.

The morale of French is improving but not market

The publication this morning by INSEE for stabilizing the morale of French households had no impact on investors. The moral of households has remained virtually unchanged in January, the indicator is measured taking 1 point to -29 points, sharply up from the lower reaches in late 2008 but still below the average of the last fifteen years.

From the industry side, INSEE also announced that "the balance of opinion on the overall demand in the fourth quarter picked up strongly, thus approaching its long-term average.For the first quarter 2010, demand prospects remain however below the average long-term view of industry expectations.

The corporate failures of August 2009 will, they are known in 12 hours. After Exchange, 18 hours, Pole employment must disclose the number of requests and offers of jobs in December. Internatinal level in any case, the International Labor Office (ILO) has provided figures on the depressing job in the world. "The number of unemployed worldwide reached almost 212 million in 2009 due to an unprecedented increase of 34 million compared to 2007, the eve of the global economic crisis," says the ILO.

In the United States, all are attentive to the conclusions of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Fed that interest rates will at 20:15.Before that, the U.S. will unveil the promises of home sales in December (16 hours) and the weekly oil inventories (16:30) Payday Loan for Bad Credit .

Risk arbitrage STMicroelectronics

As for values, STMicroelectronics reported Tuesday after market loss of $ 70 million in the fourth quarter, or 8 cents per share, against a loss of $ 366 million (42 cents per share) a year earlier. But this figure is below expectations of analysts. In exchange, however, the title is one of only 40 to the ACC receive up even very small: 0.02% to 6.10 euros.

All eyes will also be turned to Apple must introduce a new product on Wednesday the United States. It should be a new eBook reader electronic touch and connectable to the Internet.France Telecom (-1.01% to 16.69 euros) through Orange and Vivendi (-1.13% to 19.32 euros) via SFR should look at the new "toy" of the Apple brand.

Thomson (-1.13% to 1.05 euros) meets on Wednesday a special general meeting to discuss the restructuring of its debt and the adoption of its new name, Technicolor.

Spir Communication (-0.36% to 21.90 euros) on Tuesday reported a further decline in sales in the fourth quarter, down 11.4%.

Rusal, the Russian mining group, is listed first in Paris and Hong Kong. The group was not well received on the Chinese markets. He lost 10% in early trade.Investors have booked him in Paris the same cold reception: the title lost 11.35 euros to 17.65 euros.

Areva (+ 0.03% to 345.85 euros) and GDF Suez (-0.46% to 28.08 euros) would be full discussion for several months to conclude a partnership in nuclear power, confirming a report in Les Echos. Cependat No information has been taken in this regard.

Klepierre (-0.82% to 27.24 Euros) Tuesday announced a turnover in 2009 increased by 22.6% to 246.5 million euros.

AXA (-2.03% to 15.2 euros) recorded an increase of 11% of its turnover in 2009 to 24.5 billion euros.The growth was 14.5% in life insurance.

Inter Parfums (+1.56% at 18.25 euros) for its part, announced a turnover down 6.2% at constant rates for 2009 to 259.2 million euros.

M6 (-0.5% to 19.03 euros) Lafuma (equilibrium) must publish their figures for the fourth quarter after market close.

Eiffage (-1.10% to 39.60 euros) will publish its balance sheet in 2009.

Note that the banking and financials this morning are especially misguided: AXA (-2.35%, second worst performance of the CAC), BNP Paribas (-2.03%), Credit Agricole (-1.73%) and Societe Generale (-1.72%) saddled the index.

The remaining values to follow shortly …

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Cetelem creates an ombudsman

BNP Paribas, Societe Generale, Credit Agricole … banks have several years of mediators, solutions of last resort for customers unhappy or distressed. But, strangely, none of the institutions that specialize in consumer credit does not comply were risky. BNP Personal Finance, known in France under the brand Cetelem, just take the plunge.

"There is a big lack of image of the profession. Our image is very sharp contrast to how we work, "explains Thierry Laborde, deputy director general of BNP Personal Finance has chosen Marie-Pierre de la Gontrie to perform this function. A lawyer by training, vice-president of the Regional Council of Ile-de-France, Councilor of Paris, it is also national secretary of the PS in charge of civil liberties and justice."We chose Marie-Pierre de la Gontrie because we wanted an independent person and we are sure it will be," adds Thierry Laborde.

"The group has taken a very strong commitment, he pledged to follow the advice that I will. The company agreed to expose themselves, to stand under a light outside. It's an interesting move, "said the mediator who has just taken office.

The customer dissatisfied, troubled or having a particular application will turn initially to the service consumer payday loan companies . It receives about 800 applications per month.Only in a second time that the mediator will intervene if no common ground was found.

A record three refused

"The creation of the ombudsman is not a gimmick, it is a substantive approach, tangible proof that we still develop our customer relationships," says Thierry Laborde. A number of consumer credit in Europe, he faces a sharp decline in its market. The group, which currently refuses to apply for credit in three, is determined to remain selective. "Sometimes you say no in the interest of the client. Have a responsible approach to credit is knowing renounce the production of credit too risky for the borrower as the lender, "says Thierry Laborde. To grow, it relies on the pension, savings, credits for e-commerce and products designed for bank and insurance partners.Consumers themselves, the law still waiting on consumer credit which must include review of the wear rate and the revolving frame.

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USA: Banks in full uncertainty

Following the proposals made by Barack Obama in order to limit both the size of banks and their risk-taking, the banking and financial markets have reacted badly. In exchange, the bank shares continued to tumble yesterday began to regard the U.S. markets. Do not panic however, as the project of U.S. President does not imply that the industry feared most: a dismantling of the largest U.S. banks. However, fear of an escalation, particularly during the passage of these proposals to Congress was clear Friday.

Eager to appear aggressive towards large banks unpopular elected officials of both parties could, for example, insist on a return to the previous rules in 1999, prohibiting commercial banks from entering the market trades.This would lead to force a breakdown of major banking groups like Bank of America-Merrill Lynch, Citigroup and JPMorgan Chase.

This is not the will of the White House. But Republican John McCain and his Democratic colleague Maria Cantwell nevertheless, for several days, submitted a proposal to that effect. "It seems that many proposals of President Obama going in the right direction," said former Republican candidate for the presidency. "Let's try to solve problems," commented his hand to his Republican colleague from Arizona, Jon Kyl."Do not seek a scapegoat that diverts attention from the mistakes of this administration," stated the curator.

New Principles

The Democratic chairman of the Committee on Financial Services of the House of Representatives, Barney Frank is aware of the danger of an escalation to develop free business cards . While he endorses the new principles set by Barack Obama, seven months after the introduction of the reform project finance. But he said he is not totally prohibit the "own-account trading 'of the banks.

While banks such as JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs would be proposed by the White House forced to get rid of some of their activities in the capital and to abandon some of their own trading account.But Barney Frank said, "it would be wrong to demand that banks are withdrawing quickly from all hedge funds and private equity funds involved." The influential Democrat feared the consequences of massive sales made in an emergency.

Tim Geithner, Treasury Secretary, has lost influence in the White House in this case. He was dismissed in June, the approach taken today by Barack Obama to reform Wall Street. He feared that it unnecessarily complicates the debate. Before a group of bankers, closed Thursday night, he confirmed his reservations. Geithner seems to feel that the activities listed are not those who most leaden banks.

The immediate fate of the reform is in the Senate. Other more fundamental questions remain to be resolved.Within both parties, Senators remain divided, for example, on the same principle to let the Fed any role in banking regulation.

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Hugo Chavez expropriated a subsidiary of Casino

After the oil, energy, steel and telecommunications, Hugo Chavez continues its process of nationalization of enterprises. The socialist Venezuelan president ordered Sunday the expropriation of the hypermarket chain Franco-Colombian Exito, owned by Casino, which it accuses of having increased its prices for "speculation." Until when will we allow a multinational come to that here? This should go under control of the nation, "Chavez said during his radio program broadcast weekly" Alo Presidente (Hello President).The Venezuelan president had already used this forum a year ago, to threaten international companies, namely Nestle and Parmalat, which he considered responsible for the shortage of milk in his country.

Following the devaluation of the bolivar, the local currency last January 8, Hugo Chavez had threatened that any company would increase its prices by improperly expropriation. The bolivar is trading now at 2.60 Bolivars to the dollar for imports of commodities (health, food, equipment) and 4.30 Bolivars for others (cars, telecommunications, electronics, tobacco, beverages … ).

The Casino Group is present in the Venezuelan market since 2000 through Exito hypermarkets but also Cada supermarkets, leaders in their segment.In total, 60 stores in Venezuela owned by Casino have achieved in 2008 a turnover of 741 million euros, or about 2.6% of total turnover of the group.

The Casino must submit on Monday after-hours trading, its annual sales and one for the fourth quarter of 2009.

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Forecast growth in 2010 doubled in France

The government will almost "double" its growth forecast for 2010 up to now set at 0.75%, said Prime Minister Francois Fillon on Thursday. This revision of economic forecasts will rise to the occasion of the supplementary budget, said the Premier.

"In the beginning of this year's event takes off. I am announcing that we will revise upwards our growth rate during the presentation of the budget law on investment for the future, next week, "said Francois Fillon. "I think we will not be far from doubling our last official forecast, which was 0.75%. The government is coming close to economists' forecasts.Deutsche Bank expects growth of 1.5% in France this year.

"Keep strict state spending"

The Prime Minister also made a sign towards the financial community. He promised that he would present "in the coming weeks our overall strategy of leaving the zone of excessive deficit by 2013, indicating the conference organized deficit late January.

"We will continue to take strict state spending: already in 2009, these costs will ultimately be slightly below the ceiling which had been voted by Parliament," he argues."For 2010 we have also decided that the interest burden of the investment program (large loan) will be offset by an equivalent reduction in state spending."

The rating agencies have repeatedly warned Paris that he must submit a strategy of rapid reversal of deficits and debt.

The Economy Minister Christine Lagarde announced late December that France knew "a slight recovery" and that growth in the fourth quarter 2009 is expected to be slightly above the 0.3% recorded in the third.

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The cold and snow and disrupt the distribution industry

The snow and ice blocking roads and large parts of the French economy. Shipments delayed at stores, industrial production lagged, frozen agricultural products, sites blocked, no area is immune. The lack of salt in some areas may aggravate the situation.

• Transport

"We sold out of salt in Britain. We need between 4,000 and 5,000 tonnes, said yesterday morning the prefecture of C?tes-d'Armor. A freighter was delivered yesterday 400 hundred tons of salt in Saint-Malo. The motorway companies claim to have sufficient stocks of salt, but are not certain of being able to deliver.

The trucks – including those transporting salt – should get up to three prefectural authorities to travel in snowy areas. From his side, Eurostar has restricted the movement of Saturday's train.The main airports remained open, but traffic remains disrupted, with delays and cancellations.

• Agriculture

Agriculture is doubly affected by the weather. The cold wave disrupts production. Leeks, caught in the frozen ground, are difficult to uproot, salads, even in greenhouses, are unusable. Small consolation for the vegetable: the prices of fruits and vegetables are on the upside.

Dairy producers are also victims of bad weather, the milk collection is rendered impossible, especially in Britain. The roads are blocked by snowdrifts. Producers are forced to dump their milk.

• Building

"When temperatures are near zero, it is virtually impossible to sink a concrete" classic ", says one expert.Traditionally, sites are interrupted when temperatures become negative.

This data is taken into account when setting schedules. But this year, the duration of the episode is likely to exceed estimates.

• Distribution

Deliveries are not guaranteed, especially in Britain. For the moment, no shortage is feared, but supply problems are starting to be felt in the spokes.

Fortunately consumers are reluctant to run the stores, despite sales. Declining attendance reaches 60% depending on the charge of a Carrefour in the Toulouse region.

In contrast, the Printemps Haussmann in Paris, he sold a jacket every 7 seconds!

• Industry

Plants PSA Peugeot Citro?n, Sochaux and Mulhouse have stopped production Friday night to Saturday because it was delivered in pieces. Trucks suppliers could not move. This represents a lost production of about 2,000 cars.

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U.S. exchanges to depart downward

Global stock markets agree on Thursday. First this morning, the Asian financial centers were closed, one after the other in red. In Europe, the indices are not better. And the United States, the futures are pointing down also. At the opening, the Dow Jones future cowardly 0.3% as 10,500 points, the future S & P 500 yielded 0.14% at 1135 points and the Nasdaq 0.12% to 2298 points. Yesterday, Wall Street has ended the session on an uncertain note, amid job losses more than expected in December by ADP.

Today, official figures published in Washington state that new entries in unemployment in the United States rose slightly during the week ended January 2 with the deposit of 434,000 benefit claims.This is much less than expected.

The Central Bank of England left rates unchanged.

According to Wendy Liu, an analyst at Royal Bank of Scotland, several indicators suggest that China may soon raise interest rates.

Distributors for

As in Europe, the distribution sector makes news in the United States.

As for values to be followed across the Atlantic on Thursday, Macy's (1.58% to 17.37 dollars) has announced an increase of 1% of store sales and raised its forecast results for the fourth quarter to earnings per share between $ 1.14 and $ 1.18, against 1 to $ 1.05 previously. The action takes more than 3% in pre-open trading.

Always among distributors, but in textiles, Gap (0.48% to 21.14 dollars), he, reported sales up 2% in December.Costco Wholesale (0.23% to 60.14%) has published an increase of its activity around 9% on the month of festivities.

Bank Of America Merrill Lynch (1.46% to 16.63 dollars) has been "upgraded" by Credit Suisse to "outperform", while the aluminum producer Alcoa (-2.36% to 16.57 dollars) saw its recommendation degraded at Citi.

Wall Street opens this year in green

Wall Street started the first meeting of the year on a positive note, while Ben Bernanke and Donald Kohn, respectively president and vice-chairman of the Fed (U.S. central bank), who spoke yesterday, stressed that the rate of interest should remain near zero in the months ahead.

The index futures on Dow Jones are 0.87%, to 10,518.28 points. The Future S & P 500 gained 1.02% at 1126.5 points, and Nasdaq 100 future, less shy, wins 1.37%, to 2300.13 points points.

Earlier this morning, Asian stock markets have evolved piecemeal. But the Nikkei in Tokyo was able to distinguish themselves, rising 1.03%, buoyed by the rebound of Japan Airlines.Manufacturing activity in China continued to rise in December for the 10th consecutive according Index Purchasing Managers (PMI) Chinese official on Friday.

Wednesday Specifically, the ISM will release the same survey the rest of the economy.

During the rest of the week, investors will turn their attention to the minutes of the Fed in December. The debate could be sharp: the report should provide explanations on the choice of means and proposed guidance on the timing of the implementation of drainage of excess liquidity."Considered the first phase of" normalization "of monetary policy, removal of masses of liquidity injected to address the financial crisis will be interpreted as a scout for the first increase in rates," continued strategists.

Will also be peeled, the employment figures in the month of December (Thursday), following the upturn in November.The state's housing market (sales promises Tuesday) and construction costs.

The euro accentuated its gains against the dollar Monday amid European exchanges in a renewed interest in risky investments, while confidence in the strength and sustainability of the economic recovery is enhanced by a good indicator for Europe.

Lower costs at Wal-Mart

The oil companies Chevron (1.89% to 78.45 dollars) and ExxonMobil (1.02% to 68.88 dollars) involved in the rise in the Dow Jones, while a barrel of oil rose from 1 about $ 60 on Monday to 81.46 dollars.

Alcon (-2.64% to $ 160): The Swiss pharmaceutical group Novartis announced this morning have purchased an additional 52% stake in Alcon from food giant Nestle for $ 28.1 billion.

Chesapeake (+5.49% to 27.3 dollars), which was created with the French Total group a joint venture through which Total will contribute to Chesapeake for the acquisition of 25% of the portfolio in the U.S. the Barnett Shale, a $ 800 million to finalize the deal, signed December 30.

Kraft Foods (+0.18% to 27.23 dollars): The giant U.S. food would consider raising the hostile bid it has made since last November 9 to get their hands on Cadbury, the British weekly Britain's Sunday Times.

Wal-Mart (2.12% to 3.86 dollars). The head of Wal-Mart's Eduardo Castro-Wright, has announced its intention to reduce its costs in the Financial Times. The official estimated that the costs could be reduced by 5% to 15% in five years.