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Wall Street supported by the results of Alcoa
The U.S. stock markets are another step forward Tuesday. Following the better than expected results from Alcoa, the New York Stock Exchange, like European stock markets continue their progress. The Dow Jones gains 1% to 10,318 points, the Nasdaq rose 0.90% to 2219 points and the S & P 500 climbed 1.03% to 1090 points. The night before, after long hesitation which direction to take, the New York Stock Exchange finished the session up into smaller, undecided before the start of the season results with the aluminum producer Alcoa. The Dow Jones gleaned 0.18% to 10 216.27 points and the Nasdaq 0.09% at 2 198.36 points.The broader index Standard & Poor's 500 index of leading his side to finish by 0.07% to 1 078.75 points.
On the foreign exchange market, the euro dropped sharply against the dollar Tuesday, weighed down by the lowering of the sovereign rating of Portugal in the ratings agency Moody's, which relaunched the concerns about the fiscal health of the member countries of the euro area .
On the side of macroeconomic indicators, the U.S. Department of Commerce must publish the figures for trade balance in May while the Treasury will unveil the state of the U.S. budget.
Publications for
On the side of values, Alcoa started the ball rolling quarterly results yesterday after the close of the NYSE. The group returned in the green in the second quarter, with net income of $ 136 million, against a loss of $ 454 million a year earlier, and expressed "great prospects".For a year, Alcoa had recorded one quarter in the green, in summer 2009, but the whole of 2009 was marked by a heavy loss to the tune of $ 1.15 billion .
Always on the side of values, the burst of U.S. results will continue this week with the technology companies Google, Advanced Micro Devices or Intel and banks JPMorgan and Bank of America. Citigroup and General Electric will unveil their findings Friday.
Also note, a hedge fund, the fund Cambridge, filed a complaint against Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and ten other banks in the hope of recovering lost $ 1.2 billion in securities backed by mortgages subprime .
The internet group Google on Monday launched a new tool, "App Inventor", which should allow all users to create their own applications
Resumption of hiring on Wall Street
At the spot where the financial crisis began, the recovery is apparent. Wall Street hiring like crazy in anticipation of better days, according to a study published this weekend by the New York Times.
Nearly two years after the fall of Lehman Brothers and plunging into the worst recession the country since the Great Depression, while the U.S. continues to languish with a persistent unemployment rate to 9.5%, the financial heart of New York recovers to beat him.
It has hired 2,000 people since February. A modest number apparently under the rescue plan 700 billion implemented by the government to save the banks, and 28,000 jobs lost on Wall Street since its peak in 2008 when the industry employed 189 000.
If the sector has hit bottom in terms of job five months ago, hiring is divided since.The pace continues to accelerate, and this recovery is even stronger than the one after the stock market crisis of 2001-2003, according to the New York daily.
This improvement reflects the revival of the New York Stock Exchange, which has made 61.4 billion dollars in profits in 2009, a record high. Deutsche Bank has hired 414 people in New York since the beginning of the year, Credit Suisse hired 600 people in the first quarter worldwide, mostly in New York, Goldman Sachs has created 600 jobs in the first quarter in a global the beginning of the year 2000 and JP Morgan.
Return of the lavish bonuses
At the same time, the copious bonus reappear instant credit report. Despite the recent passage of financial reform, Wall Street returned to "business as usual".Richard Stein, president of Sage Global headhunter, says that a dozen golden boys were offered jobs to more than one million dollars annually.
As jobs continue to disappear or progress to sentences in other sectors such as construction (- 22% since June 2008) or manufacturing (- 14%), the reputation of Wall Street is not close to s' improve nationally.
The recovery of the financial New York nevertheless raises some optimism among economists. When Wall Street goes, America goes well. "Wall Street traditionally hired for a takeover, and it was felt that the economy has hit bottom and it is slowly improving," says Rae Rosen cautiously, an economist at the Federal Reserve of New York .
The health of Wall Street is also great news for the city and the state of New York.20% of tax revenues from the state sector, which contributes 12% of the budget of the city. With wages assumed to average 392,000 dollars a year, against 64,000 for the rest of the workforce in New York, the wealth generated on Wall Street will finance a bloated public sector, with hundreds of thousands of employees in administration of the city, in education and in firefighters …
Why BP is its own insurer
BP has already spent more than three billion dollars to repair the damage from the disaster of the Gulf of Mexico. While adding a little more gets heavier every day, analysts argue the most pessimistic estimates of total bill of 100 billion dollars. The amount is even more impressive that BP is not guaranteed.
The tanker has decided there fifteen years to support himself in a reinsurance subsidiary (a "captive") the management of all of its risks. Given its size, BP did not see the benefit of paying premiums to pool their risks in a relatively small market.
Its subsidiary, Jupiter Insurance, may surrender to its parent up to $ 700 million per event. A rather small amount compared to the competition.For example, Total has a coverage of 1.3 billion dollars for its offshore drilling activity, which 250 million are made with the mutual oil, OIL, born in the early 1970s.
"After a well blowout offshore offshore California and the refusal of the insurance market of the time to cover this risk, tankers have decided to create a mutual dedicated to coverage of risks pollution, explains Gérard Naisse, director risk assessment and insurance group To tal. BP has been a member of OIL before withdrawing. "
Rising premiums
The capacity of offshore insurance is divided between the mutual OIL and Lloyds of London, the first global insurance market absolutely free credit score.In 1988, the explosion of a well off Scotland cost the members of Lloyd's 8 billion pounds. For BP, the amount of the final bill will depend on ongoing legal proceedings and from which he will return.
BP is indeed not the only company involved in the operation of wells. And the big oil struggles to court to best allocate the bill with its partners, which are, themselves, insured market.
Before knowing the exact extent of damage, the insurers have preferred to take the lead, and it shows in their prices. "For renewals of July, there are requests for tariff increases of around 25% for the covers of drilling in deep offshore, notes and Gerard Naisse. It remains to see if oil will agree to pay these prices."Meanwhile, the mutual OIL spark a renewed interest from oil that had opted for self-insurance as BP.
The disaster should not have repercussions beyond this niche of the insurance of offshore drilling. "It's a limited market, rather compartmentalized analysis John Money, head of the energy division of Aon. The accident at BP should not have any impact on other branches of industrial risk. "■
"The accident at BP should have no impact on other branches of industrial hazard"
Brussels limits the traders' bonuses
Bonuses for traders and bankers in Europe, accused of encouraging rampant speculation during the crisis, will be capped for the first time from next year, following the final adoption of a text with meaning Wednesday.
Two years after the outbreak of the financial crisis of 2008-2009, part of the United States with the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers, the European Parliament in Strasbourg approved the text, which was the subject of a June 30 Agreement between the elected and the states of the EU.
In 2011, the bonus must not be disproportionate to the fixed salary and cash bonuses will be capped at 30% of the total premium, or 20% on premiums particularly important.
End outlandish bonuses
Much of the bonus will be paid immediately and will not be after a period of at least three years to allow the employer to recover some cases where investment would not work as expected.
Finally, at least 50% of a total bonus will be paid as contingent capital, which can be recalled in case of banking difficulties, so that taxpayers do not end up in the front line when a bank gets into difficulties.
In the case of banks that receive public subsidies, the text also provides that "no variable compensation should be paid the officers of the institution unless it is justified."
"Europe gets the rules of coaching salaries of bankers and traders with the most aggressive in the world," said a French Green MEP, Canfin Pascal, who negotiated the text. "By limiting the proportion of variable pay in total compensation, this text will finally put an end to extravagant bonuses synonymous with extravagant risks," he added.
A text to the liking of the banking sector
"Two years after the outbreak of the global financial crisis, these tough new rules on bonuses will transform the culture of bonuses and incentives to end the excessive risk-taking", claimed that his side the Socialist Arlene McCarthy, parliamentary rapporteur on file at the agreement in principle on June 30
The text is however not to the liking of the banking sector."We believe that the agreement goes too far, because at the international level, there are already some principles" in the form of recommendations that were made including the Financial Stability Board (FSB), had informed the AFP secretary general of the European Banking Federation, Guido Ravoet after the tentative agreement. "We believe that this is not the public authorities to make amounts, percentages," he added, saying that this responsibility should be left to banks.
"If the international level, it does not follow Europe, European banks have a competitive disadvantage," says Guido Ravoet, who believes that "financial centers like New York, Singapore and Hong Kong will benefit."
Ten structural measures to promote access to RSA
Marc-Philippe Daubresse the new Minister of Youth and Active Solidarity, presented Tuesday 10 measures' technical and structural "simplifying and improving the RSA enjoyed by 1.78 million households. The goal? To better inform potential recipients of RSA (base and activity) to accelerate the build-up of these two devices created by Martin Hirsch 13 months ago. "Many individuals do not use the RSA of ignorance, complex procedures or for fear of being thought of welfare," said Marc-Philippe Daubresse justified.
To improve access for audiences to information, the minister will send a letter in September to eight million of housing "simply explaining the scheme and encouraging them to do a simulation" of rights on websites of CNAF or MSA.The application forms for entitlement to the RSA will be simplified by the end of October to make them more understandable. Leaves quarterly reporting resources will be reduced to one page and syringes "on the model of the tax return.
A "checkbook services"
The Minister will also launch in September a committee comprising all stakeholders of the RSA and "to examine the changes made to the mechanism in terms of practices but also the legal" payday loans.A second referee RSA will also be appointed within each agency employment center to link with their counterparts in the general councils to strengthen coordination between the two institutions.
Good practices to facilitate the payment of the allowance of personal re-employment (APRE) – which aims to take over all or part of the costs incurred by a beneficiary when an activity begins or resumes – will be broadcast on the throughout. A "checkbook services" – composed of good standard in exchange for a service – designed to accompany the resumption of employment will be created."The establishment of this checkbook will be appraised in September and proposed gradually, as needed, to departments wishing to use them," said Marc-Philippe Daubresse.
The government also proposes to organize in each department a day devoted to the development of integration pacts "which in particular define the modalities for coordination of actions undertaken by different actors to promote social and professional integration of beneficiaries the RSA. The first day will be held in December 2010.
Nuclear repeated delays to the EPR
The EPR, the flagship of the French nuclear technology, today faces an unprecedented wave of questions. After the failure of tendering Abu Dhabi and pending report Roussely devoted to the articulation of the French industry, design, price and export capacity of this tool crystallize debates . At that point, for some observers, the EPR would already hit the "syndrome Concorde: a true performance machine, but particularly difficult to assemble, expensive and unmarketable.
Provisions repeated Areva's Olkiluoto site have largely supported this suspicion. But, after Finland, behold, the EPR Flamanville, built by EDF, also maintains the possibility of "industrial accident".
Garden Party: caterers minimize cancellations
The garden party at the Elysée has it been canceled too late? The caterers will they be reimbursed? Taxpayers will pay the note they? After the announcement of the cancellation of approvals under the Ministries of Interior, Overseas, in the prefectures and sub-prefectures, these issues are on everyone's lips. Especially since the member Rene Dosière (related PS) spoke for the receipt of an invoice 313 618 2009 euros. The debate, then fed by Ségolène Royal in an interview with the Nouvel Observateur, however, is minimized by the main actors of the case.
"There was no cancellation in the legal sense. These are the tenders that have been canceled. Today, nobody can say 'I lost the case, because no one had been chosen "slice Lars Bernard, vice president of Synhorcat, a leading professional trade."So there is no impact because in this profession, we do not prepare anything in advance. A caterer is not Picard, irritated the union representative.
Same story on the side of the Elysee usual caterers. "We were still at the stage of tendering. We filed our application and we expect the answer. We have therefore incurred no expenses, "said Francois Raynier, owner of upscale catering Raynier Marchetti, who denies the passage strengthened its team of 150 people in anticipation of the Garden Party. "150 is our average size," says he.
"From homemade
The prefecture also announced that the cancellations last minute should incur any costs because the buffets are mostly prepared in-house. "We use the kitchen of the prefecture," says one in Rennes.In the Sarthe, everything is "homemade" due to "credit limit". The few jurisdictions involving caterers explain – as is the case in Mayenne – they were still "at the stage estimates.
In the Alpes-Maritimes, the services of the prefecture are in this case state spending "very minimal" to "a few hundred euros": "We're pooling with the city of Nice and the General Council of Alpes-Maritimes limit spending from outside caterers, "says a spokeswoman.
Flexibility
Even if there had been a contract between two parties, there is no fixed schedule for repayment in the profession, making negotiations on a case by case basis between the provider and client. "It's the law of business but we always find common ground," says Bernard Bras.In case of cancellation, the situation remains manageable, "he assures," It is a profession without visibility. Sometimes some customers confirm the case only 3-4 days before the big day We are accustomed to this kind of situation. "
At the forefront of the controversy, the food critics temper this speech. According to them, traders are well advised not to claim compensation for the expected win lucrative contracts in the future. "It's flattering to prepare the buffet or the Elysee Matignon is a commercial asset, an honor, a good card," says Claude Lebey, editor and author of restaurant guides.
Rebound
The representative of Synhorcat still regrets the loss of activity represented by these cancellations. "We are talking thousands of hours of work.For the Elysee, the decision could also have been taken earlier this year when the budget is fixed ….
For the future, the profession remains optimistic. The idea of a snowball effect of cancellations is scanned. "On the corporate side, which represent nearly 80% of our business, we see a rather significant recovery from last year," says Lars Bernard. "These are not exceptional receptions for when the box is bad, do not 'do too much peter cap'. But when there is a quick turnaround, we must celebrate. This is happening today. " The other big market traders – that of individuals – is also on the mend: "over time, we notice that people continue to celebrate events," notes vice president of Synhorcat. The public sector, the smallest of openings, should be the one to be hit hard.
"End 2008-2009, business has plummeted because of last minute cancellations of contracts. In the worst of the crisis, some professionals have lost 40% activity. 2010 is therefore a year of healing. Regarding cancellations, we are entitled to think that this will not be like that all year, "concludes Lars Bernard.
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With the 5000 guests at the garden party Elysian
CAC40: net expected fall opening
Like its counterparts in the U.S. and Asia, the Paris Bourse is expected to begin sitting down sharply: down 1.95% to 3375 points according to futures contracts of 8:00. In fact, the Dow Jones fell 0.98% to 9774 points, penalized by the numbers of job creation in the private sector. The Nasdaq fell to its share of almost 2%. Today in Paris, and banking stocks should lead the automotive market. The threat of Moody's notes the degrade of Spain also crystallize attention. The U.S. credit rating agency put the sovereign rating of Spain under surveillance. Moody's points to weak growth prospects of its economy.
Moreover, the adoption in the United States by the House of Representatives of the financial sector reform, discussed for months, will attract the attention of investors.The new legislation will include Washington to restructure financial institutions in bankruptcy, for failing to conduct further rescue operations financed by the state. The powers of the Federal Reserve (Fed) are expanded, a monitoring of the sector is expected and will give consumers more protection. Moreover, hedge funds and rating agencies will be subject to more stringent regulations. The text must be approved by the Senate next week before being signed by Barack Obama.
Statistically, the markets will be introduced in France in production prices and imports in the industry at 8.45. In the eurozone, the PMI manufacturing index will be released in 11 hours. Overseas, the jobless claims will be released at 16 hours and the promises of home sales and the ISM index of manufacturing activity.
In terms of companies, EADS shares will be particularly taken this morning. Indeed, the WTO has dealt a setback scathing EU ordering him to remove certain export subsidies provided to Airbus. The Union will appeal the decision of the World. Financial details have not been disclosed. Boeing believes that the pan-European aircraft manufacturer must pay back $ 4 billion of undue subsidies. But the WTO has put forward any figures, it will be difficult to see clearly the consequences of the decision of the international organization.
Moreover, the numbers of registrations in France will be unveiled on Thursday at noon. According to BFM, registrations have fallen by 10% in the month of June In addition, the phasing of the scrappage scheme does not allow a glimpse of the market recovery in the immediate future.Renault would be the big winner in first quarter sales thanks to its built by Dacia Sandero.
Bank stocks should once again hold the attention of investors with a loan of 442 billion euros on Thursday. A year ago, in 1121 established banks in the euro zone had borrowed over 442 billion euros at the ECB at a fixed rate of 1%, a record in the history of European monetary institution on a single transaction.
The Société Générale will be more monitoring than the AMF (AMF), Wednesday imposed a fine of 100,000 euros to Jean-Pierre Mustier, former head of market activities of Societe Generale for failing to initiated. Conversely, Natixis has been exonerated by the AMF following an investigation into his financial disclosure.
Shareholders will also be sensitive to the decision of Saint Gobain to repay 72.1% of the 2009 dividend in shares to allow the group to consolidate its equity by 368 million euros.
In addition, the Sanofi-Aventis could react to the decision of the U.S. Food to MultEQ, an arrhythmia drug cons of the French group on the quarterly list of its audits.
France Telecom will also be under the spotlight. The operator presents its new internal business plan
Out CAC40, Faurecia announced the acquisition of 18.75% of the Chinese automotive Xujang Group, where he became the strategic shareholder.