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Asian stock markets are diving into the red on Tuesday. As in Europe and on Wall Street, investors are still worried by the problems of sovereign debt hitting the euro area and the United States. France is again threatened by Moody's AAA rating, which places her under surveillance increased and Spain is still attacked on the bond markets, despite the political transition of the weekend.
The disappointment is great after the "super-committee" responsible for the debt of the United States, which announced Monday not to have reached an agreement between left and right. The twelve members of the joint committee were responsible for the deficit of 1200 billion and had until midnight Wednesday to address their recommendations. President Barack Obama assured that the United States were not at risk of default.He said he was determined to keep the pressure on elected officials and threatened to veto any attempt by Congress to mitigate the budget cuts that are now automatically take effect.
Standard & Poor's and Moody's reported that U.S. credit rating would not be affected by the failure of these discussions. But Fitch said it would take by the end of a decision on the consequences of the failure of the "super-committee".
"Big disappointment" expected by Japan
In Japan, the new lock worried. Japanese Minister of Finance, Jun Azumi, fears a "big disappointment" of markets. The negative effect is felt at least on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, which leaves 0.40% to 8314.74 points at closing.
Loss history published Monday by the German manufacturer Q-Cells solar panels, receivership last week to the French pioneer Photowatt, bankruptcy of the American Solyndra, despite a half-billion dollars in loans guaranteed by the Obama administration … The horizon of the PV industry seems to have dimmed in recent weeks.
Last date black cloud, so the results of Q-Cells, which Monday posted a quarterly net loss of EUR 57 million, a quarter of sales, itself down 43% year on year cash advance to savings account. The bad news have plunged the action Q-Cells up to 30% on Monday in Frankfurt. The German company cited "market environment significantly more difficult than expected."
Ghosn's efforts to regain Renault
Came one week in Brazil to announce the expansion of the Renault plant in Curitiba (Parana State) and the creation of a site for Nissan in Resende (Rio de Janeiro), Carlos Ghosn, CEO of both companies, was welcomed as a head of state in his homeland.
Last Saturday, the President of the Republic, Dilma Roussef movement shifted to receive it. "We are very proud of you," she would have slipped to the one she considers the child in the country. He also had dinner in an atmosphere of "friendship" with the two governors of states where the group operates, before signing the agreements in their luxurious palaces. Finally, it was applauded by the workers of Curitiba, massed on the lawn of a sunny site, which he wrote a speech.
Relaxed as ever, we feel in his element."It's good to be true that in Brazil," said the globe-trotting owner, who was about to visit this weekend to his mother and two sisters, who live on site. For him, this country is a paradise full development. Here, as in China, "we prefer to see what will, while in Europe the focus is on what's wrong."
Yet it is this gloomy old continent – particularly in France, where he is idolized as far from Japan, China or Brazil – that he decided to spend more time, "pulling consequences "of the false espionage earlier this year.
For many, this fiasco was proof that the owner of two companies whose headquarters are located 10,000 kilometers away, was disconnected from the reality of Renault.Many employees, union representatives, but also members of the government, which accused him of favor at the expense of Renault Nissan, having sought to speed up the relocation.
"Today I am more present in France," he says, whereas previously the Hexagon was only 35% to 40% of its schedule. Nissan is going at full speed in China or the United States, Carlos Ghosn promised then to look at the head of Renault, less efficient no fax pay day loans. Japanese sales are expected to double according to him between 1999 and 2011, reaching 4.8 million units, while those of Renault have increased marginally over the period (2.6 million last year). Goal back on track in Europe, where sales of the group fell by 10.6% over the first 8 months of the year.But also boost the image of a registered design banal and lacking in high-end models.
One patron
"Pragmatic," Carlos Ghosn admits he made mistakes. "I was probably too delegate and I paid the consequences," he admits. "One of the problems at Renault, is that people felt that there were two bosses. There must be only one boss, and that's me, "he insists. As a result, the CEO, for whom the "management of Renault changed," "regained control of a number of operations" as the high end, human resources, communication or the ethics committee . He also concedes that the crisis has had under "to clean up relations" with the state (which holds 15% stake) and make the company "more mature".
Be present at the headquarters of Renault and be first in line, that is precisely what the CEO had promised, after the reorganization of the group in late May, which had weighed heavily on the government. Paying for his handling of the "case", Patrick Pelata, Renault's number two, had been set aside in favor of Carlos Tavares.
Mechanically, the scope of responsibility of Carlos Tavares, his number two has narrowed compared to that of his predecessor. "It has fewer powers," but of "autonomy in what remains," said Carlos Ghosn.
The question is whether the iconic CEO will honor its commitments over time. One thing is certain, it is restore the image of the diamond brand in Europe find it in France a strong credit started this winter.
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Wall Street should once again move
The U.S. stock market should open up again on Tuesday. Future of Standard & Poor's 500 and Nasdaq 100 advance at 1.35% to 1174 points and 2255 points to 1.33%. Monday, Wall Street had already finished in the green.
Since the beginning of the week, investors in Europe and the United States, is won over by a wave of optimism about the outcome of the crisis of sovereign debt. "The beginning of the week is placed under the sign of hope. Investors have decided to give credit to European policy makers and international willingness to find ways to resolve the sovereign debt crisis, "economists observe in Paris broker Aurel BGC. There are "high hopes that one is engaged in the right direction towards resolving the debt crisis in Europe," say experts on their side LBBW.Other analysts, however, want to caution. The strategists of the Crédit Mutuel-CIC believe that "the improvement should not last as rumors seem exaggerated. The expansion of EFSF does not solve the structural problems in Europe, while the challenge is there. "
The spokesperson of European Commissioner for Economic Affairs Olli Rehn, Europe is considering strengthening the capacity of the European support fund for countries in trouble (EFSF). Rumors press also reported a proposed quadrupling of the Fund's lending capacity to 2000 billion euros. In turn, an official of the ECB, the Austrian Ewald Nowotny, did not rule out declines in interest rates in the euro area.But soon, the German Finance Minister Wolfgang Schäuble assured that Europeans had "no intention of bailing out" the EFSF.
Political leaders are still clearly divided on the responses to the debt crisis, while discussions on the payment of a new international loan to Greece, vital to enable it to avoid bankruptcy dragged on. At the same time discontent rises and Athens was again paralyzed Tuesday by a wave of strikes in public transport.
The euro relapse
The euro was weakening on Tuesday to below $ 1.35. Mileu in the day, the euro stood at 1.3496 dollars, against 1.3523 dollars late Monday.He had fallen in session Monday to 1.3363 dollars, its lowest level since mid-January, prior to recover.
As for commodities, gold has recovered slightly this morning at 1640 dollars an ounce after declining over the last three sessions. Oil falls sharply higher this morning in Asian trade after having dropped more than eight dollars last week. A barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in November gained 1 high quality business cards.15 dollars to 81.39 dollars in early trade, having closed up 39 cents Monday.A barrel of Brent North Sea crude for November delivery, which ended virtually unchanged Monday (-3 cents), advances, meanwhile, 95 cents to 104.89 dollars.
On the macroeconomic front, investors will monitor the housing price index calculated by S & P / Case-Shiller in the 20 largest cities in the United States, the index of consumer confidence and the Conference Board index of manufacturing activity in the Richmond Fed.
As for values to be followed on Tuesday:
As for values, Goldman Sachs will intensify its restructuring efforts, after a disastrous third quarter, which could be one of the worst ever recorded by the U.S. investment bank since it went public 12 years ago, says the New York Times.Goldman Sachs will be 1.2 billion to $ 1.45 billion savings goal of operation by mid-2012, the paper said on its website, citing unnamed people familiar with the matter.
The mysterious tablet that the online retailer Amazon.com Wednesday could present promises to be a star among the products' high-tech "of the season, even though the Seattle group has not yet revealed existence.Amazon Wednesday invited reporters to an event which he kept secret the subject, organized in a video production and music in Hell's Kitchen neighborhood of Manhattan.
Motorola Solutions is within the scope of an investigation by U.S. authorities, according to the Wall Street Journal, concerning a possible corruption in the course of its business in Europe.
The Anglo-Australian mining giant Rio Tinto, listed on Wall Street, announced Tuesday it had increased to 49% its stake in Canada's Ivanhoe Mines, the upper limit is included in an agreement between the two groups that intend to operate an entire mine copper and gold in Mongolia.
ONEOK announced expect to achieve a net profit of between 355 and 400 million in 2012, against 325 to 345,000,000 dollars in 2011.For its part, ONEOK Partners expects a net 740 to $ 800 million for the year 2012 against 630 to 660,000,000 for the year 2011, while natural gas volumes processed are expected to increase more than expected.
Also note, Standard & Poor's is within the scope of an investigation by the SEC, the U.S. stock market regulator, who questioned its rating of an issue of structured securities in 2007 just before the market collapse real estate, announced its parent company McGraw-Hill.
Bid rates on bank books
The French, who have cash to invest are spoiled for choice. Since early September, the war of books has flared up: banks, especially those dedicated to the Internet, engaging in a battle of promotional offers to attract home savers' deposits. They need the cash to finance themselves with it.
Some institutions are content, as in the past, offering a promotional rate of 4.5% or 5% (3 to 3.3% after tax) for two or three months for the opening of a new booklet . The good thing is short lived as the remuneration then falls to 1.75% or 2%. This string – display a high rate for a short time – is well known to subscribers.
Other institutions so attempting to stand out by offering lower rates, but longer guaranteed.This is for example the strategy of Cortal Consors (BNP Paribas), initiated by the summer. The property offers on new books 3.25% gross, but for 12 months (up to fifty million). Another subsidiary of BNP Paribas, Cetelem, also puts forward a savings account strictly identical conditions.
Rates guaranteed for one year
A fixed fee for one year is attractive for investors tired of "doing bounty hunting", that is to say, to transfer their capital from one institution to another and from one book to another, to take advantage of new offers short term personal loans. Other institutions are on the same register, even more cleverly. BforBank, a subsidiary of Credit Agricole, has revived some of its customers by promising 3% guaranteed, again for a year.But unlike other promotional offers reserved for the opening of a new book (or new installments of a book already exists), BforBank promises to serve this rate on any outstanding, that is to say also to amounts already invested in the booklet provided only "activate" the promotional offer.
That all customers BforBank not rejoice too quickly! The promotion was targeted: only those whose libretto is not too BforBank garni – and do not cost too much in interest to the bank – received the proposal. BforBank wishes to draw the subscriptions, but not at any price ….
The war is won booklets also in the field of customer segmentation. Like passengers on a plane, none of which paid for his ticket at the same price, investors who subscribed have the same book – a few months later – at all the same pay.Those who wanted to transfer their money have sometimes been offered to extend more interesting than those who leave the bed.
And those who have transferred their capital elsewhere without closing the book are offered more attractive rates for recharging …
Park the car with his phone
This is one of the innovations that made the most about her at the Frankfurt Motor Show. The French supplier Valeo has developed a system, called Park4U Remote, which allows to park your car while remaining outside it, with his mobile phone.
The application detects the parking spot, then maneuver the car away, receding, Braque, braking, forward and contrebraque any one until it is completely parked. The Utisa has to keep its finger on the smartphone to make the whole operation.
To stop everything, just lift the index. Interest: fit into small spaces on the street or parking lot, between two poles, without damaging the vehicle. To leave, you can also get the car out of the slot with his phone, if the door opening is made difficult by the narrowness of the place.No release date is currently indicated by Valeo, which currently markets a parking assist system semi-automatically.
One thing is certain, if this product becomes public, be flying his phone will become more annoying than ever.
Automotive: car pulls herself
Player Figaro BFM
Euro: Sarkozy is expected to speak this afternoon
Nicolas Sarkozy could be expressed in the late afternoon, after his meeting with Herman Von Rompuy, confirmed Tuesday morning in his entourage Figaro. It would only be a few minutes of intervention, on the steps of the Elysée with President of the European Council. "Nothing is confirmed yet," says one, however. "It will also depend on market developments in the day," says an adviser.
While a government source announced the "initiatives" to support Franco-German Greece to face serious funding problems of its debt, the Elysee Palace denied."There will be no Franco-German initiative today," said the president requested by the AFP, saying also that no decision had been made about a possible speaking of Nicolas Sarkozy to Following his meeting scheduled at 17 am (Paris time) with the President of the European Union Herman Van Rompuy.
The Elysee was also opposed to a very firm denied rumors that a scenario out of Greece to the euro would be discussed at the Elysee. We emphasized above all the character "drama" of this to the Greeks themselves, but also for the euro area.
"To ensure compliance with the commitments of the July 21"
"This is not a desirable solution, we do nothing to make it desirable," confided a senior official Monday night Elysian following folder every minute."We try to be consistent: we are about to present to Parliament the rescue plan that was decided on 21 July in Brussels. We do not prepare in the wings is another scenario that would offer the exact opposite, "he continues.
The state still remains fragile in which finances are Greek, "We try to convince them to do everything to achieve compliance with the commitments of July 21," says this source. Tuesday evening, the Head of State may wish to print this message in a clear and solemn.
Canal + TV enters the plain by buying Direct 8
Canal + has crossed the Rubicon and wants to become a major player in free television in France. Thursday, the group led by Bertrand Meheut announced the takeover of Direct 8 Direct and Star, two DTT channels free of the Bolloré Group. Initially, Canal + buys 60% stake in the TV division of Bolloré Media and awards it operational control. In three years, he may redeem the remaining shares. The operation was buckled in 48 hours! "I know and appreciate for a long time the leaders of Vivendi, Jean-René Fourtou and Jean-Bernard Levy, and Bertrand Meheut, CEO of Canal +.I am very pleased to be associated with such a good team, "said Vincent Bollore, Bollore Group CEO.
Gone are the days when the giants were the audiovisual respect the Yalta on TV: TF1 and M6 to the largest piece of the free TV, Canal + in the world of pay-TV and its 11 million subscribers. In France, the two families have substantially the same size: just over 3 billion euros for free TV financed by advertising and about $ 4 billion to pay.
After struggling for years to ensure a near-monopoly on pay TV (up to buy its rival TPS), it will not take long to Bertrand Meheut to tumble into force on the television commercial. Now a subsidiary of Vivendi will have three frequencies of DTT: iTV, Direct 8 Direct and Star.Be as much as TF1 and M6 more than the group which, in addition to the namesake chain, has only W9. For Bertrand Meheut, this operation meets the logic of "creating strong audiovisual groups able to defend themselves both on the live broadcast on the non-linear over the Internet. This will increase the value of our programs will experience an exclusive first exhibition in pay and free TV in a second. And pay-TV business is our heart. "
465 million for Bolloré
If this sounds like a declaration of war groups TF1 and M6, the marginalized, at the same time, the few independent French media landscape, and BFMTV NRJ12. With the launch of DTT in 2005, the Higher Audiovisual Council wanted to bring new players in the PAF: Bolloré Group AB, NextRadioTV and NRJ Group.But since the first two have sold their frequencies. Claude Berda NT1 and TMC has given its ally TF1. Bolloré sells Direct 8 Direct and Star in Canal +. The two remaining independent are the big losers. For its part, Bolloré Media made a good deal. Since 2005 he has invested hundreds of millions of euros in Live 8 and 70 million euros for the acquisition of Direct Star. Five years later, it enhances its flagship TV to 465 million euros! The channel Direct 8, mini-general, would be about 350 to 400 million euros. Direct Star would be a hundred. "We have successfully completed the first phase by creating Direct 8 from scratch and placing it among the first of TNT.But for the second phase, which will see all the media groups to engage in significant competition on the content, we decided to partner with a large broadcasting group, "said Vincent Bolloré. The myth of an audiovisual largely open to competition turns into a clash between three private-TF1, M6 and Canal + – and a public group, France Televisions. With their financial firepower, the first three will fight a war without thank you for the acquisition of content.
Add to this a sharp competition for advertising. Canal + now has a board weighing 400 million. Bertrand Meheut is trying to calm things down by stating that "this partnership does not change the industrial landscape, since we are in the continuity of existing channels. We are small in this market for free TV. "He recalled that "TF1 and M6 are, conversely, present in the pay television." It is unclear whether this is enough to calm things down, because, at the same time, the president of Canal Plus says it does not want to "abandon its free channel Canal 20" under channel offset. In this case, Canal +, which exceeds the number of authorized frequencies (maximum seven), should sell two. "It will sell certain frequencies paying," he says. The chain may be referred planet, present on the DTT.
This comes on the eve of the presentation of the report of Michel Boyon, president of CSA, the future of DTT. It is now a fait accompli. The media landscape is recomposed without him. If Canal + bought Direct 8 Direct and Star, the future of DTT is widely drawn.The TF1 group is in a strong position to demand not only the transfer of its news channel LCI of DTT (where it is marginalized) to DTT. But Nonce Paolini, CEO of TF1, claim compensation as a string, which should be TV Breizh. For its part, the M6, if he will not be weakened, will support its claims. He also wants to transform its pay DTT channel Paris Première chain free. And he also wants compensatory chain among its two projects WikiTV M6 family.
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Irene would cost tens of billions
The bill may be steep Irene. The governor of New Jersey, Chris Christie, has evaluated this Sunday on the NBC television network damage caused by Hurricane "billions of dollars, even tens of billions of dollars." According to an alternative estimate delivered by the consulting firm Kinetic analysis, the hardware cost of this storm is expected to rise between five and ten billion dollars, most likely around seven billion. Just to the North Carolina and South Carolina, two states already affected by the hurricane, the amount of losses expected to reach between 200 and 400 million.
Above all, this damage should be responsible in large measure to the State, businesses and individuals, when insurers should take on a lesser share of the burden, said Chuck Watson, one of the leaders of Kinetic Analysis told AFP."Most of the structural damage will be caused by the rising water because of rain and coastal flooding. Yet this type of damage is not covered by private insurance, "said he.
The same applies to losses caused by the cessation of activity in areas relevant to the coast, or the cost incurred by the evacuation of hundreds of thousands of people payday loan lenders. Thus, New York, usually hectic, has been transformed this weekend into a ghost town, most shops have closed up shop and residents have been urged to stay home. But there is no damage reported, insurance should not pay a dime to compensate their members.
Insurers expected to be down
Insurance companies, however, should see their value fall Monday at the New York Stock Exchange.On Friday, insurers Allstate and Travelers had fallen to the lowest levels for two years, investors anticipate the costs incurred by the hurricane for those companies.
The amount of the invoice should still be less than initially estimated. Thus, Kinetic analysis was planned on Friday that a tornado could generate over 12 billion euros of damage if it hit New York at the height of its intensity. Finally, she was demoted to a mere tropical storm, with winds still 100 km / hour. These amounts are in any case of a different order of magnitude as the colossal damage of about $ 100 billion registered during Hurricane Katrina in 2005.
The ECB tries to curb the contagion in the euro zone
The European Central Bank (ECB), despite her savior. The guardian of the euro is forced on Monday to intervene in markets to prevent contagion from the crisis of debt to two heavyweights in the euro area as are Spain and Italy. As she had said on Sunday, she started to redeem debt securities of these countries at the opening of stock exchanges in order to lower interest rates.
The effect of this action, has long been demanded by the markets was immediate. At 9:15, interest rates fell back to 10 years at 5.417% against 6.189% Friday. The cost of credit to ten years on the Spanish debt followed the same path, to 5.285% against 6.271% at the end of last week. The agents of the ECB "operations are 20 to 25 million euros over the entire market.We expect that interventions will reach one billion in the order of the day, "said one trader.
For now, the ECB does not need to intervene heavily to turn the trend. "The rates were very high last week, there was little trading volume. So when the ECB came into action, it does not take much to return to the market, "said Cyril Beuzit. "If this continues, the ECB would have to increase the volume of its purchases until the States of the euro take over, to the best end of September."
If the ECB has reluctantly restarted its buyback program, it is against the involvement of European capitals to accelerate the implementation of the reform adopted at the last summit in late July fast cash loans. Friday night, Rome decided to accelerate its austerity plan.The ECB have also sent a list of conditions to the Italian government to help him. Sunday, Paris and Berlin and had to reaffirm that States would take over from the ECB by the end of September. At that time, the new version of the European financial stability to intervene in the markets, should be passed by national parliaments. In the best case.
Divisions within the ECB?
"Certainly, the markets will test the will by then the ECB warns Cyril Beuzit. We think it may surprise by intervening massively, even if the tools are not cut out for that. "Still, the central bank is torn internally. Thursday, representatives of the Netherlands, Finland, Austria and Germany at the ECB executive board voted against any intervention in favor of Italy and Spain.
Sunday's decision has probably not been taken unanimously, advance Gilles Moec economist at Deutsche Bank: "It depends how far the opponents of the ECB are ready to go. If they are ready to submit their resignation in the balance, and only in this case, the lack of unanimity may be a problem. "Considered a risk, however small the economist.
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