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The fall of a six-story elevator building in a housing project in Paris on October 27, revived the debate on the safety of these facilities. Work had been made last month on this lift-de-registered by the company Schindler Somatem, responsible for maintenance. Tenants of the building where the accident occurred will file a complaint against Paris-Habitat, owner, announced their partnership "Tenants angry." The social landlord, he has filed a complaint against X. An investigation is underway to determine if it was a defective part of the manufacturer or poor maintenance. Contacted by The Figaro.fr Schindler declined to comment.
France has 520,000 elevators, accessible to 482,500 people. National Park is the most dilapidated of Europe, half of the devices with more than 25 years and a quarter over 40 years, according to the Federation of elevators online cash advance.He points to the installation of variable frequency (a braking system is turned off) on all lifts while he believes that technology is only useful for devices used extensively, is to say in very high buildings or offices, or 20% of the housing.
• New constraints maintenance and troubleshooting
Paul Philippot, managing director of the National Union of property (UNPI), professionals have "staked everything on the renovation, more lucrative than the interview." Robien law has yet mandated a visit technicians every six weeks. "But the elevator companies are understaffed to meet this obligation," said Bruno Dhont.
To a "big bang" tax after the presidential
The tax is sure to be one of the main themes of the campaign. First question of democracy: the French have always been upset with the tax. This is not new. But now they no longer understand the meaning. Taxpayers do not know why they are not taxed when the money from. They wonder if they are "just" dizzy and taxed at the constant changes in the foot of the state, making our tax system totally unpredictable, unreadable, and therefore ineffective.How many French know they will pay for the first time this year a portion of their housing tax for inter-municipal, that is to say, of municipalities, they know nothing? How many business owners know exactly how much they will pay in lieu of professional lataxe, removed last year in favor of two new taxes? Reconcile with the citizen taxpayer is more than ever an imperative, when the both of them were again tempted to exile.
Question of economic efficiency then. One can only be struck by the complete lack of fiscal strategy of the Finance Bill 2012, currently under discussion in Parliament. In the eyes of officials of Bercy, the only way to increase tax revenues is to remove the niches or benefits made in the tax calculation.More than half of the 11 billion euros in additional savings are announced in late August and the removal of some old tax benefits. Now that the idea has been fueled largely with public opinion than the 104 billion euros in lost revenue for state coffers that are the fiscal and social niches, half are "very effective" or "inefficient", this solution is actually the easiest to implement. But it can serve as long-term program. As niches, whose real term is "tax expenditure", are as fundamental to encourage private investors to replace the public investor.No niches, no investment in France, which already sorely lacking.
Reform the income tax
The tax reform in 2012 will revolve around three major issues: how to bring balance between taxation of wealth and income? How to get to his income tax progressivity? What future for VAT?
To these questions, the UMP and the PS will provide different answers, of course. But the rules are the same for all. France can no longer raise taxes. The tax ratio-mandatory, ie the tax burden, amounted to 44.5% of GDP, close to its historical levels (44.9% in 1999). But conversely, the disastrous situation of public finances prevents them down.The "big bang" will be announced fiscal totally bounded in the universe: it will be a rebalancing in depth, but revenue constant.
Some lines of force emerge. The income tax in its present form, is on trial. Two transformations are emerging: reconsider its progressivity, that is to say goodbye slices. Or merge it with the CSG, an idea that has the favor of PS and a large part of the UMP. This merger should not be mistaken, broaden the tax base, will make the income tax fairer, but will also be more painful for the average incomes.
Similarly, it will not escape a VAT reform. Since 2008, 15 European countries have found, for fiscal consolidation, so much so that the rate of 19.6% French is now among the lowest in the euro area, 1 point lower than the average.Especially down at the other, the government chose to lower it for some sectors (food, building …).
Finally, there is the balance between taxation of income and wealth. The most sensitive issue. Recently, in Le Figaro, the budget minister Valérie Pécresse explained: "By raising taxes on savings, we compare the taxation of wealth from that of labor income." The road has only begun. One can imagine what awaits holders of wealth in the coming years …
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Thousands of "outraged" parade, events in Rome
• Banks attacked in Rome
Tens of thousands of demonstrators, inspired by the "outrage" of Wall Street and Spain, marched on Saturday in Rome, the city had been cordoned off by police. "One solution, the Revolution!", "We are not property in the hands of bankers," could be read on the signs of the protesters.
In Rome, two cars were torched. Photo credits: ALBERTO PIZZOLI / AFP
A gold coin for sale 200 euros
She has it all in these turbulent times. The piece that sells for 200 euros on Monday, the Monnaie de Paris is solid gold. A metal sought by individuals particularly since the financial turmoil. The 50,000 copies (999 per thousand of gold) are sold on the website of the Paris Mint www.monnaiedeparis.fr at its headquarters in Paris and in 1000 post offices.
For collectors, it is a copy of most in the series of Euro regions (silver coins with a face containing the names of 27 French regions). "This piece represents a safe investment, since it still be worth at least face value," it says to the Monnaie de Paris. An argument that has more weight than other investments are sad mine.
When she threw parts of the regions 10 euros in cash (one model per region), the Monnaie de Paris had found at his door in the morning thousands of individuals. And the quota available on the Internet had passed in less than a morning on a one-piece per second. Fans will do so many this time? Gold is the ultimate safe haven, but today it is no longer 10, but 200 euros to be paid to pocket a new gold coin. Verdict noon.
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Industry and households demoralized
Optimism has no place in French industry and households. According to the monthly survey published Friday by INSEE, the synthetic indicator of business climate in manufacturing industry fell by six points to 99 points in September, passing below the 100 that corresponds to the average long period for this indicator. "He finds his level of August 2010," INSEE said in a statement.
As for the index of business climate as a whole (including services, construction, wholesale and retail trade), it falls along eight points to 97 points. Clearly, "the economic climate deteriorated in all sectors except construction," says INSEE.
In detail, the entrepreneurs of the manufacturing industry believe that their past activity slows again.They are particularly concerned to see their order books, global and foreign, are down. The situation is similar in both food processing, electrical, electronic and computer in the car, where the activity is expected in sharp decline in the coming months.
Confirming this gloom, the turning point indicator of INSEE has clearly shifted in the red. If it is not necessarily synonymous with recession, "the index is in all cases the echo of a deceleration of growth in all sectors," explains Sandrine Duchêne, head of the department of economic INSEE.
The financial situation of the French deteriorates
Even pessimistic side of French households, whose confidence index has lost five points to 80 points in September, according to data from the institute poor credit personal loans. This is its lowest level since February 2009.This indicator had a slight gain in July (three points) after months of stability. But in September, households appear significantly higher than in July to anticipate an increase in unemployment (23 points).
To this must be added the concerns of their income: between July and September, the opinion of households on their personal financial situation has deteriorated further, the balance corresponding dropping six points. Thus, the French are less numerous than in July to consider appropriate to make major purchases (-5 points). About their nest egg, they also feel that the time is not conducive to spare, the balance being lost 8 points in its long-term average.
According to Sandrine Duchêne, growth forecasts of 0.5% set in June for the third and fourth quarters will soon be downgraded."Since mid-2009, we tablions on a scenario of sluggish growth," said she. But the accumulation of adverse factors, "as the sovereign debt crisis in Europe, or concerns about the economic situation in the United States and China," cloud the prospects for a real recovery in the Hexagon.
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Wall Street tumbles at the end
New eventful session Thursday on Wall Street. The indices, which have continued to increase their losses after the closing sharply down European markets fall at the close. The Dow Jones ended in a loss of 3.51% to 10,733.83 points, the Nasdaq lost 3.25% to 2455.67 points and the S & P drops 3.19% to 1129.56 points.
Like European and Asian stock markets, Wall Street is not immune to the anxiety surrounding the health of the global economy. This pessimism has been going on yesterday and pessimistic of the U.S. central bank. The Fed has held that the U.S. economic recovery was "slow" and threatened by "high risk". The central bank, in this context, announced an operation to extend the maturity of the assets it holds up to 400 billion dollars by June 2012."You can interpret this decision as the Fed's will not to launch three quantitative easing (monetary easing to boost the U.S. economy, ed) immediately, says Arnaud Poutiers, executive vice president of IG Markets.
The general concern about global growth has been reinforced by concerns about the economic situation in China. Manufacturing activity in the country has deteriorated in September, reaching its lowest level in two months, according to preliminary PMI bank HSBC said on Thursday. PMI Purchasing Managers calculated by HSBC in September reached 49.4 against 49.9 in August, knowing that a figure below 50 means contraction.
In France, the growth of private sector activity in September fell to its lowest level since the beginning of the recovery in 2009, while in Germany, the composite PMI, which includes industry and services, has emerged to 50.8, its lowest level since July 2009 against 51.3 in August.
The U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner also said Thursday in Washington that the slow economic growth was a challenge "greater" than the debt and that the governments around the world should give priority to support growth .
On the issue of European debt disturbing fact, little progress.Greece has just announced yesterday it will launch new austerity measures to get the funding it needs Troika in October to avoid bankruptcy.
Oil tumbles 6%
The announcement of a rise in weekly jobless across the Atlantic is not reassuring. According to the U.S. Department of Labor, 423,000 people registered as unemployed during the week of September 10 to 17. The consensus of analysts expected 420,000 new applications for unemployment benefits.
The increase in the composite index of U.S. economic indicators slowed in August, which is a sign of increased risks to growth, said Friday the Conference Board.This index, which includes ten indicators supposed to give an idea of the changing conditions in the United States within six months, rose 0.3% compared to July, where he won 0.6% said the institute of private economy.
On the front real estate, the price of houses increased by 0.8% in July compared to June, according to data released by the Federal Housing Finance Agency. In one year, it appears down 3.3%.
In this context, oil has lost more than 6% of its value in New York, amid sharp strengthening of the dollar, within the scope of pessimistic compiled by the Central Bank of the United States, the leading consumer of gold black.
On the currency markets, the euro is trading at 1.3476 dollar.The oil, he lost more than 6% of its value in New York, against the backdrop of a sharp strengthening of the dollar, within the scope of pessimistic compiled by the Central Bank of the United States, the leading consumer of black gold. On the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of "light sweet crude" for November delivery ended at 80.51 dollars, down 5.41 dollars (6.3%) compared to the previous day.
Values to follow
On the corporate side, Bank of America (-5.02% to 6.06 dollars), Wells Fargo (-2.15% to 23.17 dollars) and Citigroup (-6.23% to 23.93 dollars) suffer further degradation of their notes by Moody's. The agency that the state may fly to their rescue.
Fedex (-8.17% to 66.58 dollars) has reported an EPS according to the consensus of $ 1.46 in the first quarter, a turnover of 10.52 billion dollars.
United Technologies (-8.75% to 68.32 dollars) will buy the equipment manufacturer Goodrich Aviation (10.10% to 120.55 dollars) to $ 16.5 billion (12.2 billion euros) cash, a transaction that would be the largest acquisition of U.S. industrial giant in 10 years.
Euro: Sarkozy is expected to speak this afternoon
Nicolas Sarkozy could be expressed in the late afternoon, after his meeting with Herman Von Rompuy, confirmed Tuesday morning in his entourage Figaro. It would only be a few minutes of intervention, on the steps of the Elysée with President of the European Council. "Nothing is confirmed yet," says one, however. "It will also depend on market developments in the day," says an adviser.
While a government source announced the "initiatives" to support Franco-German Greece to face serious funding problems of its debt, the Elysee Palace denied."There will be no Franco-German initiative today," said the president requested by the AFP, saying also that no decision had been made about a possible speaking of Nicolas Sarkozy to Following his meeting scheduled at 17 am (Paris time) with the President of the European Union Herman Van Rompuy.
The Elysee was also opposed to a very firm denied rumors that a scenario out of Greece to the euro would be discussed at the Elysee. We emphasized above all the character "drama" of this to the Greeks themselves, but also for the euro area.
"To ensure compliance with the commitments of the July 21"
"This is not a desirable solution, we do nothing to make it desirable," confided a senior official Monday night Elysian following folder every minute."We try to be consistent: we are about to present to Parliament the rescue plan that was decided on 21 July in Brussels. We do not prepare in the wings is another scenario that would offer the exact opposite, "he continues.
The state still remains fragile in which finances are Greek, "We try to convince them to do everything to achieve compliance with the commitments of July 21," says this source. Tuesday evening, the Head of State may wish to print this message in a clear and solemn.
MEDEF Summer University: the owners remain optimistic
The storm that hit financial markets and threats on the European and American do not worry the bosses from all over France who participated Thursday in the second day of the MEDEF Summer University organized on the campus of HEC Jouy-en-Josas (Yvelines). After facing the worst financial tsunami in September 2008, they are determined to stay the course. "Companies that seek growth, continue to seek growth. Those who curl up, continue to shrivel, says Stephen Bernard, Bernard Controls CEO and Chairman of the MEDEF TPE-ETI. The only danger could come from the banks if they change their attitudes vis-à-vis SMEs. We are regularly out on all the work done during the crisis of 2008 to pursue a genuine dialogue with the bankers.I am confident because companies can not grow without banks. "
In July, a survey conducted by the MEDEF Ile de France, reported a cautious business leaders in investment and hiring in the coming months. They showed a greater reluctance at the beginning of the year. Recent events have not changed their perception. "Business leaders know that the current financial difficulties do not have the same basis as in 2008. They are not fooled. A company is not only its market value cash till payday advance. Its value, it is men and what it produces. French banks are solid. Order books are good. The agenda is full of my business, "says Marie-Christine OGHLY, president of MEDEF Ile-de-France.
Emerging growth opportunities in
"What strikes me is the gap between the health of businesses and the macro-economy.I am reasonably optimistic. Large companies and other clients maintain their investments, "says Christian also Poyau, president of the Micropole services company that has acquired a Chinese company in May. "I just take stock of our activities in China that are developing as planned. The company fundamentals are good. We should not only focus on the U.S. economy. The world has changed. China, Brazil grow. I do not believe in a deep recession in the United States. I am confident because companies have growth opportunities in the world. " This observation is also that of Christophe de Margerie, Total CEO: "The growth in emerging markets is not to our detriment. It helps a lot when things go less well, "said the boss in this major group, listed on CAC 40, who attended a session on the theme" Réespérer. "A word that bosses are determined to make them.
Carrefour and Auchan bet on the return
The new school year has begun. The shelves of supermarkets anyway. Intersection and Auchan hypermarkets which have lost market share since early January, play their all to save the year. Their goal: to take advantage of this period, the largest in terms of sales after Christmas, to bring back customers and especially to force them to remain faithful to the brand.
Carrefour, the worst off of two, decided to strike hard, even if release into the wild to 1.3 billion euros of gift vouchers. The never-seen! "Our premium of 100 euros back complements the allowance paid back Friday by the government," said Noël Prioux, executive director of Carrefour France. The group breaks new ground by distributing 13 million in its hypermarkets checkbooks containing 10 vouchers of 10 Euro, valid for 5 weeks and from 30 euros to buy.The customer can not spend only 2 per week, in two predefined rays associated with the start, the traditional paper products and linens to leather, textile (women, men, baby) and electricity and the tooling. "We make a significant investment to support our customers in a key moment when they are faced with many expenses in a difficult environment," says Noel Prioux, which must succeed this time, after a failed September 2010 and the beginning of year catastrophic. The poor performance of the domestic market have already caused the departure of its CEO, James McCann, and sealed half-year results of the group.
Increase traffic
In addition to the premium back promotions in other departments. Carrefour also has finally increased the share of its own brand.When performing these three devices, the reductions can approach 80% back on the shelves, supports the group. If the brand has loyal customers and win back others with this, it has also not forgotten the food department. "As for offering toys at the end of year deals on the products at the start of school is only profitable for the traffic they bring," says one consultant. And provided that once in-store customers take the opportunity to make further purchases. "We've lowered our prices in August 1000 on food references: the effort for the products most frequently purchased by our customers, everyday products (dairy products and desserts, for example), and the products popular with families, "said Noël Prioux, which means" to rediscover Carrefour. "The objective is clear: "re strong business momentum in the last quarter."
Auchan and Système U have introduced similar devices. Thursday and Friday, customers who buy 23 items in the school are being taught northerner all of the purchase paid in vouchers to spend in the entire store … next week. In addition, the company offers a special on the shelf textiles from there too in addition to its promotional programs most common in the food department.
"The deteriorating U.S. puts enormous pressure on Europe"
In the night from Friday to Saturday, S & P downgraded the rating of the United States, from "AAA" to "AA +". This historic announcement, which comes as the markets have closed a black week, plunged the financial world into the unknown. Munis Hassim, professor at the Institut d'Etudes Politiques de Paris, explains why such degradation threatens the U.S. economy, the first world power, and identifies the situation to that of Japan in the 1990s.
Is the degradation of the notes of the United States plunges us into a new crisis?
The fact that the United States lose their triple-A means that they have a slightly higher probability of defaulting. But by switching to "AA +", this probability is very low. Moreover, experts and analysts do not believe at all a failure to pay the largest economy in the world. So there is no reason to panic.However, the multiple consequences which such degradation can they prove to be very disturbing.
For example?
The fact that S & P has dared to sacrifice the American note puts enormous pressure on other countries rated AAA, particularly in Europe as the UK or even France. This announcement will fuel fears of a contagion of degradation of notes, when the markets seemed to panic this week. In Italy and Spain (already degraded) in particular, tensions are rising, although they seem to be the new target markets. Moreover, the impact on the banks direct. They will have to review their capital allocation taking into account the appearance of more risky U.S. bonds they hold, as they impose the new international regulations, to strengthen the solvency of banks (Basel III).The recent bank stress tests, whose results were given there only three weeks, have already lost all credibility because they did not include either a restructuring of the Greek debt, or a deterioration note the United States.
Why such a lowering of note can threaten the global economy?
When the debt rating of long-term decline in the U.S., this means that more may not be refunded if the creditor is. However, the markets, the risk is remunerated by interest rates: if I am less sure of being repaid, so I request a higher rate. Thus, losing the "AAA", the U.S. interest rates at 5 years, 10, 20, 30, will mechanically increase.And if rates rise, it's a downward spiral of investment and consumption that will engage, which produces more unemployment, less tax revenue and public expenditure. This government deficits widen further, and sovereign debt. But during the past two weeks very turbulent markets, the U.S. long rates remained very low. There have never been so low, a sign of investor confidence.
There is still a little time, no one imagined the United States lose their AAA. How did they get there?
The problem the U.S. is that they have more flexibility, or a monetary point of view, or budget.On the one hand, monetary policy can not be more accommodating, having pumped billions and billions of dollars of liquidity into the markets and set the interest rate floor (they are between 0% and 0.5 %) to restore the U.S. economy weighed down by the subprime crisis that has capitulated Lehman Brothers, three years ago. On the other, public spending has been poorly controlled, while the U.S. tax burden is already high. Difficult in these conditions for fiscal consolidation.
It is like in Japan twenty years ago …
Exactly, you are right in the Japanese-style scenario. The United States could enter a situation of liquidity trap in which Japan was mired in the 1990s, but never really escape. Rates were zero and sluggish growth, while prices fell, leaving Japan trapped.United States, the U.S. central bank, the Fed is now more capable of supporting the U.S. economy, which has not really recovered from the crisis, according to the latest statistics. Growth for 2011 looks less than expected, despite the monetary support giant that has been deployed. It remains to be seen whether this will result in deflation (lower prices) or if inflation will return. The best case scenario would be the second, to prevent the United States is experiencing a "lost decade" in Japan.
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