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Life insurance less attractive
The French preferred to shun their investment. For six months, the payments on life insurance contracts are in free fall. In one year, they were down 12% at the end of May But it is true that last year at the same time, the collection was exceptionally strong.
His back is not what concerns most insurers. They are especially concerned more and more savers to make withdrawals from their contracts. These purchases (and capital paid after the death of the policyholder) jumped 15% in one year, and even 29% on the single month of May. According to the French Federation of Insurance Companies (FFSA), the movement affects all contracts, better filled with more modest. Crisis forces, some French draw on their savings to finance their spending. Others are shifting their capital to other investments, including real estate faxless pay day loans.The erosion yield contracts (3.4% on average in 2010) encourages them. As uncertainty about the sustainability of the tax advantages of life insurance.
Even the famous Afer the contract is affected. The G76, a syndicate of agents of the historical savings association, a phenomenon of outflows unprecedented explosion in the number of closings of contracts for two months, and decreased – for the first time – the number of members . In the weeks preceding the general meeting of Afer, June 29, the G76 has spared no criticism of the current leaders, denouncing particular problems of governance and lack of independence of Association vis-à-vis Aviva, the insurer that manages the contract Afer. Two points on which he joined the SOS Principles Afer. Further discussions that may leave investors confused again.
Monaco placed on the royal wedding to revive its economy
The figures speak for themselves. In anticipation of the royal wedding of July 1 and 2, the National Council of Monaco, the equivalent of our Parliament, has allocated a budget of 4 million euros. Almost as much as the 4.4 million spent by the principality in 2010 to launch its corporate campaign in the French magazine and on the web. This shows the importance for the Rock the marriage of Prince Albert of Monaco and the former champion South African swimmer, Charlene Wittstock. Both in economic terms and in media coverage.
From next Friday, when the celebration of the civil union, Monaco looks indeed more than 200,000 visitors. A golden opportunity to restore a spotlight on the micro state of 35,881 inhabitants.Still considered a haven for billionaires, Monaco has indeed not escaped the crisis in recent years, in 2009 recording a decline of 9% of its tourism industry (mainly tourism business), before a resumption of 6 % last year. At issue: the crisis in the "customer proximity" (Italian and French), which became more reasonable.
Although the number of spectators attracted to the wedding should remain three times lower than the 600,000 tourists who traveled to London in April, for the marriage of William and Kate Middleton. But the Rock expects no less favorable economic impact. In anticipation of the weekend, everything was set up to attract maximum visitors: free trial of race cars, train frequency increased, on the big screen broadcast of the festivities, free parking, free admission to most museums … .Beyond the provision of 4 million euros of the National Council, the Centre has also participated in an amount that has not been made public.
Attract new large fortunes
The principality wants to use the event to attract tourists back wealthy, more and more tempted by other destinations. The sector remains in effect in the heart of Monaco's economy, with nearly 500 conventions and meetings a year and distributed 780,000 nights in the 16 luxury hotels. "Monaco must expand, transmit messages incentives to attract large fortunes, talents.It should be under the spotlight at all times, "said Michel Bouquier and the Director of Tourism of the Principality
Operation seduction seems to be working: within a week of marriage, hotels are almost full (2700 rooms, 90% in four stars), and the Rock is an increase of call for cruise ships in recent weeks. Remains to be seen, beyond the one-time event, the mass return of tourists will continue. Especially such an event is not without adverse consequences for the economy.For example, if the marriage of William and Kate has resulted in more than 570 million pounds (640 million euros) in economic benefits, productivity losses related to the only holiday of marriage (Friday, April 29 ) were valued at 7 billion euros.
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Who's next boss Bercy?
• Baroin: • promoting Valérie Pécresse: reward • Bruno Le Maire: the outsider
The countdown is running. Christine Lagarde flew to Washington Tuesday. Wednesday and Thursday, she will spend his "great oral" before the Board of the IMF. Which will meet Tuesday to discuss the nominations before appointing a successor to Dominique Strauss-Kahn on June 30 at the latest. Barring a surprise, the Minister of Economy should take precedence over Mexico's Agustin Carstens. His entourage has the head across the Atlantic: "I proposed to the team Baroin to come and visit our offices to make the identification, said one adviser Christine Lagarde. They said: "It would be bad luck!" "
Several ministers are indeed in the running to replace Christine Lagarde. Budget Minister campaigned for weeks.His colleague of Agriculture, Bruno Le Maire, also dream of Bercy. But he seems to have thrown in the towel. The Minister of Higher Education, Valérie Pécresse, which has the support of Christine Lagarde, fingers crossed, too. "Lagarde loves Pécresse, provides an advisor to the Minister of Economy. She believes that appointing a woman to a woman's place is important. But it will not interfere. It is at a different level. It will soon have a status of head of state … "
First outsider, Valérie Pécresse seen its rating go up. She met with Nicolas Sarkozy on Wednesday, after the Council of Ministers. The head-to-head was officially on the large loan and the press conference the President on the subject Monday. But Sarkozy had discussed with her the replacement of Lagarde.In the majority, some believe that appointing a woman to this key position could serve as an able-fire against the candidacy of Martine Aubry in the primary PS, around June 28 "It is played between Pécresse and Baroin," believes a close associate of President. Anyway, the head of state will be careful not to harm women, already under-represented in key government positions since the departure of Rachida Dati and Michèle Alliot-Marie. "The president does not send negative signals about gender or diversity," Elysian swear an advisor.
"The king of herrings"
The head of state could also bring a handful of secretaries of state, whose arrival is announced in the fall. Two positions, at least, are vacant: Public Administration (since the departure of Georges Tron) and Veterans Affairs.If the president decides to bring more "new faces", it "out" of the incumbents. The Minister for Sport, Chantal Jouanno, could start to concentrate on the Senate. "We predicted a reshuffle at minimum, but the president could take this last opportunity to reshuffle the cards before the presidential election," warns a consultant Elysian.
Nicolas Sarkozy should especially take this opportunity to send signals to the centrists. "He wants to crack the clan Borloo," says an adviser. The Secretary General of the UMP, Marc-Philippe Daubresse, told relatives that he had received "assurances" of the president. He also began to prepare his cabinet. In a head-to-head, May 30, Sarkozy had mentioned to him a nomination "for Higher Education or Agriculture."The head of state could also try to "poach" the faithful lieutenant of Borloo, Laurent Hénart. Or, failing that, the former Minister for Overseas, Yves Jego.
The name of the UMP des Alpes-Maritimes, John Leonetti, who chose to live the radical sensibility within the UMP, runs well. The President has recently paid tribute to his "loyalty". But this expert on health does not agree with the health minister, Xavier Bertrand, who had vetoed his appointment in the latest revisions. MP centrist Maine-et-Loire Laffineur Marc is also discussed.
At the Elysee, is amused by this shell game. "The president in secrecy, says a consultant. It is the king of herrings. This will be between him and Xavier Musca. Even between him and …. "" The principle of a reorganization, is the surprise, "says the former minister Brice Hortefeux.
Baroin: promotion
Since coming into office in March 2010, Baroin was a faultless performance credit report. Budget Minister has managed to impose fiscal discipline to his colleagues in government, cutting spending and up to tackle the sacrosanct tax loopholes. Last week, under his leadership, the National Assembly adopted on first reading the supplementary budget, which confirms the removal of the tax shield and the reduction of the ISF. After inheriting the carrier parolat in November 2010, as Chirac ministers could it rise again in the government hierarchy? Many are in the majority, think he was already "well served". If appointed, the mayor of Troyes should release the carrier parolat. But it would keep the Budget. "The president likes him, but it a little suspicious," says a heavy weight of the UMP.The promotion, however, would give new pledges to Chirac, less than a year of presidential elections.
Valérie Pécresse: the reward
It was on the brink of being appointed Minister of Justice in November 2010. But the departure of Jean-Louis Borloo had distributed the cards, bringing the president to give the keys to the Place Vendome in centrist Michel Mercier. Valérie Pécresse has remained in Higher Education, under its charge since May 2007. A record of longevity that allowed him to impose the autonomy of universities, often presented as one of the most emblematic reforms of the quinquennium. "It showed it was broken in the dialogue," said a relative. Deemed "woodcutter" Pécresse is a graduate of ENA and HEC. She speaks English and Russian, and "getting by" in Japanese.Christine Lagarde to Chantal Jouanno, many women ministers would like to see at Bercy. But that Chirac, who sometimes appears as "a good little soldier," a disability: she has never been among the close to Nicolas Sarkozy, sometimes it annoys. For many in the majority, yet it seems that the "best position" to Bercy.
Bruno Le Maire: the outsider
Barring a surprise, Bruno Le Maire should remain in agriculture. He dreamed yet to be entrusted with the Economy, as he had dreamed of Foreign Affairs in 2010. "With each redesign, the Mayor is an active campaign, the air of nothing," enjoys a minister. The former right hand of Dominique de Villepin, whose rise in "Sarkozi" has been meteoric, has serious advantages. Normale technocrat and he mastered the economic issues. Also the IE speaks English, German and Italian started."This is a contest of economics, not of languages!" Squeaky Elysian counsel. The Mayor has invested heavily in the agriculture component of the G20, is prowling and multilateral negotiations. But Sarkozy fears of destabilizing the farmers, who appreciate their minister. The Mayor would also annoyed by "highlighting" the role of project manager in 2012: "For the president, only the Socialists in the country, says an adviser. Put themselves forward on the project was awkward. "Failing to be appointed at Bercy, the Mayor may be given door-parolat.
Mr. X: The temptation of an expert
The magnitude of the crisis in Greece could it bring Nicolas Sarkozy to choose an expert on economic Christine Lagarde to succeed? A heavy weight of the majority is seriously considering this option, arguing even the name of Thierry Breton, CEO of Atos Origin.The former Minister of Economy (2005-2007) mastered the issue of public debt. His appointment would also have political virtues, the source said, "Breton is a friend of Chirac, Raffarin and de Villepin. And they bite Borloo he is near. "Many consider this hypothesis unlikely:" What interest would have to leave the private Breton for an acting position on the eve of 2012? "Enjoys a counselor. The name of the centrist Anne-Marie Idrac is also cited. Edouard Balladur was blown to the president. Former Minister of Foreign Trade may assert a strong background at the head of the RATP and the SNCF. But it is "not aligned" with Sarkozy and "speaks her mind." The government, cohabitation was not always easy with its responsible Minister Christine Lagarde. However, the next holder of Bercy will get along with the next IMF chief.
La Bourse de Paris brings out the 3800 points
Rain of bad news and stock prices in free fall: markets reconnect with painful memories. Investors reacted badly because the new rescue plan for Greece: after being disturbed by an incident technique over an hour, the Cac 40 closed the session on a drop of 0.63% to 3799.66 points .
Featuring Dax index of the Frankfurt Stock Exchange was down 0.19% to 7150.21 points in closing. For its part, the London Stock Exchange lost 0.38% to 5693.39 points.
In Milan, the stock market fall of 2.01% at 19,692 points after the warning from the rating agency Moody's on Friday night. The agency said Friday it planned to lower the debt rating of Italy, currently set at "Aa2."The agency said the risks to growth, financial markets and the government's ability to reduce the deficit.
The plan does not relieve the Greek market
Despite a new rescue plan for Greece launched last night by finance ministers in Europe, markets remain worried and disappointed: "Investors continue to demand a quick solution is not the working time of European political authorities. The difficulties in finding compromises will continue to maintain the highest concern, "warns one at CM-CIC. After the reassuring words of French and German leaders who have displayed a welcome unity Friday, the firm tone adopted by the ministers said that the issue will be very long to resolve.The central bankers in the eurozone have defined the conditions of payment of a further tranche of loans in July, but the finance ministers of the euro area indicate that the release of the loan must be accompanied by the vote of a new plan of austerity and privatization by the Greek Parliament. Banks and other private creditors and participate in this new plan. However the contours of that plan remains to be defined.
In an interview with The Tri bune, the Belgian Finance Minister Didier Reynders compare failure of Greece to the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers. He said the risk of contagion is real."If Greece was the first to default, then the looks would turn to other countries such as Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Italy, Belgium can be but also France."
On the currency side, the euro rises gently sloping against the dollar: the time of closing in Paris, the single European currency was worth 1.4315 dollars against 1.4301 dollars on Friday night. In addition, oil continues to fall sharply, quoting under $ 92 in New York.
The banking sector still suffering
The banking sector suffered the brunt of the growing concerns over the Greek debt and the risk of contagion to other countries in the euro area.Natixis lost 1.52% to 3.50 euros, Axa loose 1.32% to 15 euros, Crédit Agricole drops 0.99% to 10 euros, BNP Paribas was down 0.86% to 51.75 euros, Societe Generale de 0.83% to 38.76 euros, excluding CAC 40, Dexia yield 2.24% to 2.22 euros.
All eyes are turned to the Paris Air Show, which opens Monday. Bad news for Airbus (parent company: EADS: -0.84% to 21.26 euros) last night, an incident of a private Airbus A380 giant aircraft flight, the aircraft had struck the wing a building while it was towed to the taxiway of the airport. But a Korean company has agreed to lend one of its A380 for the demonstration. Boeing, he launches the new version of its popular 747 jetliner, highly anticipated. Both manufacturers have launched the traditional race for orders.
In addition, the CEO of EADS, Louis Welsh, said the sale of 22.5% stake held by French and German states could be done without exposing the group to a hostile takeover, note leFinancial Times. Louis Welsh evokes an existing structure "extremely hard" for the development of the company.
NYSE Euronext (0.11% to 23.28 euros) announced Monday in a statement the actual launch on July 11 of the first platform for bond trading companies in Europe, the project has given the go Green of the Financial Markets Authority (AMF).
Areva (-3.91% to 25.53 euros) / EDF (-0.84% to 25.96 euros). According to reports in The Tribune, Nicolas Sarkozy has warned a week ago the CEO of EDFHenri Proglio the departure of Anne Lauvergeon.He finds himself in a strong position.
Saint-Gobain (-0.77% to 41.42 euros) received a volume of orders representing 90% of the shares Verallia proposed under the IPO of its subsidiary in glass packaging, said Monday two Sources close to the operation. Saint-Gobain has set an indicative price between 29.50 and 36 euros per share for the IPO, and hopes to draw 958 million euros from the sale of 40% Verallia.
Sanofi (-0.71%, to 52 euros) An investigation into a corruption case involving employees of the pharmaceutical group in Germany was opened, said Sunday a spokesman for prosecutors in Verden. "Sanofi confirms that there is an ongoing investigation and that he will cooperate with the authorities related to this investigation," said his side a spokesman for the group.
PSA Peugeot Citroën (0.10% to 29.03 euros).The mayor of Aulnay-sous-Bois (Seine-Saint-Denis), Gerard Segura, announced Friday it had requested an appointment at Industry Minister Eric Besson for clarification on the future site of PSA Peugeot Citroën.
Publicis (0.01% to 38.29 euros). The French group bought the Chinese Genedigi, specializing in public relations, events and digital marketing, with about 400 employees, for an undisclosed amount, he said Monday.
"CONTEST: Estimate the Cac 40 in late June
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Meat: The Mayor wants to renegotiate the price
Facing the worst drought since 1976, farmers have to contend with a rare forage whose cost increases, and meat prices down sharply. An equation that puts some farms in particularly difficult financial situation.
In order to relieve the profession, the Minister of Agriculture Bruno Le Maire today called the various stakeholders in the sector – farmers, manufacturers and distributors – to get around the table to renegotiate the price of meat on the rise, by the end of June FNSEA had claimed last week to hold such negotiations, under an agreement signed in early May under the auspices of the Minister. This agreement, however non-binding plans to open discussions when production costs increase beyond a certain threshold, as is the case today because of rising feed prices business card."Farmers, particularly small meat producers are in a terrible situation. [...] They are tired of seeing prices fall. They need to have a price signal, "held Friday Bruno Le Maire.
Some slaughterhouses have to refuse applications
The red curve represents the evolution of prices in 2011, the blue 2010 prices, the prices in black in 2009, and the dotted black 2008 prices of adult bovine animals at the entrance to the slaughterhouse.
The Ideal City in 2050
Atlanta Barcelona instead. That is the conclusion from the report today entitled "Cities of the future, the future of cities." Barcelona is 26 times less extent that Atlanta, which reduces transportation and therefore energy consumption. "In Barcelona we consume ten times less energy than Atlanta," it said in the report, which draws the portrait of the ideal city by 2050. A city that is sure to play the card of density but without falling into the excesses of Mexico, a "monstruopole" of 22 million people suffocated by its size, which has the largest slum in the world.
To avoid this shift, Shanghai with 17 million inhabitants has a plan: develop nearby cities to ensure that services are not concentrated only in the city world fast payday loans. Another challenge: finding the right level of decision in these cities more and more large.In Toronto, for example, the five municipalities that made up this megalopolis since the early twentieth century were merged in 1995 to save money while making governance more effective. A political choice that has not been successful: the "New Toronto" was still recruited 3,500 people for its operation. And some red tape remains in decision-making.
Raffarin for a second day of solidarity
The French will they work an extra day to finance the addiction? This idea, stated in recent months by several groups working on the financing of dependence, was taken on Europe 1 this Saturday by former Prime Minister Jean-Pierre Raffarin, the instigator of the first day of solidarity. It would, he said "the easiest solution" to partially fund the addiction. A more appropriate measure to implement that "our organization's work" has "a lot of RTT," he said, tackles the 35-hour shift introduced by Martine Aubry.
As stated in former prime minister, would finance additional working day as part of the costs of an aging population.For if the day of solidarity relates each year about 2 billion to state coffers, the expenditures related to dependence in turn have posed 24 billion on public accounts for 2010 alone, according A recent review of the Economic, Environmental and Social Committee (EESC). The increase of approximately 1% per year in the number of elderly dependents by 2040 should in turn lead to a peak of public expenditure between 2025 and 2050, around 30 billion euros.
The day of solidarity potentially unconstitutional
This idea to make employees work an extra day is not new. A Senate report released in February, and the conclusions of the working group led by Bertrand Fragonard, made public last May, including this track evoked to support the aging population.The recent opinion of the EESC, which should be released on June 15, however has rejected this option, preferring among others, as mentioned by the report Rosso Debord, the hypothesis of increased taxation on inheritances and an increase in CSG retirees. For its part, the state also plans to encourage older people to tap into their life to convert into an annuity.
Reformed in 2008 so that employees can fulfill their solidarity day anytime during the year, not only on Whit Monday, the day has indeed challenged. The Constitutional Council will decide within three months to determine if this n'écorne not the constitutional principle of equality before tax.Indeed, only employees would pay, "and not professionals and retirees," says Mr. Bertrand Salquain, who entered the Elders of the question. The "father" of the measure, Jean-Pierre Raffarin said on Saturday that "it is not true that only the employees contribute, since we also taxed a portion of the capital."
Originally a French perfume by Michael Jackson
Jackson Tribute to man easy to get unsecured personal loans.
Greece: Restructuring considered inevitable and frightening
Click on the thumbnail to enlarge the graphic.
While European leaders seek to reassure financial markets by saying that Greece's debt will not be restructured, some strategists say the opposite. "To get out of financial crisis plan which moved the European countries, Greece should be restructured" hard, "said Christophe Donay, chief strategist at Pictet & Cie. In other words, Europe must draw a line under some of Greece's debt-what I call a partial-defect, while recapitalizing banks recorded losses due to restructuring. "
However, the solution currently under discussion at EU level aims to do everything to avoid a "credit event" on the Greek debt, that is to say a default. It is thus considered a new loan to pay 60 to 65 billion euros by 2014.The private sector would also be involved, banks are encouraged to continue investing in the Greek debt to the tune of 15 to 20 billion euros.
"But by giving more money to Greece, Europe or the private sector maintain the regime crisis," says Christophe Donay. "Reading the financial markets on the debt of European countries has changed. Until then, they adopted an accounting approach. In other words, they wondered how Europe should pay to save a troubled country. Today, they wonder whether the European countries generate enough growth to pay off their debts to five or ten years. "
45 years to meet the Maastricht
For Strategist Pictet, the conclusion is clear: the growth rates of financially troubled countries (Greece, Portugal, Ireland and Spain) are insufficient to finance their debts payday loans.Thus, Greece, Ireland and Portugal are expected to show annual growth of 21%, 13% and 8% in ten years to achieve a debt / GDP ratio of 60% as required by the Maastricht criteria. And if one was considering realistic annual growth rate (2%), it would take 45 years to Greece to meet this criterion and 30 years of debt to Ireland. "It is not clear that financial markets are waiting so long," concluded Christopher Donay.
Time is the right thing yet to the euro zone, according to Anton Brender, Chief Economist at Dexia AM. "Lack of Greece, alone, does not pose a problem in itself," he said. But such an event is likely in the current fragility of other countries in the periphery, causing a phenomenon of contagion.If Greece fails, why not also Ireland or Portugal, who also receive assistance from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund, will wonder when the markets.
Beyond even this group of countries at risk, "there is a risk of transmission of the crisis countries such as Belgium, Italy and Spain," continues the economist. "You have to give time to the latter, especially, to leave the area of infection by standing on a stable trajectory of debt reduction", defends Anton Brender. For this, one must combine austerity and growth, two goals are incompatible in the short term.
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Apple after the iPhone and iPad, the revolution icloud
Monday night, Steve Jobs must have Apple's service icloud. Using a deal with record companies, the Cupertino company will upgrade its online music service iTunes. Customers can purchase their music from Apple's online store and listen to their wishes, where they are. The service called "cloud computing, or cloud computing, grow fast. This is a new revolution in computing. It is to connect to the Internet to access data and applications. Individuals no longer need to store on their PC or hard drive at home, and businesses no longer need to invest in high-performance computers.
The computer then used to open the application as a water faucet or turn on a light.Apple already offers a first service "cloud" to synchronize the network, contacts, emails and diary, from an iPhone or an iPad. The MobileMe service is very expensive (99 dollars or 79 euros per year from France).
Click on the thumbnail to enlarge the graphic.
Amazon has shown the way
Google will launch this summer the free operating system for PCs, Chrome OS, designed and filmed for the cloud. "The biggest users of cloud services are already without knowing it, individuals using tools such as Gmail or Google pay services data storage from Amazon," said Lew Tucker, Director Technical cloud at Cisco.With his offensive, Apple created a new front against Google, Amazon and Microsoft.
One of the largest global provider of cloud services Amazon is the world leader in cultural services in line with an estimated turnover in this area at one billion dollars in 2010. The original idea of the champion of e-commerce, which has expanded its services to music storage for individuals, was to lease excess capacity of its own "farms" of computers. "It comes down to your apartment when it is empty during the workday and when you go on vacation," says one expert. All the giants of the Web follow the lead of Amazon. In economic terms, the marginal cost is low for providers of computing power and storage capacity low interest rate personal loans. The additional revenue generated almost as much profit.For ten years, computer manufacturers, software publishers and computer services companies dream of a paradigm shift.
56 billion market
With the development of the Internet and especially because of the economic crisis, companies have converted to cloud computing. "After years of germination, cloud computing takes off. Partly for macroeconomic reasons. The crisis led all organizations to scrutinize their spending. In this context, a solution which can offer more for less is difficult to ignore, "says Ben Pring, vice president of research firm Gartner. For now, most of the market is done by software. The turnover of the software on demand is estimated around $ 11.7 billion in 2010 by Forrester Research. Today, 60% of worldwide turnover is made in the United States.But the phenomenon should spread to other countries. By 2020, the worldwide market will reach $ 56 billion, says Forrester Research.
With about 3 million business customers worldwide including one million in Europe, Google makes between 500 million and $ 1 billion in sales in the cloud. Finally, Microsoft will invest 90% of its budget on R & D in the cloud this year, said Jean-Philippe Courtois, senior vice president of Microsoft. But its sales in the area is estimated at "several hundred million dollars a year," admits a group leader. Each offers its solution. IBM, HP, Dell, Microsoft and Oracle want to use huge "farms" of servers to store and rent computing power to their customers. To this end, HP and Dell have acquired companies in the storage and data virtualization, in order to compete with VMware, a subsidiary of EMC.The market also attracts telecom giants like Cisco, Ericsson and Huawei, and specific actors, such as Akamai, Rackspace Hosting or Salesforce.
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