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The loss of triple-A does not interfere with management
The downgrade of France by Standard & Poors on January 13 did not have the effect feared. Markets do not collapse, the lending rates did not explode … And executives do not seem affected. According to the latest barometer of Eco-ViaVoice, only 29% of them think that the loss of triple-A will impact their business. Surprising but positive, this result illustrates the gap between the hype and the consequences of lowering "The financial situation of a company, not the triple A which is," says François Miquet-Marty, president of ViaVoice , before adding, however, "this reduction is not confirmed by other agencies, it remains in perspective."
Ineffectiveness of political discourse
Beyond the triple A, the composite index of moral frameworks rose slightly for the second consecutive month at – 48 after – especially in January and 52 – 56 in December, its lowest level since the barometer in 2004. However, for François Miquet-Marty, "it is difficult to talk of improvement, all the remaining indicators, sobering …" For if the frames, as the markets seem less concerned, they are generally pessimistic about the economic activity . For 69% of them, the standard of living in France will deteriorate over the years, where 10% think it will improve, an increase of 5 points. On employment, 82% expect an increase in the number of unemployed.
"At three months of presidential executives do not perceive the candidates' speeches, possible improvement levers on the issue of unemployment," worries Francois Miquet-Marty, noting that "they place little hope in politics. "
About their financial prospects, they remain grim: 41% of executives expect a deterioration of their financial situation in the coming months. Career opportunities remain "weak" for 78% of them. Finally, motivation, stagnant, with 40% of executives reported that their employees are being motivated.
Flat in this context, only a takeoff of the presidential campaign could cause a rise of the honest moral frameworks.
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The virtues of rental real estate are well known. This is one of the only investments that can make on credit to build wealth. It is also a good way to prepare additional income for retirement. Finally, it is a way to accommodate her children or send them a valuable asset to start in life. However, the life of landlords is not a bed of roses! Some trace their route on this road winding and sometimes treacherous.
This is the case of Vivian B., 57, teacher. This Lyonnaise conducted between 1991 and 2010, three rental investments in his city. "I spaced each acquisition a decade, the time each time to pay off my credit. I always chose the studios in the IVth arrondissement of Lyon, an area popular.The lease payments used to pay me a portion of the loans, but each time I had to add 100 to 150 euros a month, "she says payday loans. Handyman, Viviane never hesitates to restore its apartments, it manages solo. Another "trick" by Viviane: the choice of holiday rental. "This formula provides short leases, or a year. Thus, it is easier to separate from a deadbeat tenant. "
1500 euros of additional income per month
For her, the acquisitions will stop, "because this investment is not worth the shot," given the rise in property prices in particular. "Every studio brings me 6%. But if I bought the same day, the yield would fall to 2.5 or 3%. "Soon to retire, Viviane Heritage is satisfied that it has formed. "My pension should be around 1.300euros month.
Euro crisis summit in Brussels
EU summit, the first act. The leaders of the EU started in Brussels on Sunday morning a summit with the goal of trying to overcome their differences on how to stem the debt crisis that is destabilizing the euro area. The meeting began around 10:20. However, no decision is expected at the end of the summit of which the second act is expected Wednesday. This afternoon, the summit will continue with a meeting of Heads of State of 17 countries in the euro area.
Europe is facing economically to "serious challenges", said President of the European Union, Herman Van Rompuy, at the opening of the meeting. He believed that the decisions to be taken by European leaders to address was "perhaps the most important" they've ever had to face the financial crisis.Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou, also felt it was "time" to take "decisive and effective." "It is clear that the crisis (debt) is not Greek. This is a European crisis, "he judged.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel, however, dampened expectations about the outcome of the summit, from the outset, reaffirming that decisions could be taken next week. "For me it is important to reiterate that today we prepare the decisions of Wednesday" because the negotiations are about "subjects sometimes technically very complex, she said on her arrival in Brussels.
"You have to reassure the markets"
For its part, the Belgian Prime Minister Yves Leterme has tried hard not announce anything at all on Sunday, in light of market pressure."It is essential for tomorrow morning at the opening of markets, we have made sufficient progress so as not to jeopardize the credibility of the euro area," he said. Same story for the European partners have not adopted the single currency, which are concerned about the fallout from the debt crisis. "The crisis in the euro area is being extended to all our economies, including that of Great Britain ', launched the British Prime Minister David Cameron.
What response to the crisis the Europeans do they negotiate? This response is intended in three stages. It must first stabilize the over-indebted Greece and save him a total failure. This will require further international loans and losses of creditor banks in the country. Europe the figure to at least 50%.According to the report of the troika (representatives of the EU, the ECB and the IMF), the discount should be 60% to maintain unchanged the envelope of € 109 billion promised to Greece, as part a second rescue plan officially recorded on July 21 payday loans for self employed. "We remain willing to explore options on a voluntary basis [for each facility, Ed] and realistic prospects for the economy of Greece and the return of that country on the capital markets," said Charles Dallara Saturday night , the president of the Institute of International Finance (IIF), which brings together major global banks.
In return, a bank recapitalization is provided. Countries of the European Union discussed a budget from 107 to 108 billion euros at the meeting of finance ministers on Saturday night. Remains to define the terms.
It will also strengthen the Fund's financial assistance for the euro area countries in difficulty, the EFSF, firewall against the contagion to Italy and Spain. But differences remain on how to do this, especially between France and Germany. Yesterday, the French proposal to grant a banking license in EFSF was discarded. Only two options are being discussed to increase the firepower of the device: the mechanism acts as a partial insurance of the public debt of troubled countries or the IMF is expected to increase its participation in the scheme.
European governance side, Angela Merkel reaffirmed that a "change treaty should not be taboo", to improve fiscal discipline among member countries of the EU. The topic will be on the table at the summit today.Yesterday, the German foreign minister, Guido Westerwelle, proposed to bring in the future before the European Court of Justice countries too lax on the budget in the euro area through a revision of the Treaty of the European Union. In addition, leaders should appoint Herman Van Rompuy, the EU president, as head of the eurozone, according to a draft final declaration obtained by AFP.
For the summit this Sunday, German Chancellor and French President had also met Saturday night to try to resolve their differences, following a meeting of EU finance ministers. They both welcomed the "progress" and "advanced" made in the negotiations.
(With agencies)
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Greece: the banks will have to contribute more
Creditor banks in Greece will have to accept losses "substantial" in the new bailout of the country known to be substantially revised at the deterioration of the situation in the country, warned Saturday. At a meeting of central bankers on Friday night in the only euro area, "we agreed to say that we had to have a substantial increase in the contribution of the banks' rescue of Greece, as a impairment of their claims, said the leader of European finance ministers, Jean-Claude Juncker.
According to diplomatic sources, the ministers agreed to effectively negotiate with the banks at a discount of "at least 50%" against a target of 21% decided on July 21 with the banking sector.They thus de facto endorsed the conclusions of an expert report which was presented by the troika of donor funds in Greece (EU, ECB and IMF). The paper believes that a discount of 50 or 60% hope to stabilize Greece without having to increase in the amount of gigantic international loans that have already been promised.
A "discount" is the term used in relation to the financial depreciation of the value of loans taken by creditors in this case private banks and investment funds that hold government debt. A discount of 50% of the private sector, the second program of public financial support pledged July 21 to Greece, however, should be slightly revised upwards with government loans (Europe and IMF) to 114 billion euros, against 109 billion euros at the time scheduled.To maintain the envelope of 109 billion euros unchanged, it would bring the discount to 60%, according to calculations by experts online payday loans.
"It is also an effort by the private sector"
In any event, the second bailout in late July, just after the first amounting to 110 billion euros agreed in spring 2010, will have to be redesigned. "It's pretty clear that we need a substantial discount on Greek debt," also said Saturday the Swedish Finance Minister Anders Borg on his arrival in Brussels for a meeting with colleagues from across the EU."We will now work on a new plan in Greek and this new plan is true that there is a substantial effort to Greece again, there is an effort by European countries and will also require an effort of the private sector" said his Belgian counterpart Didier Reynders.
The question is whether the banks that have so far dragged its feet to give the pot, will accept a negotiated settlement does not pass through a default of Greece said "messy" serious consequences. "It's a negotiation s'entame," said Didier Reynders. In return for the effort required on the Greek claims, it is intended to recapitalize European banks to the tune of nearly 100 billion euros.The subject was Saturday in the agenda of the ministerial meeting, before a meeting in the evening between French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel and the EU summit on Sunday.
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The newspaper editors united against Apple
The French press bristled. In a joint statement, the leading provider of daily newspapers and magazine announced Friday that it will not NewsStand titles in the digital kiosk that has just been launched by Apple with its new mobile operating system (IOS 5) . Digital versions of newspapers are accessible via the iPhone and iPad applications.
"The trading conditions imposed by Apple today are unacceptable," consider the union of the national daily press (SPQN), the Union of the regional daily press (SPQR), the SPM, which represents the magazine, and professional union the magazine of opinion (SPPMO)."They are undermining the economic model of the press and ultimately reduce the choices available to Internet users."
Newspaper publishers have stalled on several issues with Apple charges for the sale of newspapers imposed, failure to provide subscription multi-platform and commission rates, considered "excessive". It is 30% for any sale in the App Store – be it a press title, a video game or a piece of music. But more than the standard rate of commission is the loss of control over customer relationships that worries the press."Personal data readers are the property of Apple and are not systematically shared with publishers, yet anxious to establish a relationship of trust with their readers to better take into account their expectations, 'the publishers.
Call for government
These criticisms have emerged since the launch of the platform download App Store in 2008 and is shared by publishers around the world. Newspapers have tried to deal with the manufacturer in developing their own applications, offering subscriptions multi-platform on their websites and enlançant a common digital kiosk application in late June (e-Presse premium). But the very existence of the latter is now threatened by NewsStand."We have not intended to be distributed by a single booth, but we want to be distributed under normal conditions," said one editor.
French media owners could benefit from the organization of the conference "New World 2.0" by Minister Eric Besson, this weekend, to educate government and foreign players to their difficulties. The battle is not won. As with Condé Nast, some media groups have signed with Apple in the U.S. while their French subsidiary belongs to the anti-sling NewsStand.
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Thousands of "outraged" parade, events in Rome
• Banks attacked in Rome
Tens of thousands of demonstrators, inspired by the "outrage" of Wall Street and Spain, marched on Saturday in Rome, the city had been cordoned off by police. "One solution, the Revolution!", "We are not property in the hands of bankers," could be read on the signs of the protesters.
In Rome, two cars were torched. Photo credits: ALBERTO PIZZOLI / AFP
The CAC 40 falls through its
The days are not alike on the financial markets. The past three days, the CAC 40 has continued to flirt with the bar of 3000 points. This Friday, the stock index closed down 1.51% at 2981.96. Thursday reassured by indicators of employment growth and U.S. financial markets this time had a difficult session after disappointing statistics from the United States, China and Europe. Thanks to a good start to the week, however, the CAC 40 gained more than 5% this week.
So investors remained pessimistic before the meeting between President Nicolas Sarkozy and Prime Minister of Greece George Papandreou that began at 17 hours, to "take stock of the situation with him that is currently in Greece."
More than 18% increase for the banking week
Across the Atlantic, consumer spending has slowed sharply in August, while household incomes have in turn declined for the first time since October 2009. Were also more bad news from China where activity contracted slightly in September for the third consecutive month as Germany, which saw its retail sales fall 2.9% on month in August .Sign of the resurgence of pessimism, the euro resumed its decline against the dollar at 1.3456 dollars (-0.96%) and oil is about to go under 80 dollars to 80.082 dollars exactly (-1, 61%).
On the corporate side, banking stocks were again weighed on the Paris stock exchange, but this time negatively. Societe Generale lost 7.31% to 19.54 euros, Crédit Agricole has sold 3.17% to 5.23 euros and BNP Paribas dropped 3.50% to 30.05 euros. Week, however, was very positive for the French banks as they have won between 18% and 20% in stock. Most cyclical stocks, the more dependent the economy, also rose in the image of Lafarge (10.40% for the week) and ArcelorMittal (4.93%). However, the luxury sector has suffered: the last five sessions, lost 5.50% LVMH and PPR was down 7.88%.Vallourec, which suffers from the slowdown in the sectors of mechanical engineering, gives up almost 9% for the week.
Meeting in Greece: the Nikkei rebounds
In the wake of Wall Street, Asian stock markets have recovered what color jeudi.L all the places welcomed the determination shown by German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and Prime Minister of Greece George Papandreou at a meeting telephone Wednesday night, to get out of Athens crise.Après have closed down the day before, and the Nikkei gained 1.48% to 8644 points at a time of closing.
Investors seem so, for now, somewhat confident about the ability of the euro area to help Athens to avoid bankruptcy the country. Wednesday night, the Franco-German and was convinced "that the place of Greece is very much in the euro area."But on one condition, also very explicit: "The implementation of strict and effective recovery program of the Greek economy supported by the countries of the euro area and the IMF and which conditions the disbursement of future tranches of the program. "George Papandreou was quick to deceive, confirming" the absolute determination of his government to take all necessary measures to implement all commitments. "
More good news, the Brics (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) announced Wednesday that they could increase their holdings of bonds denominated in euros. Thus, Brazil was prepared to participate in a "global effort" against the economic crisis that affects rich countries, said the same day the President of Brazil Dilma Rousseff.Meanwhile, Italy, whose rates have soared during bond, has denied media reports that she would have asked China to invest in debt.
Oil continues to fall
Japanese banking stocks and welcomed the ads. After being jostled by the market and Mizuho Financial Group rose 0.90% to 112 yen and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group 1.06% to 2094 yen.
Other Asian stock markets follow the upward trend of the Nikkei. The Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong Stock Exchange rose 0.47% to 19,134.45 points, the Kospi index in Seoul Composite climbed 1.12% to 1768.75 points. The S & P / ASX index in Sydney rose by 0.74% to 4035.40 points, the FTSE Straits Times of Singapore appears an increase of 0.56% to 2754.58 points.In contrast, the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.02% to 1484.45 points, like the BSE Sensex 30 Index of Bombay, which was down 0.39% to 16,643.70 points.
On the foreign exchange market, the euro appears down 0.16% to 1.372 dollar on Thursday. In turn, oil prices continued to decline in Asia, after figures showing a decline in demand for refined products in the United States, and while the markets remain worried about the situation in the euro zone, analysts said . In early electronic trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for delivery in October lost 43 cents to 88.48 dollars per barrel of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery 53 cents to 111.87 dollars.
The concern again lead the CAC 40
Friday promises to be as black as the night before at the Paris Bourse. The CAC 40 was launched on the day down 0.37% to 3064.49 points. But around 9:40, the drop is accelerating: the Paris index unscrewed from 3.44% to 2970.13 points, releasing the threshold of 3000 points. London and Frankfurt lost respectively 1.10% and 1.36%. 2.19% loose Madrid, Milan were down 2.14% and 1.76% in Zurich.
Operators are struggling to recover from their emotions after the new European stock markets plummeting and U.S. Thursday. This morning, Asian stock market sent negative signals with indices in very sharp drop. This bad mood due to a surge in concern about the state of the global economy, reinforced by poor indicators of the Atlantic.Bad index measuring the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing activity in the region, lower sales of existing homes in July, new jobless claims rising again during the second week of August … All signs of the apparent stagnation of growth in the United States.
Concerns about U.S. growth fears add to the debt crisis in Europe, European banks are the first to bear the brunt. In its Thursday edition, The Wall Street Journal reported on fears the U.S. Federal Reserve on the liquidity of European banks. And for the first time since February, the European Central Bank (ECB) has given a major dollar loan to a European bank, whose identity was not revealed.An action that reinforces doubts about the ability of banks to refinance.
Morgan Stanley has added his two cents to panic, explaining that she perceived the United States and Europe as "dangerously close to recession." The President of the European Union, Herman van Rompuy, tried Thursday to calm the mind by ensuring that there was "no new recession" in sight. And this morning, Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping has reaffirmed that the U.S. economy was "resilient". In vain.
"The bears are back"
"The bears (pessimistic players, ie) are back in force that night, after disappointing U.S. economic indicators and renewed fears about the stability of European banks, which prompted investors to push the button sales," said Ben Potter, an analyst at IG Markets in Australia."There seems to be getting ready for a weekend very ugly, with a market dominated once again by fear and panic," he added.
Gold reached a new record Friday morning in Asia, to 1,837.50 dollars per ounce, due to the concern. And oil, which fell 6% in New York yesterday, continues to fall in morning trading. A barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery lost 1.69 dollars to 80.69 dollars while that of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery gave 68 cents to 106.31 dollars.
No significant indicator that could reverse the trend, are expected on Friday.
Values to follow
The banking sector
European financial stocks, which had been rolled by a renewed tensions in the interbank market and concerns about the short-term refinancing of banks are still misguided.BNP Paribas (-3.22% to 33.11 dollars), Natixis (-2.90% to 2.81 dollars), Credit Agricole (-2.70% to 6.06 euros), Société Générale (-2, 69% to 21.02 dollars) and AXA (-0.56% to 10.28 euros) are in the red.
Danone: -1.75% to 46.05 euros
Nestlé, the group became a favorite activity for infant formula, Wyeth, Pfizer subsidiary, valued at approximately ten billion dollars (seven billion euros), officials said a source familiar with the bank.
Technip: -3.67% to 57.77 euros
The French engineering group said it had received a letter of intent on the part of the American oil company Anadarko for the construction of an offshore platform for the Gulf of Mexico.
Towards a tax on "high income"
When in 2007 the Merkel government has created an additional income tax of 45%, Germany was against the current. At the time, it was time to lower taxes to encourage work. But the crisis and rising public deficits have changed everything. Germany has become more and more followers. In 2010, the UK has increased to 50% the rate of the highest portion of its income tax (IR). And Italy is preparing to introduce a solidarity tax for employees earning more than 90,000 euros.
More surprising number of taxpayers potentially affected by such a tax do not hesitate to ask now open! American side, the billionaire Warren Buffett has called this week for a contribution of "mégariches."In France, Maurice Levy, chief executive of Publicis Group and president of the Afep (French association of private companies), wrote in his name, an article in Le Monde, where he considered it "essential that the effort Solidarity begins with those whom fate has spared. " All indications are that it will be heard as the French government pledged last spring to introduce a tax on high incomes. "Today we are working on the issue of remuneration is said sometimes extravagant," reiterated on Wednesday on Europe 1, the budget minister, Valérie Pécresse.
The majority has already noted last year from 40% to 41% in the final tranche of IR. But this time it is hit with higher incomes (the final installment begins 71,000 euros in annual revenues). And this without creating a new rate of IR.While some lawmakers, like Senator Jean Arthuis centrist, still defend the idea, Nicolas Sarkozy is opposed to any new slice. Since the fall, the government has consistently rejected in Parliament every initiative of his majority to create a slice with 46% annual earnings per share in excess of 100,000 euros.
A million or 150,000 euros of income a year?
The Ministers of Economy and Budget has established a working group of parliamentarians who must propose measures in the fall, in the 2012 budget. The idea of the executive, initially was rather taxing high incomes via the company by making non-deductible from corporate tax wages above a certain level. But the government now seems to favor a direct taxation at the household level, a solution advocated by many parliamentarians.Gilles Carrez, the UMP rapporteur of the budget in the Assembly proposes to introduce a contribution of 1% to 2% of annual revenues in excess of one million euros.
Advantage: All income is affected, including dividends and capital gains, not just wages (as with the non-deductibility). The threshold of 1 million French can target very easy – 30,000 homes would be affected. "The measure must be a symbol. This is not to bail out of the state, "said Jerome Chartier, UMP du Val-d'Oise. Indeed, 2%, the new tax would yield only 300 million (against $ 1 billion for the portion eg 46%). "Be careful not to pour into demagoguery and rich hunting. The contribution must be calibrated, "adds Philippe Marini, UMP rapporteur of the budget in the Senate.
Problem: all members do not see it that way.Pierre Mehaignerie, the UMP president of the Committee on Social Affairs in the Assembly hopes that the contribution applies from 150,000 to 200,000 euros in annual income for couples and 80,000 euros for a single. At this level, more than 300,000 homes were affected, including many executives. "I understand that. But our people are ready to make an effort if, at the same time, the state reform, "Pierre defends Méhaignerie. The animated discussions ahead in the majority!
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