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MEDEF Summer University: the owners remain optimistic
The storm that hit financial markets and threats on the European and American do not worry the bosses from all over France who participated Thursday in the second day of the MEDEF Summer University organized on the campus of HEC Jouy-en-Josas (Yvelines). After facing the worst financial tsunami in September 2008, they are determined to stay the course. "Companies that seek growth, continue to seek growth. Those who curl up, continue to shrivel, says Stephen Bernard, Bernard Controls CEO and Chairman of the MEDEF TPE-ETI. The only danger could come from the banks if they change their attitudes vis-à-vis SMEs. We are regularly out on all the work done during the crisis of 2008 to pursue a genuine dialogue with the bankers.I am confident because companies can not grow without banks. "
In July, a survey conducted by the MEDEF Ile de France, reported a cautious business leaders in investment and hiring in the coming months. They showed a greater reluctance at the beginning of the year. Recent events have not changed their perception. "Business leaders know that the current financial difficulties do not have the same basis as in 2008. They are not fooled. A company is not only its market value cash till payday advance. Its value, it is men and what it produces. French banks are solid. Order books are good. The agenda is full of my business, "says Marie-Christine OGHLY, president of MEDEF Ile-de-France.
Emerging growth opportunities in
"What strikes me is the gap between the health of businesses and the macro-economy.I am reasonably optimistic. Large companies and other clients maintain their investments, "says Christian also Poyau, president of the Micropole services company that has acquired a Chinese company in May. "I just take stock of our activities in China that are developing as planned. The company fundamentals are good. We should not only focus on the U.S. economy. The world has changed. China, Brazil grow. I do not believe in a deep recession in the United States. I am confident because companies have growth opportunities in the world. " This observation is also that of Christophe de Margerie, Total CEO: "The growth in emerging markets is not to our detriment. It helps a lot when things go less well, "said the boss in this major group, listed on CAC 40, who attended a session on the theme" Réespérer. "A word that bosses are determined to make them.
SNCF tariffs: "We want more transparency"
A new decree, issued July 31, should allow the station not to set an annual calendar of dates or normal movement of its trains. The National Federation of Transport Users (FNAUT) will be consulted as the set of consumer groups before the implementation of new measures. Its president, Jean Sivardière explains the consequences of their introduction.
Lefigaro.fr – The decree abolishing the concept of peak or normal was claimed by the SNCF. What benefit the operator does he draw?
Jean Sivardière – SNCF wants more freedom in setting its prices to meet more of its trains reservation is to say mainly the TGV, but also trains Lunéa (night train, Ed) and trains Téoz (Paris-Clermont-Ferrand, Paris-Toulouse and Bordeaux-Nice, Ed).The TER intercity, Coral, are not affected. The absence of a predetermined schedule as it is today will allow it to adjust its prices more freely according to demand and events. This is the generalization of "yield management" pricing based on supply and demand. The benefit for the station is to be better armed against competition from airplanes, cars and eventually other train operators who will come with the opening of the network under EU regulations.
The station will therefore be free to increase prices …
Yes, when demand will be strong. But it can also reduce some of the trains filled to attract travelers. We do not reject the principle of the decree. Unlike other associations, we try to assess the medium-term effects.Of course, they will be positive for the station, but we believe that if the station is in better financial health, the traveler found there too. If the operator performs better trains, the French users should benefit from a tariff acceptable. In Germany, where pricing rules are much more rigid, the prices are also higher.
Is there not a risk of soaring prices?
The decree provides that the station will make public the amount of the highest rates and that of the lowest rate charged instant payday loan lenders. But we also know that the operator is a state within a state and it is difficult to impose such measures. We have no evidence that the average tariff will not increase, but we nevertheless believe that a surge would mean a loss of customers, and would therefore be against-productive.What we regret is the new benchmark loss arising from the removal of the schedule of dates for users already lost to the variety of tariffs. When we are received by the Advisory Committee of the SNCF, for example, we will request the publication of the quota of seats at reduced rates. Currently, we are not aware of this number. We need more transparency so that travelers know what they pay for. For several years, we also ask for the maintenance of lines parallel to the TGV Corail. This would create a kind of low-cost rail. This line exists in the Rhone Valley. They work very well and does not infect clients of the TGV.
New User Reviews
A survey by the Consumers' Association CLCV last spring and published Monday in Le Parisien, Aujourd'hui en France testifies to the annoyance of SNCF customers. Chief among complaints: the pricing policy. Nearly 90% of 570 respondents believe that prices are expensive or too expensive. According to a study by Boston Consulting Group, the average price per mile has actually increased by 26.4% between 2002 and 2009, twice as much as inflation. Travelers also denounce the complexity of the fee schedule. Another study conducted by the association CLCV also noted between the discount cards, and offers Prem's and other iDTGV, it was possible to find twenty different prices for the same seat.Finally, the survey raises the issue of timeliness because nearly half of respondents say they regularly experience delays … and poorly compensated. 63.9% of passenger demand and to be systematically compensated for any delays exceeding 30 minutes.
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Is this the end of unlimited Internet packages at home?
No operator has no plans to do so today. The buzz started on the Internet by Owni skidded. The presidents of the major operators have simply said in recent months that they would go to differentiate their offerings and those who consume the most could be more involved. But the average consumer has no chance of being involved.
What consumers might be affected?
This is very, very heavy users, a very specific segment of customers that are found in all countries. These are 5% to 10% of consumers who use 80% of the bandwidth, because they spend their time downloading movies, make video at all times, spend the day on Facebook with video, YouTube, Dailymotion cash advance payday loan. The population is fairly limited.Perhaps operators will they have different prices for those? Maybe they will limit their bandwidth? Nothing is decided. But the ordinary user of the Internet has nothing to fear.
Is not a disguised means to raise prices for everyone?
No. On the contrary, the good news of the season is that competition only increased with the arrival of new players like Virgin Mobile or the post office in the market for Internet box. This will add new offerings on the market, which is already very busy. The French are very lucky: they can take advantage of competition.
Towards a tax on "high income"
When in 2007 the Merkel government has created an additional income tax of 45%, Germany was against the current. At the time, it was time to lower taxes to encourage work. But the crisis and rising public deficits have changed everything. Germany has become more and more followers. In 2010, the UK has increased to 50% the rate of the highest portion of its income tax (IR). And Italy is preparing to introduce a solidarity tax for employees earning more than 90,000 euros.
More surprising number of taxpayers potentially affected by such a tax do not hesitate to ask now open! American side, the billionaire Warren Buffett has called this week for a contribution of "mégariches."In France, Maurice Levy, chief executive of Publicis Group and president of the Afep (French association of private companies), wrote in his name, an article in Le Monde, where he considered it "essential that the effort Solidarity begins with those whom fate has spared. " All indications are that it will be heard as the French government pledged last spring to introduce a tax on high incomes. "Today we are working on the issue of remuneration is said sometimes extravagant," reiterated on Wednesday on Europe 1, the budget minister, Valérie Pécresse.
The majority has already noted last year from 40% to 41% in the final tranche of IR. But this time it is hit with higher incomes (the final installment begins 71,000 euros in annual revenues). And this without creating a new rate of IR.While some lawmakers, like Senator Jean Arthuis centrist, still defend the idea, Nicolas Sarkozy is opposed to any new slice. Since the fall, the government has consistently rejected in Parliament every initiative of his majority to create a slice with 46% annual earnings per share in excess of 100,000 euros.
A million or 150,000 euros of income a year?
The Ministers of Economy and Budget has established a working group of parliamentarians who must propose measures in the fall, in the 2012 budget. The idea of the executive, initially was rather taxing high incomes via the company by making non-deductible from corporate tax wages above a certain level. But the government now seems to favor a direct taxation at the household level, a solution advocated by many parliamentarians.Gilles Carrez, the UMP rapporteur of the budget in the Assembly proposes to introduce a contribution of 1% to 2% of annual revenues in excess of one million euros.
Advantage: All income is affected, including dividends and capital gains, not just wages (as with the non-deductibility). The threshold of 1 million French can target very easy – 30,000 homes would be affected. "The measure must be a symbol. This is not to bail out of the state, "said Jerome Chartier, UMP du Val-d'Oise. Indeed, 2%, the new tax would yield only 300 million (against $ 1 billion for the portion eg 46%). "Be careful not to pour into demagoguery and rich hunting. The contribution must be calibrated, "adds Philippe Marini, UMP rapporteur of the budget in the Senate.
Problem: all members do not see it that way.Pierre Mehaignerie, the UMP president of the Committee on Social Affairs in the Assembly hopes that the contribution applies from 150,000 to 200,000 euros in annual income for couples and 80,000 euros for a single. At this level, more than 300,000 homes were affected, including many executives. "I understand that. But our people are ready to make an effort if, at the same time, the state reform, "Pierre defends Méhaignerie. The animated discussions ahead in the majority!
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Wall Street still heavily lower
Concern persists on Wall Street. In early trade, the Dow Jones unscrewed from 2.06% to 11,008 points, the Nasdaq 3.10% to loose 2408 points and the S & P lost 2.74% to 1140 points. As in Europe, signs of nervousness are palpable. The volume of trade is still very well fleshed out and heightened volatility. "At this stage, investors dizzy," says Oliver Pursche, president of Gary Goldberg Financial Services.
On Wednesday, Greece again worried investors. The country plans to expand its exchange program to include obligations of the securities in the longer term, which penalizes first private creditors.
In addition, operators are even very concerned about the state of the U.S. economy. Yesterday, the world stock markets have overreacted, and positive against all odds, to about the Fed.This has indeed ensured that it would maintain its rates at a historical low, and until mid-2013 to support the economy. Its leaders also promised various stimulus, but without specifying its content. It will probably wait until his final release in late August. On the merits, however, the Fed has painted a disturbing report from the world's largest economy. Growth, pointing in particular the U.S. central bank, is growing at an annual rate of less than 1% in the first half, where the institution expected, earlier this year, more than 3%.
In contrast, oil prices were up sharply at the opening Wednesday in New York, in a market where investors were trying to regain footing after heavy losses, and pending the report of the stocks in the United States payday loans.On the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery was trading at 81.20 dollars, up 2.40 dollars compared to the previous day.
Cisco News Corp expected
On the business side, Cisco (-1.68% to 13.82 dollars) will unveil its results later this evening the fourth quarter, along with News Corp (-5.36% to 13.77 dollars).
Disney (-12.72% to 30.29 dollars) falls after the media group has yet announced quarterly results better than expected thanks to strong advertising revenue on its cable networks.
The title of U.S. internet group AOL (-8.85% to 10.20 dollars) has lost over a quarter of its value on Tuesday at the New York Stock Exchange after the release of disappointing quarterly earnings and lower forecasts. The stock has dropped 25.75% against the current of a market up sharply.The action even reached 10.36 dollars during the session, the lowest price ever since the split with Time Warner in 2009.
Facebook on Tuesday launched a new application for mobile phones iPhone (Apple) and those equipped with the Android operating system (Google) to send messages to his "friends" on social networking, but also to other contacts. Called "Messenger", the application can send both text messages (SMS) and email.
Apple (-1.11% to 369.85 dollars) briefly delighted yesterday to ExxonMobil, its position as the first market capitalization.
Obama gives assurance on Wall Street
The speech Barack Obama optimistic on economic prospects of the country begins to lighten the mood in the U.S. markets. The stock market indicators began to return gradually in the green, particularly reassured by the employment figures. At 18:50 Paris time, the Dow rose 0.89% to 11,485 points and the S & P gained 0.60% to 1207 points, the Nasdaq remains hesitant, remaining balance (0.02%) to 2256 points.
U.S. markets also appreciate the market rumors to the effect that the European Central Bank is ready to support the Italian and Spanish bonds, if these countries to undergo structural reforms.
The employment figures dictate trend
The announcement of a significant improvement in job creation last month seems to calm the situation on Wall Street Friday after a collapse in U.S. up over 4% yesterday.In recent weeks, disappointing publications on the state of the U.S. economy had, in fact, chained, challenging the idea of resumption of the world's largest economy. This publication confirms the figures released Wednesday by ADP, reports of more new jobs than expected for the month of July.
At 21 hours the numbers of U.S. consumer credit for the month of June will end this week full of macroeconomic data.
Oil and euro pressure
Oil prices climbed hesitantly at the opening Friday in New York, despite the employment figures better than expected, as the market wondered if it would be sufficient to support the demand for crude in a very fragile economic environment .On the New York Mercantile Exchange (Nymex), a barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery was trading at 87.04 dollars, up 41 cents from the previous day.
This concern also weighs on the currency front, the euro was trying to rebound against the dollar but remained under pressure from macroeconomic concerns.To 15 hours in Paris, the European currency was worth 1.4224 dollars against 1.4106 dollars on Thursday night, after falling to 1.4055 dollars in early Asian trade, its lowest for three and a half weeks instant payday loan.
AIG, GM and Procter & Gamble publish their accounts
On the corporate side, the semi-annual publications still dominate the news on Friday.
Thursday evening after market, the insurer AIG (-0.23% to 26.34 dollars) announced a return to the green of its accounts in the second quarter, with net earnings of $ 1.84 billion over the period, against a loss of $ 2.7 billion a year earlier. Per share, net income totaled $ 1 ($ 0.69 after tax, against $ 0.92 expected by analysts).
At the same time, and its first quarterly since its IPO on May 19, LinkedIn (-2.27% to 93.36 dollars) was positively surprised markets by announcing a turnover more than doubled the second quarter to 121 million dollars (120 euros) and net profit (4.5 million), where analysts expected a loss.
GM Motors (1.27% to 26.32 dolars) Thursday reported quarterly results exceeded expectations, with a near doubling of profits over the period.
Procter & Gamble (1.78% to 60.64 dollars) released before market on Friday for the fourth quarter of fiscal offset, net income up 15% to $ 2.51 billion.Of 2010-2011, so it shows a net profit of 11.79 Annual Statement billion, down 7% from the previous year.
Viacom (3.55% to 53.17 dollars), the parent company of MTV and Comedy Central, has reported a rise than expected in earnings thanks to strong revenue growth in advertising Cable and license agreements with websites. Its quarterly results (Q3) increased to $ 574 million against 432 million
Bank of America (1.70% to 8.98 dollars) is highly exposed to the most fragile countries in the euro zone, according to a document from the bank. The group said exposure to the tune of $ 16.7 billion (11.8 billion euros) in total to Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal and Spain in June 30Management has indicated in a document submitted to the regulatory authorities that its losses could reach up to legal $ 2.3 billion in addition to the provisions already passed for this purpose.
Axa was less affected by Greece that the banks
A nice trading day for Axa. The title of the insurer took 4% to 10 o'clock Thursday morning while the CAC 40 is given a little air, with an increase of 0.45%. Investors welcomed the good half done by the insurer that has quadrupled (324%) profit to 3.99 billion euros.
This performance is significantly higher than the expectations of analysts who had expected an average net profit of 3.7 billion. But Axa has mostly benefited from a favorable base effect. The increase in net income is in fact supported by exceptional gains of 1.44 billion euros from the sale of the 15.6% of Veolia capital of the life insurer China Life Taikang and the sale of its New Zealand and Australia."In this environment (of European debt crisis), we publish the results are good, satisfactory and show Axa's fine," said CFO Gerald Harlin, during a conference call.
Confirmation of the Plan 2015
The insurer stands in relation to banks about the impact of the Greek crisis on its accounts. While the financial cost runs into hundreds of millions for BNP Paribas (850 million), Crédit Agricole (650 million) and 395 million to Société Générale, Axa has placed "only" 92 million euros in provisions for impairment assets in its bond portfolio of the Greek state No teletrak payday loan.
In contrast, exposure of the insurer in Italy, estimated at 6 billion euros against 300 million for Greece, is much more important. "We have no reason to reduce our exposure to Italy and Spain," said Henri de Castries."We are confident that Italy is absolutely the means to repay its debt, simply that the European institutions give a stronger signal of support towards Italy for the markets calm down," said Denis Duverne, the deputy CEO of Axa Business on BFM radio.
If the macroeconomic environment remains uncertain because of the turmoil in financial markets, the CEO of Axa, Henri de Castries is "confident". It provides Axa is on track to achieve its 2015 targets.
The display stands up well with JCDecaux Asia
No doubt, the economic model of JCDecaux continues to prove itself. In the first half, sales of the French group, world leader in outdoor advertising, organic growth (excluding acquisitions and currency effects) of 5.8% to 1.17 billion euros, higher than the communication sector, which is between 3 and 4%.
The growth remains strong with a good spread of activities. The dynamism of the Asia-Pacific, representing 19% of sales and grew by almost 20%, but the rest of the world (Middle East and Latin America in particular) helped offset JCDecaux weak activity in France (+0.6%). This is still weighing a quarter of turnover.Similarly, Southern Europe (Portugal, Spain and Italy) continues to suffer.
Among the major activities of JCDecaux, the decline in activity in the display (-3.7% as reported) is offset by the growth of income in airports and public transportation (subway, bus), which jumped nearly 17% over the first six months of the year. A segment of the market in which JCDecaux has invested heavily in recent years.
Stability in third quarter
In total, the group chaired by Jean-Charles Decaux can boast flashing in green. The increase in sales has led to a mechanical increase in the margin, but less than that expected by analysts. Net income group share resort, it, up 46.3% to 95 million euros. The slowdown, however, marked between the first and second quarter.Segment of street furniture (almost half of the activity), growth was almost zero from April to June, a jump of activity against 5% in the first three months of the year. This cons-performance due to the continuing difficulties in Europe and the loss of several concessions to large shopping centers in the United States.
The group gives no margin target. He anticipates only "organic growth of its sales in line with the second quarter. "In other words, we must continue to do with the difficulties in Europe. "Knowing that the bases of comparison are not favorable," argues Jean-Charles Decaux. Organic growth was over 11% in the second quarter of 2010.
"Our media is the one most resistant to the crisis," says the boss.JCDecaux expects the continued urbanization of the planet and the rise of digital (11% of the activity in transport) to continue to grow. Not to mention possible acquisitions.
Air France: conflicts threaten three departures on holiday
While looming two weekends among the busiest in passenger of the year, Air France warned of now-already-and its passengers that they may have to be patient. If the airline has reached an agreement with the seven unions of Stewart and hostesses, thus avoiding a first strike scheduled for July 29 and August 1, she still faces other threats to social movements.
Two pilots notice
The first is the drivers. Tuesday, three minority unions – the SPAF, the Alter and R'Ways – have in fact filed a strike notice for the same July 29 to August 1. As the crew before them, the drivers are protesting against the offensive "anti-low cost" Air France plans to launch in its databases province. The new operation is expected to result, according to the drivers, an increase in the number of hours worked and trips a day.
For now, this movement somewhat worried the company, which does not anticipate any disruption in traffic this particular weekend. She feared much more the second notice, filed for the weekend of August 5 to 8, by the powerful pilots' union SNPL. Especially since the solutions to this conflict then escape it, since it is the government that is directly targeted. The pilots claim in fact the culmination of the reform of the Pension Fund of seafarers, which began three years ago. This morning, Labour Minister Xavier Bertrand told Europe 1 radio he was "hopeful" of finding a solution to the conflict. A mediator was appointed in early July to resolve this issue, which divides pilots and cabin crew.Raphael Hadas-Lebel, who assumes the function of mediator in addition to the Chairman of the Board of Retirement Guidance (NRC) "shall make its findings in the coming hours," said Xavier Bertrand this morning payday loans for bad credit.
The mechanics harden the tone
But at the same time, the management of Air France must also manage a third conflict, less publicized than those of pilots and aircrew, but highly impacting: some 4000 engineers responsible for maintenance of 260 units of the company practice of walkouts, for seven weeks.
If the company minimizes the facts explaining that stoppages of one or more hours that are 50 to 100 people, the impact on traffic is nonetheless real. According to Le Parisien, Aujourd'hui en France, long flights and medium-haul flights from Paris-Charles de Gaulle accuse each day delays of 15 to 20 minutes.Management also recognizes that it is obliged to postpone the launch of a two-plane in the evening to morning. Orly airport and Toulouse are also affected.
And before the stalled negotiations on wage demands, the engineers are threatening to get tough tonight at 22 hours. "Delays are possible and we do not exclude some cancellations," said Air France AFP. Alert bulletins on traffic conditions are published to the attention of travelers on the website of the company.
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Greece: The judge left with insufficient
In general, policy makers and global economic welcomed on Friday the new aid package of nearly 160 billion euros to save Greece. In France, François Baroin, the Minister of Economy, and Valerie Pécresse, his counterpart in the Budget, were the first to emphasize the benefits of the plan this morning on RTL and RMC, respectively. It's then Prime Minister, Francois Fillon, who returned on the details of the agreement, and most importantly, who has estimated the cost to France at 15 billion euros. All three said they were very satisfied with this plan. But French opposition, meanwhile, remains critical.
• François Hollande (PS) The socialist candidate for president in 2012 called Friday for "late and poor" the new plan of aid to Greece, even if deemed "necessary."At the micro de France Info, François Hollande spoke of "relief": "The markets for some time will be appeased, especially since it is the States that will make the main effort." However, it refrains from any "complacent", saying the plan is insufficient. He deplored, among other things that the tax credit was set aside.
• Martine Aubry (PS) Another presidential candidate, former secretary of the Socialist Party also welcomed an agreement has been reached. But the problem is "whole" in terms of "building the government of the euro," she said in a statement. Thus, "Europe has risen almost a disaster: the collapse of the single currency by lack of political action against speculation," says she. Before qualifying as "unacceptable" that "the rating agencies weigh so much on the choices that affect half a billion people."And reiterates its desire to create a tax on financial transactions.
• François Bayrou (Modem) – The plan "will not" slammed the president of the Democratic Movement. He sees in this agreement a lifeline intended to give "relief to the Greek government." To him, other crises will undermine the euro area. It regrets in particular that the measures adopted to reform the banking sector of Athens were not extended to other members of the euro area. Before you lament that "the rules and structures of defense systems of the European currency" has not been established.
• Arnaud Montebourg (PS) – The agreement "will likely relieve pressure and gain more time," said the PS deputy and president of the General Council of Saone-et-Loire. It considers, however, that this plan is not a solution as "effective and fair" that he should have been.Among other things, he accuses him of "load" European taxpayers by saving the banking sector.
• Marine Le Pen (FN) The leader of the Front National sees in the plan a "very bad news." "Another 109 billion euros of public money spent for nothing," she exclaims, lambasting a euro area "already bankrupt." And renew its desire for a "concerted output of the euro", since the plan "sign the stubbornness of the ruling caste to want to save at least one euro become synonymous with debt, unemployment, and insecurity", asserts she said.
• Jean-Michel Baylet (PRG) – "The measures taken to stop midstream." But esteem is what the president of the Radical Left Party (PRG) in a statement Friday morning. If he sees in "solidarity with Greece" a "necessity", Senator regrets measures "purely technical"."Above all, the vicious circle of speculation is not stopped," he supports, before advocating "a tax on financial transactions of sovereign debt across the European continent."
• Pierre Laurent (PCF) – a decision that "protects the interests of major creditors, banks and insurance companies, and speculators." The national secretary of the PCF has blasted the new plan to help. "The relaxation of systems refinancing and redemption of public debt will not illusion," he criticizes in a letter to AFP. "The risk of widespread collapse of the system is real.The role of the European Central Bank is not redirected, hedge funds are not taxed, the idea of a tax credit is abandoned, "he recites.
• Nicolas Dupont-Aignan (DLR) to the President of the Republic and Member of Standing of Essonne, the "arsonists" played with "firefighter" for "attempting to deceive public opinion still." He sees in this agreement that a "large patch", which "is a little more into debt without the French helping the Greeks." For him, "the cause of the collapse of the economies of south of France" is by no means settled.
Internationally, the reactions are positive
• Philipp Rösler (German Minister of Economy) It expressed satisfaction on Friday, the summit of the eurozone. But he warns that secondary market purchases by the European Financial Stability (EFSF) should be strictly controlled.He recalled that it is one of the cornerstones of the agreement announced Thursday, to the extent that it must allow support of Greece while avoiding spread of the crisis to other economies in the euro area.
• Jan Rostowski (Polish Minister of Finance) He also welcomed a "step in the right direction." "For the first time in years the euro area began to anticipate events," he adds in a micro national radio. Now, even if the rating agencies formally declared insolvency of Greece, "the problems of Athens, Ireland and Portugal are sufficiently well resolved so that it does not spread to other countries," he said.
• Evangelos Venizelos (Greek Minister of Finance) At a press conference Friday morning, the Minister welcomed an agreement that in his view a "great relief".For him, the country's banking system is so "guaranteed and insured." In addition, Evangelos Venizelos welcomed the emergence of a "European meeting" in his view, the decisions of the euro area provided a "clear and precise solution" against "asymmetric warfare [...] between the European Union and the markets. "
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