Forecast growth in 2010 doubled in France

The government will almost "double" its growth forecast for 2010 up to now set at 0.75%, said Prime Minister Francois Fillon on Thursday. This revision of economic forecasts will rise to the occasion of the supplementary budget, said the Premier.

"In the beginning of this year's event takes off. I am announcing that we will revise upwards our growth rate during the presentation of the budget law on investment for the future, next week, "said Francois Fillon. "I think we will not be far from doubling our last official forecast, which was 0.75%. The government is coming close to economists' forecasts.Deutsche Bank expects growth of 1.5% in France this year.

"Keep strict state spending"

The Prime Minister also made a sign towards the financial community. He promised that he would present "in the coming weeks our overall strategy of leaving the zone of excessive deficit by 2013, indicating the conference organized deficit late January.

"We will continue to take strict state spending: already in 2009, these costs will ultimately be slightly below the ceiling which had been voted by Parliament," he argues."For 2010 we have also decided that the interest burden of the investment program (large loan) will be offset by an equivalent reduction in state spending."

The rating agencies have repeatedly warned Paris that he must submit a strategy of rapid reversal of deficits and debt.

The Economy Minister Christine Lagarde announced late December that France knew "a slight recovery" and that growth in the fourth quarter 2009 is expected to be slightly above the 0.3% recorded in the third.

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Wall Street opens this year in green

Wall Street started the first meeting of the year on a positive note, while Ben Bernanke and Donald Kohn, respectively president and vice-chairman of the Fed (U.S. central bank), who spoke yesterday, stressed that the rate of interest should remain near zero in the months ahead.

The index futures on Dow Jones are 0.87%, to 10,518.28 points. The Future S & P 500 gained 1.02% at 1126.5 points, and Nasdaq 100 future, less shy, wins 1.37%, to 2300.13 points points.

Earlier this morning, Asian stock markets have evolved piecemeal. But the Nikkei in Tokyo was able to distinguish themselves, rising 1.03%, buoyed by the rebound of Japan Airlines.Manufacturing activity in China continued to rise in December for the 10th consecutive according Index Purchasing Managers (PMI) Chinese official on Friday.

Wednesday Specifically, the ISM will release the same survey the rest of the economy.

During the rest of the week, investors will turn their attention to the minutes of the Fed in December. The debate could be sharp: the report should provide explanations on the choice of means and proposed guidance on the timing of the implementation of drainage of excess liquidity."Considered the first phase of" normalization "of monetary policy, removal of masses of liquidity injected to address the financial crisis will be interpreted as a scout for the first increase in rates," continued strategists.

Will also be peeled, the employment figures in the month of December (Thursday), following the upturn in November.The state's housing market (sales promises Tuesday) and construction costs.

The euro accentuated its gains against the dollar Monday amid European exchanges in a renewed interest in risky investments, while confidence in the strength and sustainability of the economic recovery is enhanced by a good indicator for Europe.

Lower costs at Wal-Mart

The oil companies Chevron (1.89% to 78.45 dollars) and ExxonMobil (1.02% to 68.88 dollars) involved in the rise in the Dow Jones, while a barrel of oil rose from 1 about $ 60 on Monday to 81.46 dollars.

Alcon (-2.64% to $ 160): The Swiss pharmaceutical group Novartis announced this morning have purchased an additional 52% stake in Alcon from food giant Nestle for $ 28.1 billion.

Chesapeake (+5.49% to 27.3 dollars), which was created with the French Total group a joint venture through which Total will contribute to Chesapeake for the acquisition of 25% of the portfolio in the U.S. the Barnett Shale, a $ 800 million to finalize the deal, signed December 30.

Kraft Foods (+0.18% to 27.23 dollars): The giant U.S. food would consider raising the hostile bid it has made since last November 9 to get their hands on Cadbury, the British weekly Britain's Sunday Times.

Wal-Mart (2.12% to 3.86 dollars). The head of Wal-Mart's Eduardo Castro-Wright, has announced its intention to reduce its costs in the Financial Times. The official estimated that the costs could be reduced by 5% to 15% in five years.

The Paris Bourse marked time

The 4,000 points away gradually. The CAC 40 in mid-session, is down 0.71% to 3932 points in a volume of exchanges low of 443 million euros. Other major European markets also receding, with a decrease of 0.5% in London and 0.9% in Frankfurt. As for the European indices, the Euro STOXX 50 yields 0.8%.

After recording several records in closing on the year, the Paris market shows signs of slowing, affected by the slight decline on Wall Street Tuesday night, but especially by the lack of which can give him momentum. The public debt of France has reached a record $ 1457.4 billion at the end of 3rd quarter (29.4 billion compared to end June), or 75.8% of GDP in France.The number of building permits for new buildings has fallen by nearly 18% in one year.

Apart from the index which measures economic activity in the Chicago area, at 14.45 GMT, no statistics would be published before the end of the year.

The euro is almost stable against the dollar (-0.08% to 1.4334 dollars). Gold recorded a second session in a row downward (-0.49% to 1091 dollars per ounce).

The defensive stand out

In France, most CAC 40 values are in red, with the exception of securities considered to be very defensive, like Carrefour (+0.94% at 33.82 euros) and Pernod Ricard (+0.48% at 60 , 28 euros).

The title of Unibail-Rodamco, Europe's leading commercial real estate, was leading the CAC 40 (+1.27% to 151.20 euros).

Conversely, ArcelorMittal (-1.83% to 31.96 euros), biggest drop in the CAC 40, suffered profit-taking.

The cement manufacturer Lafarge lost 0.62% to 57.79 euros.Its Director General, Jean Desazars of Montgailhard, quoted in the Financial Times says the group does not yet feel the effects of rising construction expenditures of U.S. and European governments.

Areva (-0.57%) announced it has signed with Fresno Energy Group, a letter of intent for the construction of one or two EPR nuclear reactors in California.

GDF Suez (-0.38% to 30.10 euros) announces tie at Stord in Norway, a platform for oil and gas field Gjoa in the North Sea, during a complex operation for on behalf of the operator Statoil. The energy group has formalized the signing of the public service contract with the State covering the period 2010-2013.

The Accor Group will split into two

Nothing will ever be. Directors of Accor approved on Tuesday a proposed split of the group that plans to separate one side hotel, other services (including Ticket Restaurant). The decision was taken unanimously with a vote, the Strategic Investment Fund (ISF). Accor's second largest shareholder with 7.4% of capital, "sovereign wealth fund to the French" had opposed the project, or at least its timing. In our columns, Gilles Michel, CEO of FSI, had deemed "risky". However, it has joined any of the six independent directors on the board (of twelve). A setback for the fledgling fund in the battle that played out behind the scenes.

Accor cut in half, it was the wish expressed long ago by the fund Colony and the investment company Eurazeo, bound by a pact and initial shareholders with about 30% of capital.They say the best way to value the group ending the discount for holding that penalizes the share price. Gilles Pelisson, Accor's CEO, agreed with their opinion in recent months. He will lead the hotel industry (Accor Hospitality). The new entity combining the services will be headed by Jacques Stern. The deputy director general in charge of piloting the project finance division to completion.

"The split does isno job cuts'

An extraordinary general meeting will be convened no earlier than late June to endorse the project to be implemented before the end of 2010. "I said before the group walked on two legs better, but I always said that the subject was not taboo and it would look on a regular basis, was justified Gilles Pelisson, explaining that two looms Accor had profoundly transformed in recent years.He believes that now is in their interest that they become "pure players". "The central scenario, with the final terms will be decided in the coming months, is a split with two listed companies, a detailed Gilles Pelisson. Accor to action today, you have an action Accor Hospitality and action Accor Services. "

On the job – a concern of the unions – he assured that "the division does not create job cuts as there are no synergies between the two professions.

Eurazeo and Colony Capital have agreed to extend to shares of two companies that will arise from the splitting of the provisions of shareholders agreement between them since May 2008 until May 4, 2013. They also extend within the pact until 1 January 2012 the commitment to retain their shares in Accor and entity services.Conversely, the ISP finds his freedom of action vis-à-vis participation inherited from the Deposit.

Studies conducted by management have shown a separation of two Accor would enable it to "accelerate" the development of both trades. Emphasizing the lack of synergy between hospitality and services that evolve "in environments increasingly different," the work of the board have concluded that once separated these two businesses, "with their own business model, attract a greater number of investors. " According to Sebastien Valentin, an analyst at Societe Generale, services should represent 14% of sales this year of Accor, but two-thirds of operating profit."This poses a problem of balance, because culturally Accor remains primarily a hotel company," says he.

Without the hotel, receive services at 100% of the cash they emerge to finance their development. As for the hotel, without the cushion of safety that brought him the services it should expedite the sale of walls.

For the ISP, a division of Accor is too risky

Paris wants to regulate CO2

"Whatever the outcome of negotiations in Copenhagen, carbon finance will grow," asserted Friday Augustin de Romanet, director general of the Caisse des Depots (CDC), central player of the CO2 market in France. Europe, pioneer, has held his Fellowship in 2005. Over 62 billion it traded in 2008, three quarters of global transactions. But Japan, Taiwan and South Korea will begin their Fellowships, followed in 2012 by the United States. Three days before the opening of the UN conference on climate change, Ministers of Economy and Ecology, Christine Lagarde and Jean-Louis Borloo, inaugurated on Friday the "Committee established France Carbone" . This instance of consultation will propose rules for the third phase, 2013-2020, to avoid, including the VAT fraud. The Franco-British rivalry also affects the CO2.Bluenext, the platform for exchange of Paris handles 80% of European spot market, but London (platform ECX) dominates the futures market. Pace "our friends across the Channel," says Christine Lagarde, "our intention is to regulate."

Air France: Pilots and management at the edge of divorce

Air France – KLM is a company in crisis. The crash of flight AF 447 had raised many issues internally but so far the pilot unions remained supportive of their leadership and particularly their new boss, Pierre-Henri Gourgeon, in place since the beginning of the year. Since one week break is consumed. "The picture is clear: we are experiencing a crisis management regarding flight safety," said Eric de Rivery, spokesman for the National Union of Airline Pilots (SNPL), the majority at Air France. This breach of trust creates conditions cause accidents. "

The gap began to widen in June when the company pilots had to fight for the replacement program pitot probe implicated in the accident flight Rio-Paris is accelerated.On October 15 a meeting between Pierre-Henri Gourgeon and overall supervision of drivers, including Le Figaro has revealed the content, increased the unease surrounding. The CEO of the company has created misunderstanding of its executives by refusing several proposals to strengthen security.

Last week, it is a management letter addressed to its pilots, and revealed by the Tribune, which finally set fire to the powder. It refocuses the drivers and warns of non-compliance with security procedures which have resulted in incidents. The mail goes to highlight "the surconfiance" drivers and "feel good about his plane at the point of granting deviations thinking coarse control risks." The company has recorded three incidents flight ops, that is to say in flight in two weeks including a go-around at 76 feet above the ground.These incidents are mentioned implicitly in the management letter. They have also all been an air safety report (ASR), that is to say a report by the pilots concerned. "Since the AF 447, there is great sensitivity about the subject, explains a part of the company NTP. But the incidents, it has all year. We remain as efficient as our competitors. "Pilots do not understand that incidents are" instrumented "by their management to question their competence and put in relation with the drama of flight AF 447.

The letter was immediately joined unions unanimously denounced for their part, the inertia of the leadership since the crash of flight AF 447.

"Go see the state"

Since June, two minority unions, the Union of Air France pilots (SPAF) and Alter, have cleverly captured the subject of flight safety.They include published early in a dissenting report on the accident flight AF 447 and threatened to strike if their demands for security were not answered. They call for establishing "a permanent monitoring unit" that can have access to air safety reports (ASR). In their view, such a cell might be more reactive during the first incidents of Pitot probes and encourage their replacement without waiting for the accident flight AF 447.

Since the weekend, the two organizations protesters were joined by large stable association of the company: the SNPL. "It is normal that we have differences on social issues, said Eric de Rivery, spokesman of the union.But we must speak with one voice on flight safety. "The unions have decided to contact Jean-Cyril Spinetta, who became non-operational boss of the company earlier this year to allow commands to Pierre – Henri Gourgeon. "And if we are not heard, we pass over, said Eric de Rivery. We do not forbid to visit the state. "For the moment, Dominique Bussereau, Secretary of State for Transport said it was monitoring the situation" very carefully ". It is not officially issue a strike, but unions did not exclude, "to weigh".

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Oil has spent the 80 dollars

On Tuesday oil has exceeded the threshold of 80 dollars per barrel in the Asian market for a few hours before declining to 79.75 dollars, a level that had been achieved over the past year amid a weak U.S. currency.

"Once again, these spectacular gains have been driven so far mainly by financial factors and the optimism of the market rather than supply and demand, and consider analysts JBC Energy in Vienna. "We see no reason that would prevent the money back within the range of 65-75 dollars. The production capacity dormant reached 6 million barrels per day in OPEC countries, refiners receive very low margins, demand remains sluggish in industrialized countries, "they say.

The forward price of black gold has accompanied a sharp slide in the greenback against other currencies.The euro / dollar on Tuesday still flirts with the symbolic threshold of $ 1.50 for 1 euro to 1.4970 dollars exactly 12:00, always on levels 14 months ago, triggering a wave of purchases of materials materials.

PSA Peugeot-Citroen at materials green

The car pollutes. As we know, but it is not inevitable. To reduce the "ecological footprint" of cars on the environment, manufacturers focus on two main areas of work. On the one hand, improved engine performance, consume less, on the other hand, the use of organic materials or recycled.

The main challenge today comes from the use of plastics which represent about 20% of the mass of a car. However, plastics are petroleum derivatives. Their price depends on the black and gold resource is not inexhaustible. To address these two concerns, both solutions are preferred: the use of recycled plastics and development of biomaterials. Teams of PSA guide us in three workshops to find solutions.

1.Natural fibers

Natural fibers used in combination with plastic for automotive parts.

The trend has "stalled" on weekends, but confidence remains

Laskine Roland, editor of the Journal of Finance