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Sanofi-Aventis lowered its forecast for 2010
The pharmaceutical group Sanofi-Aventis, seeking a major acquisition, had approached the U.S. biotech Genzyme understands the Wall Street Journal on its website. In early July, the French had been the subject of market rumors about a proposed acquisition of U.S. $ 20 billion.
"Discussions are still in their infancy and there is no agreement expected in the immediate future. Issues such as price and management have not yet been addressed. " Both groups refuse to aAny comment.
According to the U.S. daily, officials from Genzyme, which specializes in products for the treatment of orphan diseases, are studying the amount that Sanofi would pay.In Stock, Genzyme capitalization stood at 14 billion dollars (10.8 billion euros) but the group can require a significant premium given its portfolio of drugs. "If we take as a starting point around the 20 billion dollars that has been discussed before, this puts Genzyme to $ 75 (per share)," said Michael Yee, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets.
Blow to Lovenox that will have to battle against a generic
In exchange, the action Genzyme has skyrocketed 15% to 62.52 dollars at the close of Wall Street. And during transactions unofficial title continued to grow.
Faced with competition from generic drugs, many pharmaceutical companies are looking for external growth.And the more that Sanofi-Aventis has paid this Friday a blow, with the approval by U.S. health officials the first of its generic anti-coagulant Lovenox star, his second top-selling drug in the world. "The FDA today approved the Administrationa first generic version of Lovenox, the FDA announced in a statement posted on its website.
This product is developed by the Swiss Sandoz, the generic arm of Novartis, Momenta and American society.Sales of Lovenox, a drug derived from heparin and more complex to copy a traditional chemical molecule had reached 3 billion euros worldwide in 2009, including $ 1.8 billion in the United States.
Sanofi-Aventis revised downwards its forecast 2010
In the first quarter 2010, sales of this drug was 769 million euros, which was still the second largest group of drugs sold worldwide. The FDA's decision also forced to Sanofi-Aventis to reduce its forecast for earnings per share for the year 2010. Sanofi has not waited for the publication of its results on July 29 to do to the markets. "At this stage, the group plans an evolution of the EPS (earnings per share, editor's note) activities for 2010 of between 0% and -4% compared to 2009 at constant exchange rates," says Sanofi- Aventis said in a statement issued late Friday.
In April, the group had confirmed capitalize on growth in earnings per share from 2 to 5% (at constant exchange rates). But this prediction was made without taking into account competition "potential" of a generic Lovenox.
In the longer term, Sanofi-Aventis said in its statement that it "renews its objectives for 2013, as was disclosed in July 2009. At this point the focus group said two billion euros in savings in 2013 compared to 2008, to prepare for the scheduled loss of patent protecting its key drugs in favor of generic manufacturers.
The sales of Sanofi made in the USA by its anticancer Eloxin fell sharply after the launch of generic versions, while its other cancer drugs, Taxotere, will drop its patent to the public in November in Europe and United States.
In late June, Sanofi announced the acquisition of American TargeGen for 560 million dollars (458.5 million euros) in order to strengthen the fight against cancer.
CAC40: net expected fall opening
Like its counterparts in the U.S. and Asia, the Paris Bourse is expected to begin sitting down sharply: down 1.95% to 3375 points according to futures contracts of 8:00. In fact, the Dow Jones fell 0.98% to 9774 points, penalized by the numbers of job creation in the private sector. The Nasdaq fell to its share of almost 2%. Today in Paris, and banking stocks should lead the automotive market. The threat of Moody's notes the degrade of Spain also crystallize attention. The U.S. credit rating agency put the sovereign rating of Spain under surveillance. Moody's points to weak growth prospects of its economy.
Moreover, the adoption in the United States by the House of Representatives of the financial sector reform, discussed for months, will attract the attention of investors.The new legislation will include Washington to restructure financial institutions in bankruptcy, for failing to conduct further rescue operations financed by the state. The powers of the Federal Reserve (Fed) are expanded, a monitoring of the sector is expected and will give consumers more protection. Moreover, hedge funds and rating agencies will be subject to more stringent regulations. The text must be approved by the Senate next week before being signed by Barack Obama.
Statistically, the markets will be introduced in France in production prices and imports in the industry at 8.45. In the eurozone, the PMI manufacturing index will be released in 11 hours. Overseas, the jobless claims will be released at 16 hours and the promises of home sales and the ISM index of manufacturing activity.
In terms of companies, EADS shares will be particularly taken this morning. Indeed, the WTO has dealt a setback scathing EU ordering him to remove certain export subsidies provided to Airbus. The Union will appeal the decision of the World. Financial details have not been disclosed. Boeing believes that the pan-European aircraft manufacturer must pay back $ 4 billion of undue subsidies. But the WTO has put forward any figures, it will be difficult to see clearly the consequences of the decision of the international organization.
Moreover, the numbers of registrations in France will be unveiled on Thursday at noon. According to BFM, registrations have fallen by 10% in the month of June In addition, the phasing of the scrappage scheme does not allow a glimpse of the market recovery in the immediate future.Renault would be the big winner in first quarter sales thanks to its built by Dacia Sandero.
Bank stocks should once again hold the attention of investors with a loan of 442 billion euros on Thursday. A year ago, in 1121 established banks in the euro zone had borrowed over 442 billion euros at the ECB at a fixed rate of 1%, a record in the history of European monetary institution on a single transaction.
The Société Générale will be more monitoring than the AMF (AMF), Wednesday imposed a fine of 100,000 euros to Jean-Pierre Mustier, former head of market activities of Societe Generale for failing to initiated. Conversely, Natixis has been exonerated by the AMF following an investigation into his financial disclosure.
Shareholders will also be sensitive to the decision of Saint Gobain to repay 72.1% of the 2009 dividend in shares to allow the group to consolidate its equity by 368 million euros.
In addition, the Sanofi-Aventis could react to the decision of the U.S. Food to MultEQ, an arrhythmia drug cons of the French group on the quarterly list of its audits.
France Telecom will also be under the spotlight. The operator presents its new internal business plan
Out CAC40, Faurecia announced the acquisition of 18.75% of the Chinese automotive Xujang Group, where he became the strategic shareholder.
Obama prepared for the post-oil
The spill "will push us to rethink our energy and environmental policy," said Barack Obama last June 14 during his fourth visit to the polluted beaches of the Gulf of Mexico. "We remain the largest importers of oil, or we can make the investments that we would become the world's leading exporter of renewable energy." This sentence, Bush had decided long before the "September 11 ecological. It is dated March 19, 2009. For when he took office, the successor of George W. Bush's climate and the "transition energy" one of its priorities.Giving due to 32 oil companies that had filed an appeal, a judge in Louisiana quashed yesterday, this moratorium. The White House immediately announced its intention to appeal.
The Democratic majority hopes tying a new version of the bill by the month of July. The text, in its latest release, provides a carbon market to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases from industry and, among other provisions, the nuclear revival.
No matter that the oil spill as an excuse to create an energy tax, has won Sunday's Mitch McConnell, the Republican leader in the Senate, where every vote counts.
Barack Obama is still riding the wave sticky to push his advantage. It should meet on Wednesday a group of Senate Republicans and Democrats to seek a compromise on the new law.Without waiting for Congress, the Administration Obama has already made progress in diversifying its energy sources.
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Breton: "France will be the first issuer of debt in euros in 2013
Asked by the business daily La Tribune published on Thursday, former Minister of Economy and Finance and current CEO of Atos Origin, Thierry Breton, calls for strong commitments to reduce the debt of Latin Europe and in particular France. During the next decade, these countries will face the "telescoping" of two costs: the repayment of past debt (previously issued securities that expire) and new financing budget deficits.
The capacity of countries in southern Europe to repay their debts does not inspire much confidence in the markets as Germany, currently the largest emitter of debt of the eurozone. Inherited from the reunification, the German debt represents 73% of gross domestic product (GDP) and is expected to gradually reduce in the coming years.Moreover, investors do not doubt the capacity of fiscal consolidation in Berlin, unlike those of other European countries.
"The constitutional constraint is my preference"
Thierry Breton, the euro zone countries must commit to restoring the balance of their accounts under the rhythm of each country by the year 2016-2025. For France, whose debt issues should dethrone those of Germany in 2013, "the goal would fall to 2020, according to former Minister of Economy bad credit pay day loans.
The French debt represented 77.6% of last year's GDP and the country's public deficit amounted to 7.5% of GDP, well above the Maastricht criteria (respectively 60% and 3%), Thierry Breton now considers inappropriate: the true test of Evalution countries should address, according to him, the annual estimate of their "actual financing needs" and "solvency".
To avoid both the severity and growth deficits and uncontrolled debt, Thierry Breton called for "firm commitments": "If the constitutional constraint has my preference is first because it is collective freedom and national consensus. "
It also explains limited to enshrine a deficit in the marble of the Constitution would be the most reassuring to financial markets, "an absolute guarantee in the eyes of those who buy our debt."He concluded that "such a guarantee is the remedy, the real, against speculation."
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Aid to Greece in five questions
• What is the plan?
The total amount loaned to Greece for three years, is 110 billion euros. The International Monetary Fund will lend 30 billion, 80 billion European states. For the first year alone, the total amounts to 45 billion euros.
Countries in the euro area will lend at a rate of about 5%, well above that at which they borrow their own markets. They must therefore, ultimately, make money with this operation. Assuming that Greece will repay many loans.
• Is it enough?
It is still uncertain. "The loan size is substantial and should fill most of the financial needs of Greece," say economists at BNP Paribas, which predict a total requirement of about 120 billion euros.Rumors from the German Ministry of Budget, Greece would need more than 150 billion euros.
Still, the plan means, Athens will not return to tap capital markets before the first quarter of 2012, according to the Greek Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou.
But everything depends on the success-or failure of the austerity plan set up by Athens. If public spending is poorly controlled, then the budget deficit will fly, Greece will take over, the debt will increase. The deficit will worsen if the recovery is also softer than expected. So the rescue plan would prove insufficient.
• When will funds be disbursed?
It was one of the obsessions of the markets before the official announcement of the plan. Greece was indeed an urgent need for funds: it must find eight billion euros by May 19It should eventually find them without worries thanks to the quick release of the aid by major contributors that are notably France and Germany.
Many states have approved the plan this week (or are about to do), such as Belgium, Portugal, the Netherlands, Italy, Cyprus, Luxembourg and Austria. France has voted the text on the night of Thursday to Friday. The outcome of the vote is no doubt right and left supporting the rescue plan. In Germany, after much wrangling, the plan should also be voted on Friday.
Italy, part of major contributors, will decide the payment by decree and may publish it immediately if needed. Same in Spain.• • •
• • • Other States show less eagerness, such as Slovakia, who refuses, or Ireland, Finland and Slovenia.
• Is it risky to lend to states in Greece?
to believe the rating agency Standard & Poor's, the most severe, Greece 23.08% of risk of default within three years. This is reflected in its 'BB +' rating assigned to it by the agency.
But "if European countries lend to Athens is that they do not believe the risk of default," said Jesus Castillo, an economist at Natixis. The European Central Bank, as the International Monetary Fund believes that a default is "beyond question".
However, "if repayment problems appeared after three years, the loans could be extended," said during the debates in the National Assembly Chairman of the Finance Committee Jerome Cahuzac.to believe the MP, who auditioned Budget Minister Francois Baroin, the latter "has not ruled out a rescheduling of Greece against the eurozone countries since it was envisaged that such debt is not repaid at maturity of three years, but later ".
• How a State debt can borrow to lend to another debt?
Spain and Portugal, being attacked by the markets and in financial difficulty, will lend to Greece respectively 9.79 billion and 2.06 billion euros.
Not to worry, according to Jesus Castillo, "they always have access to the market to finance", in contrast to Greece. Spain has also successfully raised 2.345 billion euros on Thursday at an average rate of 3.532%. Although lower than that at which it will lend to Greece.The Greek operation should be profitable for both countries of the Iberian Peninsula.
On the other hand, the loan granted to Greece will not fill the deficit under Maastricht. For France, the loan will weigh initially 3 billion euros over the budget deficit, it will not affect the deficit calculated by Brussels, by Representative Charles de Courson related remarks Bercy.
Paris and Berlin agree on a tax on banks
In Berlin
That's all smiles as Wolfgang Sch?uble, German Minister of Finance and his counterpart, Christine Lagarde, have been presented to the press after the German Council of Ministers which, for the first time a foreign minister was able to attend. After quarrels on the question of rescue of Greece and the tensions in the German economic model, the French Minister has stressed "the very friendly and warm hospitality" of his German colleagues. Asked about his remarks about the controversial German exports, Christine Lagarde has countered that she had wanted to "congratulate" the German competitiveness. "I am very careful not to criticize, because we must first put its own house," she smiled.
The Franco-German reconciliation was played around a tax on banks that Berlin wants to impose on the European and international level, with the support of Paris.The compulsory levy, calculated in terms of systemic risk – that is to say the risk of contagion that would expose their failure to the rest of the economy – should contribute to a fund to help financial institutions.
More than one billion euros
In Germany, such a tax would yield 1 to 1.2 billion euros per year. "A bill must be presented before the summer holidays, and could be adopted in the second half of the year," said Wolfgang Sch?uble. For the Minister of Finance taxation of banks should remain "moderate" to avoid compromising their role in providing credit to the economy that is recovering from recession.
To avoid distortion of competition, Paris and Berlin argue like the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a tax credit internationally.Christine Lagarde believes it is important to act "on a double angle: Prevention and Accountability" of financial institutions. But the tax credit mechanism must also "maintain a set level playing field between banks involved in international markets.
One issue still under discussion between the two countries: the destination of the tax. While Paris wants to assign to the state budget, the Germans are considering creating a special fund.The national rules will be required, although the mechanism is doomed to fall within a framework of European regulations or international.
"The Franco-German cooperation is narrow, it becomes more and more, and is based on trust," said the German finance minister, who will attend an upcoming French Cabinet, a priori, April 7.
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Signs: the tax upset traders
Soft Focus. The establishment of local tax on outdoor advertising (TLPE), established under the Act to modernize the economy in August 2008 and came into force on 1 January 2009, aroused much debate. So much so that the Trade of France (CCF), which comprises almost 40 federations of trade, asked in a statement this week, a "moratorium" on this new tax.
A text is not clear
According to CCF, the statute establishing the TLPE been "too many errors of interpretation" from the common guaranteed fast personal loans ."A dialogue must be initiated between the government and businesses to stop the abuses and excesses observed." Among the absurd situations, the RTC said that some cities are taxing the opening hours displayed on the front door of stores or the sign indicating the price of gas stations, but a legal obligation.
According to CCF, the signs indicating the prices of petrol stations are subject to TLPE. Photo credits: Le Figaro
Peugeot launches its solution "mobility map"
Mu, you know? Not yet? It will soon be difficult to avoid if you live in Paris. Peugeot is launching an extensive marketing campaign for its new "mobility service". Display urban subway trains in the colors of Mu, nothing will be spared.
But Mu is what? A rental vehicle launched by Peugeot, which allows users to rent, according to his needs, a bicycle, electric assisted bicycle, a scooter, a car and, once it is released, the Ion, the electric car from Peugeot. The principle is simple. Simply create an account on the Internet (www.mu.peugeot.fr) and purchase of units (20 cents one). Once Mu credited his account, you can book the vehicle of choice, always on the Web, or on terminals now installed at dealerships Parisian brand, but also those of Brest, Rennes, Nantes and Lyon.
Renting a bike with electric assistance will cost 45 units the day (9 euro), a scooter 125 cm3, 39 euros. If you need a family sedan, a 407 to go on weekends, this will be charged 215 euros (per 500 kilometers). A rate comparable or slightly superior to those displayed by the traditional rental. But the benefit formula Peugeot, you choose your model: you book a 407, not a Category C, with its share of mystery about the type of vehicle in which you are flying again.
With Mu, you can also rent the accessories you need: for example, a GPS (10 euros per day) a bicycle rack (20 euros) or 80 euros a week, a roof box.Baby seat, bike helmet and bike, and snow chains are also available in dealerships.
Peugeot hopes to win in Paris 1600 by June, with a formula clearly inspired by the car sharing and V?lib'et whose chief advantage and be no subscription fee. Disadvantage in terms of "mesh" of the territory (one of the arguments of marketing for the brand), yet there are only four concessions in Paris and that of Defense. However, Peugeot Scooter will soon offer their services. What a true "local network".
Barack Obama addresses with its budget deficit in 2011
He had made his election promise. Controlling the deficit of the federal state is at the heart of the proposed 2011 budget that will present U.S. President Barack Obama to Congress on Monday. The White House announced that the budget for the biennium 2010-2011 (late October 2010 to end September 2011) is forecast at 3.834 billion dollars. A budget of expenditure of 3% higher than the current biennium (2009-2010), who is expected to reach 3.721 billion dollars, according to latest estimates, the official said of the budget at the White House, Peter Orszag, the margins the presentation of Barack Obama.
In parallel, the White House has raised its growth forecast for 2010 to 2.7%, against 2% originally planned. In the fourth quarter of 2009, U.S. GDP grew at a record pace of 5.7%. In 2011, the U.S. administration expects a rise of 3.8% of GDP.Unemployment, however, will remain at 10% on average in 2010, before declining slowly to 9.2% in 2011 to 8.2% in 2012 and 7.3% in 2013. Other forecasts underlying the budget 2010-2011, inflation should remain below 2% in 2010, before falling to 1.5% in 2011.
A record deficit amid recession
Upon his election, Barack Obama had pledged to reduce the U.S. deficit in half by the end of his term in 2013. According to the White House, the deficit would be reduced to 1.267 billion dollars, or 8.3% of U.S. GDP, against a record $ 1.556 billion (10.6% of GDP) expected for the year 2010. It would fall to 828 billion (or 5.1% of GDP) in fiscal 2012 and 727 billion (4.2% of GDP) in 2013.
To achieve these objectives, the executive put on a 19% increase in tax revenue in 2011 to 2.567 billion dollars, with the return of growth.But not only. Rigor requires the White House has confirmed a spending freeze for three years, excluding programs and social security. "The president told his team the task of budget line by line look at the federal budget to see where we can save money," said communications director of the White House, Dan Pfeiffer. A senior U.S. official had assured last week that the budget would propose a "strict freeze" spending "not essential".
Cutting waste is launched
Among the victims of budget cuts, the program of manned space Constellation, which was to send astronauts back to the Moon, will be discontinued no teletrak payday loan . Launched in 2004, this program was highly symbolic for NASA and widely supported by Congress.According to estimates, the U.S. space agency has already spent just over $ 9 billion as part of Constellation. Peter Orszag provides, however, that other investments will be made in research and development.
A budget that reflects "serious difficulties" current
Another priority of the proposed budget for Barack Obama, employment will be stimulated by tax cuts. "We are at war," said Bush, after unveiling his budget proposal to Congress. "Our economy has lost 7 million jobs over the past two years, and our state is heavily in debt after what can only be described as a lost decade."
Unemployment has passed the 10% mark since October and that for the first time since 1983, said Peter Orszag."The budget provides $ 100 billion for immediate investment creating jobs through tax cuts for small and medium enterprises, infrastructure and green energy," said the White House. Tax cuts for the wealthiest households, decided by the predecessor of Barack Obama, George W. Bush, expire, however.
A commission created to achieve balance
Moreover, other sectors will no longer be subsidized, particularly fossil fuels."This budget contributes to lay foundations for long-term economy (…) and examines challenges long neglected, including health, education system, and the move towards Clean Energy, summarized spokesman Dan Pfeiffer.
Finally, the White House has confirmed the creation of a commission composed of eighteen members of Democrats (10 members) and Republicans (8), whose mission will be to examine ways to bring forward a balanced budget, excluding repayment of debt.
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Forecast growth in 2010 doubled in France
The government will almost "double" its growth forecast for 2010 up to now set at 0.75%, said Prime Minister Francois Fillon on Thursday. This revision of economic forecasts will rise to the occasion of the supplementary budget, said the Premier.
"In the beginning of this year's event takes off. I am announcing that we will revise upwards our growth rate during the presentation of the budget law on investment for the future, next week, "said Francois Fillon. "I think we will not be far from doubling our last official forecast, which was 0.75%. The government is coming close to economists' forecasts.Deutsche Bank expects growth of 1.5% in France this year.
"Keep strict state spending"
The Prime Minister also made a sign towards the financial community. He promised that he would present "in the coming weeks our overall strategy of leaving the zone of excessive deficit by 2013, indicating the conference organized deficit late January.
"We will continue to take strict state spending: already in 2009, these costs will ultimately be slightly below the ceiling which had been voted by Parliament," he argues."For 2010 we have also decided that the interest burden of the investment program (large loan) will be offset by an equivalent reduction in state spending."
The rating agencies have repeatedly warned Paris that he must submit a strategy of rapid reversal of deficits and debt.
The Economy Minister Christine Lagarde announced late December that France knew "a slight recovery" and that growth in the fourth quarter 2009 is expected to be slightly above the 0.3% recorded in the third.
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