At The Core
World News
Asian stock markets are diving into the red on Tuesday. As in Europe and on Wall Street, investors are still worried by the problems of sovereign debt hitting the euro area and the United States. France is again threatened by Moody's AAA rating, which places her under surveillance increased and Spain is still attacked on the bond markets, despite the political transition of the weekend.
The disappointment is great after the "super-committee" responsible for the debt of the United States, which announced Monday not to have reached an agreement between left and right. The twelve members of the joint committee were responsible for the deficit of 1200 billion and had until midnight Wednesday to address their recommendations. President Barack Obama assured that the United States were not at risk of default.He said he was determined to keep the pressure on elected officials and threatened to veto any attempt by Congress to mitigate the budget cuts that are now automatically take effect.
Standard & Poor's and Moody's reported that U.S. credit rating would not be affected by the failure of these discussions. But Fitch said it would take by the end of a decision on the consequences of the failure of the "super-committee".
"Big disappointment" expected by Japan
In Japan, the new lock worried. Japanese Minister of Finance, Jun Azumi, fears a "big disappointment" of markets. The negative effect is felt at least on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, which leaves 0.40% to 8314.74 points at closing.
Loss history published Monday by the German manufacturer Q-Cells solar panels, receivership last week to the French pioneer Photowatt, bankruptcy of the American Solyndra, despite a half-billion dollars in loans guaranteed by the Obama administration … The horizon of the PV industry seems to have dimmed in recent weeks.
Last date black cloud, so the results of Q-Cells, which Monday posted a quarterly net loss of EUR 57 million, a quarter of sales, itself down 43% year on year cash advance to savings account. The bad news have plunged the action Q-Cells up to 30% on Monday in Frankfurt. The German company cited "market environment significantly more difficult than expected."
Change the marriage contract to better protect her husband
Your matrimonial is it still fits your financial situation? Through the acquisitions made during the life, property division rules established by the initial marriage contract may no longer meet the needs of the couple, including the death of one spouse.
The rules of succession are now more protective of the surviving spouse. They guarantee him at his option, the option of retaining the use of all of the assets of the deceased, or to obtain full ownership of one quarter of those assets. The question arises, however, with respect to the principal residence, especially when children are involved. If one spouse wants more protection, it is possible, by gift or by will to assign ownership of property.
The high yields are sought by individuals
The increased volatility in equity markets and the low pay of traditional investments (2% on average for tax-advantaged bank books, money market investments 0.7% and around 2% for bond funds invested in conventional bonds) to encourage More and more investors to find the funds to share so-called "high yield" or directly select actions with good yields.
The temptation is great indeed try to take advantage of very high salaries offered by many CAC 40 stocks: 11% more than expected this year surFrance Telecom, Vivendi 9.6%, 6.9% of GDF Suez and Total and 6.5% of Suez Environnement. These attractive rates are much higher than the average of the CAC 40, which is already high at 4.8%.Level itself almost twice the performance of government bonds to 10 years.
The promise of return is high, but these values traditionally considered defensive have been unable to withstand the market downturn. All titles in the list of the highest yields in the CAC 40 fell in the same proportions as the index. After sharp declines occurred in recent months, however, many experts believe that the values of performance should begin to put up a good resistance in the event of further decline. It would be a good time to get involved.
Stocks or mutual funds
There are two ways to play the performance faxless cash advances. The first is to buy direct from companies offering high dividend.But instead of seeking the largest dividend, better focus its durability, good visibility on the evolution of profits and growth prospects minimum without which no development of the company is possible. Therefore rather than focusing only on the most spectacular returns, such as France Telecom, it is better to diversify its choice of titles, such as GDF Suez, Total, Suez Environnement, Vinci, EDF, and Sanofi. Many companies that offer potential returns of 6.5 to 5%.
The alternative is to opt for funds that specialize in this type of security. During the last few months none of them has survived the market downturn, but the restoring force that is the prospect of good pay should start playing in their favor.Many French funds have over the years specialized in actions "high performance". Among these are: Habs return, Ecofi Performance Shares, Performance Oddo, LFP Performance Shares Growth, growth yield values (find details of all these funds Star.fr Morning) or a new fund under Luxembourg law Groupama AM G Fund European Equity High Dividend.
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Refinery strike threat to hard Berre and elsewhere …
As soon as the announcement by LyondellBasell Tuesday in council, the forthcoming closure of the Berre refinery, which employs 370 people, of all 1270 employees of a petrochemical site voted renewed strike of 24 hours. "More than a thousand employees, including much of the leadership, voted to stop all of the site, that is to say the refinery, but also units of petrochemical and oil depots, and blocking of entrances and exits, "said Patrick Sciurca, spokesman of the Inter (CGT, CFDT, CFE-CGC, FOR, CFTC). "We're dealing with rogue bosses. They force us to take tough positions that we can further tighten, "says the union.CGT announced yesterday that the general meetings will be held in all French refineries this morning.
In 2010, the area was paralyzed by a social movement in response to the announcement of the closure of the Flanders refinery, operated by Total in Dunkirk freecreditscore. At the time, the conflict had disrupted fuel distribution in France.
At Berre, the sale of the refinery achieved no result, LyondellBasell prefer to stop the costs: it has indeed lost 400 million euros since its acquisition in 2008 and is expected to be € 120 million deficit in 2012 . "It's the only number that management has given us. They are unable to tell us what results come out the whole site with or without the refinery while a McKinsey study estimated that closing the refinery would deprive downstream from the site of 80 million margin of integration " , Patrick gets upset Sciurca.
Industry and households demoralized
Optimism has no place in French industry and households. According to the monthly survey published Friday by INSEE, the synthetic indicator of business climate in manufacturing industry fell by six points to 99 points in September, passing below the 100 that corresponds to the average long period for this indicator. "He finds his level of August 2010," INSEE said in a statement.
As for the index of business climate as a whole (including services, construction, wholesale and retail trade), it falls along eight points to 97 points. Clearly, "the economic climate deteriorated in all sectors except construction," says INSEE.
In detail, the entrepreneurs of the manufacturing industry believe that their past activity slows again.They are particularly concerned to see their order books, global and foreign, are down. The situation is similar in both food processing, electrical, electronic and computer in the car, where the activity is expected in sharp decline in the coming months.
Confirming this gloom, the turning point indicator of INSEE has clearly shifted in the red. If it is not necessarily synonymous with recession, "the index is in all cases the echo of a deceleration of growth in all sectors," explains Sandrine Duchêne, head of the department of economic INSEE.
The financial situation of the French deteriorates
Even pessimistic side of French households, whose confidence index has lost five points to 80 points in September, according to data from the institute poor credit personal loans. This is its lowest level since February 2009.This indicator had a slight gain in July (three points) after months of stability. But in September, households appear significantly higher than in July to anticipate an increase in unemployment (23 points).
To this must be added the concerns of their income: between July and September, the opinion of households on their personal financial situation has deteriorated further, the balance corresponding dropping six points. Thus, the French are less numerous than in July to consider appropriate to make major purchases (-5 points). About their nest egg, they also feel that the time is not conducive to spare, the balance being lost 8 points in its long-term average.
According to Sandrine Duchêne, growth forecasts of 0.5% set in June for the third and fourth quarters will soon be downgraded."Since mid-2009, we tablions on a scenario of sluggish growth," said she. But the accumulation of adverse factors, "as the sovereign debt crisis in Europe, or concerns about the economic situation in the United States and China," cloud the prospects for a real recovery in the Hexagon.
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Harry Potter translated into Tibetan desperately seeking sponsors
Norgy Puchunggal, head of the drafting of the Tibetan Youth Newspaper, fell in love in 2003. He spent two years translating into Tibetan Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone, then a year for the second novel, Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets. At 40, he now attacks the other five volumes.
Not only did his translations were not reported, but it was found that in cities of Tibet parents are not interested in novels translated because they have nothing to do with the studies their children. In the country, the price of these books, 28.8 yuan (about 3 euros), making them inaccessible. So, Norgy Puchunggal, which has partnered with the Youth Foundation of Tibet desperately seeking sponsors to distribute free Harry Potter.
The apprentice sorcerer and his magic wand would they hear? The Commission for Banking Supervision in China has given the green light to the creation of a regional bank in Lhasa, with a capital of 1.5 billion yuan (161 million), funded by the regional government institutions and fifteen including several major public and private companies. Just now the spell.
Wall Street would open slightly higher
Moody's has pushed the debt of Ireland in the category of investment "hedge" by reducing the country's rating by one notch to "Ba1" with a negative outlook, saying the country might have needed new injections money before returning to the market.
Some officials of the Federal Reserve were willing to further easing in monetary policy if the recovery was too soft to flow back as long as unemployment and inflation is slowing, according to the minutes of the last meeting of the U.S. central bank released last night.The Fed had not so far as clearly suggested that a third series of so-called quantitative easing could be considered after the end of the second round of $ 600 billion at the end of June
Good news this morning, with the growth of China's GDP reached 9.5% in the second quarter, a faster pace than expected, which supported the Asian markets this morning.
On the foreign exchange market, the euro has stabilized at 1.4061 dollars against 1.3974 dollars late Tuesday while oil drops. In morning trading, a barrel of "light sweet crude" for August delivery lost 41 cents to 97.02 dollars. That of Brent North Sea crude for delivery yielded the same 43 cents to 117.32 dollars.
On the macroeconomic front, investors will also monitor the continued publication of results of companies in the United States.Alcoa opened the ball of the ads on Monday after closing. Its earnings were revealed in below expectations, but its sales exceeded estimates and Alcoa has confirmed its forecast for demand growth in aluminum.
JPMorgan Chase will be the first major U.S. banks to issue, with results expected tomorrow, the same day as Google, which will set the tone for the technology. Investors will know very quickly if the U.S. financial sector has suffered from the decline in trading activities. These results also give a taste of the figures will be announced later by European banks.
According to Thomson Reuters data, the results of listed companies on the S & P 500 should show an average increase of 7.3% compared to second quarter 2010.But this increase could be higher if a majority of companies beat the consensus.
Wave of redemptions
Meanwhile, mergers and acquisitions continue to multiply on Wall Street.
The side of values, Electronic Arts has announced the acquisition of PopCap Games, a provider of video games for $ 1.3 billion including $ 650 million in cash, 100 million and the balance in action in the form of contingent payments by December 2013. In addition, the company should record a first quarter loss per share 0.37 to $ 0.40 against a loss of $ 0.24 per share last year.The turnover should be between 500 and 525 million against 539 million a year earlier.
Always on the side of values, UDR announced the acquisition of three housing estates for community $ 687 million and four development projects for $ 375 million.
Validus Holdings Ltd submitted a proposal for redemption Transatlantic Holdings (TRH) at a price of 55.95 dollars per share.
In addition, the Icelandic company that collects money for the site Wikileaks has sent a complaint to the European Commission against the credit card giants Visa and MasterCard for blocking since the end of 2010 donations to the site, his lawyer said Wednesday.
Also note, the U.S. court on Tuesday approved an initial payment of $ 272 million to victims of the scam of the old American financier Bernard Madoff by the liquidator of the fund, Irving Picard.
New suicide attempt at the Ministry of Finance
Ill-being at work does not spare officials. A union representative FO Finance tried to end his day on Friday, in full meeting of the Health and Safety (HSC) on working conditions within the Directorate of Public Finance (DGFIP). Several witnesses reported by AFP, the union is currently under observation in hospital, would have exposed the direction the difficulties encountered in connection with his work, before swallowing the contents of a tube of medicine .An accident that occurs just days after the suicide of another officer DGFIP, and one month after that of a labor inspector of Direccte (Regional Business, competition, consumption, labor and employment).
The report of activity to be examined on Friday at HSC, 27 suicides were reported to the Ministries of Economy and Budget in 2010, against 25 in 2009 and 24 in 2008. The growing number of these tragic events, the unions denounced the growing unease of the staff concerned, who suffer in their ongoing reforms. "Those from the general revision of public policies (RGPP) were a source of tension for the agents. But with the planned job cuts still 3100 jobs this year – working conditions deteriorate significantly, "worries Aubursin Lawrence, General Secretary FO."It comes to not being able to respond appropriately to user requests," says her assistant, Frances Gauchet.
A view shared by the occupational health department. "Problems related to job cuts are being felt throughout the hierarchy. This situation is not unique to the Ministry of Finance is now characteristic of the entire administration, "said one doctor. A fact made more difficult for agents to manage the discomfort in the workplace has long been taboo in the public service. For example it is extremely rare for a suicide to be recognized as an accident, unlike the private sector. But progress has been made so far in recent years. "There is now a real awareness of managers and the top hierarchy, the court doctor.A reflection on the organization is conducted, training frameworks in place … This is progress, even if these efforts are undoubtedly effective forced. "
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German banks at the forefront in Greece
If European leaders want to involve rescuing investors from Greece, they will have to negotiate primarily with German banks. They are in fact those who hold more government debt, amounting to $ 22.7 billion (15.5 billion euros), according to figures released Monday by the Bank for International Settlements. The French came second, with an exposure of 15 billion dollars (10.3 billion euros).
A total exposure of all European banks in Greece's debt stands at $ 52.3 billion (35.8 billion euros). By adding the two other countries receiving EU aid and the IMF, Ireland and Portugal, the figure stands at 100 billion euros. German institutions hold almost two thirds of this amount.
Particpiation private
Friday, EU leaders said they reached agreement on the extension of aid to Greece. About 60 to 65 billion euros that the new plan would cost a quarter, or 15 to 20 billion euros would come from the private sector. He would ask investors to reinvest in Greek debt money recovered when their bonds mature.
Such an initiative would demonstrate that participation in the effort from the private sector has been explored, "said Justin Knight, strategist at UBS AG, quoted by Bloomberg. "This could lead to voters to accept a new European public aid" to Greece business card. The Germans would, however, according to Die Welt, go further and require banks to extend loan periods, exchanging bonds maturing by other securities of a longer duration.
Default risk
However, "some sources suggest that asking banks to exchange the Greek bonds could trigger precisely a failure," says Luigi Speranza, an economist at BNP Paribas CIB. The rating agency Fitch estimates for its part in a note published Monday that even an exchange of debt on a voluntary basis, if it is unfavorable to creditors, may be considered a "credit event", ie ie a payment default.
In this context, EU leaders are walking a tightrope. Especially since the European Central Bank reiterated Monday his opposition to the restructuring of state debt. "Imposing a discount to private investors can seriously disrupt the real economy and financial creditor and debtor countries, has said Lorenzo Bini Smaghi, board member of the institution.Therefore a restructuring would be done as a last resort, that is to say when it is clear that the debtor country can not repay its debts. "
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