The CAC 40 falls through its

The days are not alike on the financial markets. The past three days, the CAC 40 has continued to flirt with the bar of 3000 points. This Friday, the stock index closed down 1.51% at 2981.96. Thursday reassured by indicators of employment growth and U.S. financial markets this time had a difficult session after disappointing statistics from the United States, China and Europe. Thanks to a good start to the week, however, the CAC 40 gained more than 5% this week.

So investors remained pessimistic before the meeting between President Nicolas Sarkozy and Prime Minister of Greece George Papandreou that began at 17 hours, to "take stock of the situation with him that is currently in Greece."

More than 18% increase for the banking week

Across the Atlantic, consumer spending has slowed sharply in August, while household incomes have in turn declined for the first time since October 2009. Were also more bad news from China where activity contracted slightly in September for the third consecutive month as Germany, which saw its retail sales fall 2.9% on month in August .Sign of the resurgence of pessimism, the euro resumed its decline against the dollar at 1.3456 dollars (-0.96%) and oil is about to go under 80 dollars to 80.082 dollars exactly (-1, 61%).

On the corporate side, banking stocks were again weighed on the Paris stock exchange, but this time negatively. Societe Generale lost 7.31% to 19.54 euros, Crédit Agricole has sold 3.17% to 5.23 euros and BNP Paribas dropped 3.50% to 30.05 euros. Week, however, was very positive for the French banks as they have won between 18% and 20% in stock. Most cyclical stocks, the more dependent the economy, also rose in the image of Lafarge (10.40% for the week) and ArcelorMittal (4.93%). However, the luxury sector has suffered: the last five sessions, lost 5.50% LVMH and PPR was down 7.88%.Vallourec, which suffers from the slowdown in the sectors of mechanical engineering, gives up almost 9% for the week.

There are several benefits to no teletrack payday loans, which typically have an easy web based application resulting in quick approval times.

Park the car with his phone

This is one of the innovations that made the most about her at the Frankfurt Motor Show. The French supplier Valeo has developed a system, called Park4U Remote, which allows to park your car while remaining outside it, with his mobile phone.

The application detects the parking spot, then maneuver the car away, receding, Braque, braking, forward and contrebraque any one until it is completely parked. The Utisa has to keep its finger on the smartphone to make the whole operation.

To stop everything, just lift the index. Interest: fit into small spaces on the street or parking lot, between two poles, without damaging the vehicle. To leave, you can also get the car out of the slot with his phone, if the door opening is made difficult by the narrowness of the place.No release date is currently indicated by Valeo, which currently markets a parking assist system semi-automatically.

One thing is certain, if this product becomes public, be flying his phone will become more annoying than ever.

Automotive: car pulls herself

Player Figaro BFM

MEDEF Summer University: the owners remain optimistic

The storm that hit financial markets and threats on the European and American do not worry the bosses from all over France who participated Thursday in the second day of the MEDEF Summer University organized on the campus of HEC Jouy-en-Josas (Yvelines). After facing the worst financial tsunami in September 2008, they are determined to stay the course. "Companies that seek growth, continue to seek growth. Those who curl up, continue to shrivel, says Stephen Bernard, Bernard Controls CEO and Chairman of the MEDEF TPE-ETI. The only danger could come from the banks if they change their attitudes vis-à-vis SMEs. We are regularly out on all the work done during the crisis of 2008 to pursue a genuine dialogue with the bankers.I am confident because companies can not grow without banks. "

In July, a survey conducted by the MEDEF Ile de France, reported a cautious business leaders in investment and hiring in the coming months. They showed a greater reluctance at the beginning of the year. Recent events have not changed their perception. "Business leaders know that the current financial difficulties do not have the same basis as in 2008. They are not fooled. A company is not only its market value cash till payday advance. Its value, it is men and what it produces. French banks are solid. Order books are good. The agenda is full of my business, "says Marie-Christine OGHLY, president of MEDEF Ile-de-France.

Emerging growth opportunities in

"What strikes me is the gap between the health of businesses and the macro-economy.I am reasonably optimistic. Large companies and other clients maintain their investments, "says Christian also Poyau, president of the Micropole services company that has acquired a Chinese company in May. "I just take stock of our activities in China that are developing as planned. The company fundamentals are good. We should not only focus on the U.S. economy. The world has changed. China, Brazil grow. I do not believe in a deep recession in the United States. I am confident because companies have growth opportunities in the world. " This observation is also that of Christophe de Margerie, Total CEO: "The growth in emerging markets is not to our detriment. It helps a lot when things go less well, "said the boss in this major group, listed on CAC 40, who attended a session on the theme" Réespérer. "A word that bosses are determined to make them.

The display stands up well with JCDecaux Asia

No doubt, the economic model of JCDecaux continues to prove itself. In the first half, sales of the French group, world leader in outdoor advertising, organic growth (excluding acquisitions and currency effects) of 5.8% to 1.17 billion euros, higher than the communication sector, which is between 3 and 4%.

The growth remains strong with a good spread of activities. The dynamism of the Asia-Pacific, representing 19% of sales and grew by almost 20%, but the rest of the world (Middle East and Latin America in particular) helped offset JCDecaux weak activity in France (+0.6%). This is still weighing a quarter of turnover.Similarly, Southern Europe (Portugal, Spain and Italy) continues to suffer.

Among the major activities of JCDecaux, the decline in activity in the display (-3.7% as reported) is offset by the growth of income in airports and public transportation (subway, bus), which jumped nearly 17% over the first six months of the year. A segment of the market in which JCDecaux has invested heavily in recent years.

Stability in third quarter

In total, the group chaired by Jean-Charles Decaux can boast flashing in green. The increase in sales has led to a mechanical increase in the margin, but less than that expected by analysts. Net income group share resort, it, up 46.3% to 95 million euros. The slowdown, however, marked between the first and second quarter.Segment of street furniture (almost half of the activity), growth was almost zero from April to June, a jump of activity against 5% in the first three months of the year. This cons-performance due to the continuing difficulties in Europe and the loss of several concessions to large shopping centers in the United States.

The group gives no margin target. He anticipates only "organic growth of its sales in line with the second quarter. "In other words, we must continue to do with the difficulties in Europe. "Knowing that the bases of comparison are not favorable," argues Jean-Charles Decaux. Organic growth was over 11% in the second quarter of 2010.

"Our media is the one most resistant to the crisis," says the boss.JCDecaux expects the continued urbanization of the planet and the rise of digital (11% of the activity in transport) to continue to grow. Not to mention possible acquisitions.

Monaco placed on the royal wedding to revive its economy

The figures speak for themselves. In anticipation of the royal wedding of July 1 and 2, the National Council of Monaco, the equivalent of our Parliament, has allocated a budget of 4 million euros. Almost as much as the 4.4 million spent by the principality in 2010 to launch its corporate campaign in the French magazine and on the web. This shows the importance for the Rock the marriage of Prince Albert of Monaco and the former champion South African swimmer, Charlene Wittstock. Both in economic terms and in media coverage.

From next Friday, when the celebration of the civil union, Monaco looks indeed more than 200,000 visitors. A golden opportunity to restore a spotlight on the micro state of 35,881 inhabitants.Still considered a haven for billionaires, Monaco has indeed not escaped the crisis in recent years, in 2009 recording a decline of 9% of its tourism industry (mainly tourism business), before a resumption of 6 % last year. At issue: the crisis in the "customer proximity" (Italian and French), which became more reasonable.

Although the number of spectators attracted to the wedding should remain three times lower than the 600,000 tourists who traveled to London in April, for the marriage of William and Kate Middleton. But the Rock expects no less favorable economic impact. In anticipation of the weekend, everything was set up to attract maximum visitors: free trial of race cars, train frequency increased, on the big screen broadcast of the festivities, free parking, free admission to most museums … .Beyond the provision of 4 million euros of the National Council, the Centre has also participated in an amount that has not been made public.

Attract new large fortunes

The principality wants to use the event to attract tourists back wealthy, more and more tempted by other destinations. The sector remains in effect in the heart of Monaco's economy, with nearly 500 conventions and meetings a year and distributed 780,000 nights in the 16 luxury hotels. "Monaco must expand, transmit messages incentives to attract large fortunes, talents.It should be under the spotlight at all times, "said Michel Bouquier and the Director of Tourism of the Principality

Operation seduction seems to be working: within a week of marriage, hotels are almost full (2700 rooms, 90% in four stars), and the Rock is an increase of call for cruise ships in recent weeks. Remains to be seen, beyond the one-time event, the mass return of tourists will continue. Especially such an event is not without adverse consequences for the economy.For example, if the marriage of William and Kate has resulted in more than 570 million pounds (640 million euros) in economic benefits, productivity losses related to the only holiday of marriage (Friday, April 29 ) were valued at 7 billion euros.

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Greece: Restructuring considered inevitable and frightening

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While European leaders seek to reassure financial markets by saying that Greece's debt will not be restructured, some strategists say the opposite. "To get out of financial crisis plan which moved the European countries, Greece should be restructured" hard, "said Christophe Donay, chief strategist at Pictet & Cie. In other words, Europe must draw a line under some of Greece's debt-what I call a partial-defect, while recapitalizing banks recorded losses due to restructuring. "

However, the solution currently under discussion at EU level aims to do everything to avoid a "credit event" on the Greek debt, that is to say a default. It is thus considered a new loan to pay 60 to 65 billion euros by 2014.The private sector would also be involved, banks are encouraged to continue investing in the Greek debt to the tune of 15 to 20 billion euros.

"But by giving more money to Greece, Europe or the private sector maintain the regime crisis," says Christophe Donay. "Reading the financial markets on the debt of European countries has changed. Until then, they adopted an accounting approach. In other words, they wondered how Europe should pay to save a troubled country. Today, they wonder whether the European countries generate enough growth to pay off their debts to five or ten years. "

45 years to meet the Maastricht

For Strategist Pictet, the conclusion is clear: the growth rates of financially troubled countries (Greece, Portugal, Ireland and Spain) are insufficient to finance their debts payday loans.Thus, Greece, Ireland and Portugal are expected to show annual growth of 21%, 13% and 8% in ten years to achieve a debt / GDP ratio of 60% as required by the Maastricht criteria. And if one was considering realistic annual growth rate (2%), it would take 45 years to Greece to meet this criterion and 30 years of debt to Ireland. "It is not clear that financial markets are waiting so long," concluded Christopher Donay.

Time is the right thing yet to the euro zone, according to Anton Brender, Chief Economist at Dexia AM. "Lack of Greece, alone, does not pose a problem in itself," he said. But such an event is likely in the current fragility of other countries in the periphery, causing a phenomenon of contagion.If Greece fails, why not also Ireland or Portugal, who also receive assistance from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund, will wonder when the markets.

Beyond even this group of countries at risk, "there is a risk of transmission of the crisis countries such as Belgium, Italy and Spain," continues the economist. "You have to give time to the latter, especially, to leave the area of ​​infection by standing on a stable trajectory of debt reduction", defends Anton Brender. For this, one must combine austerity and growth, two goals are incompatible in the short term.

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German banks at the forefront in Greece

If European leaders want to involve rescuing investors from Greece, they will have to negotiate primarily with German banks. They are in fact those who hold more government debt, amounting to $ 22.7 billion (15.5 billion euros), according to figures released Monday by the Bank for International Settlements. The French came second, with an exposure of 15 billion dollars (10.3 billion euros).

A total exposure of all European banks in Greece's debt stands at $ 52.3 billion (35.8 billion euros). By adding the two other countries receiving EU aid and the IMF, Ireland and Portugal, the figure stands at 100 billion euros. German institutions hold almost two thirds of this amount.

Particpiation private

Friday, EU leaders said they reached agreement on the extension of aid to Greece. About 60 to 65 billion euros that the new plan would cost a quarter, or 15 to 20 billion euros would come from the private sector. He would ask investors to reinvest in Greek debt money recovered when their bonds mature.

Such an initiative would demonstrate that participation in the effort from the private sector has been explored, "said Justin Knight, strategist at UBS AG, quoted by Bloomberg. "This could lead to voters to accept a new European public aid" to Greece business card. The Germans would, however, according to Die Welt, go further and require banks to extend loan periods, exchanging bonds maturing by other securities of a longer duration.

Default risk

However, "some sources suggest that asking banks to exchange the Greek bonds could trigger precisely a failure," says Luigi Speranza, an economist at BNP Paribas CIB. The rating agency Fitch estimates for its part in a note published Monday that even an exchange of debt on a voluntary basis, if it is unfavorable to creditors, may be considered a "credit event", ie ie a payment default.

In this context, EU leaders are walking a tightrope. Especially since the European Central Bank reiterated Monday his opposition to the restructuring of state debt. "Imposing a discount to private investors can seriously disrupt the real economy and financial creditor and debtor countries, has said Lorenzo Bini Smaghi, board member of the institution.Therefore a restructuring would be done as a last resort, that is to say when it is clear that the debtor country can not repay its debts. "

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Ireland lose close to his rank of reliable borrower

Irish debt enters the red zone. On Friday, ratings agency Moody's Investors Service has indeed lowered the rating two notches of Ireland "Baa1" to "Baa3", pushing the country to the lowest level possible for reliable borrowers. In other words, the last step before investor confidence will eventually volatilize. And Moody's notes that this degradation is accompanied by a 'negative' outlook, leaving the door open to future further degradation, although this decision should not intervene "in the medium term."

If a new downgrade of its debt were to be decided, the country would be in fact classified as borrowers may not honor their debts. Ireland would therefore its sovereign bonds classified as "junk bonds" – or junk bonds, and would have the greatest difficulty in borrowing on the markets.And a restructuring of its debt would be necessary.

The bailouts are linked together, the challenges remain

This decision was taken by the rating agency because of the deteriorating economic outlook of the island. Paralyzed by a financial crisis, Ireland has been trying for two years to improve its economic situation. She suggested early April fifth bailout of its banking system, in great difficulties, which must be recapitalized to the tune of 24 billion euros.

An austerity plan aimed at reducing the public deficit to 3% of Irish GDP in 2015 from 9 fast cash online.6% in 2010 was also adopted by the country before the elections of 25 February, to keep its promises to the IMF International and the European Union that have provided aid to 85 billion euros.

A new recession

Despite these efforts, economists forecast remains bleak.Last week the central bank of Ireland has revised down its growth expectations for this year: Ireland's GDP should grow by 0.9% it in 2011, 0.1 percentage point less than its initial forecast formulated in January. It also lowered its expectation for 2012 s Croisances from 2.3% to 2.2%.

She also gave the term "recession" on the current year, after the Irish GDP has declined for three consecutive years, falling by 1% in 2010 from 3.5% in 2008 and 7.6% in 2009.The IMF has also produced a report on the state of the Irish economy and its prospects, which should be published that day.

Corruption, the housing bubble and lax financial regulation that boosted the country's growth until the outbreak of the financial crisis in 2007, could continue to encumber the Irish economy for several years.

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