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The concern again lead the CAC 40
Friday promises to be as black as the night before at the Paris Bourse. The CAC 40 was launched on the day down 0.37% to 3064.49 points. But around 9:40, the drop is accelerating: the Paris index unscrewed from 3.44% to 2970.13 points, releasing the threshold of 3000 points. London and Frankfurt lost respectively 1.10% and 1.36%. 2.19% loose Madrid, Milan were down 2.14% and 1.76% in Zurich.
Operators are struggling to recover from their emotions after the new European stock markets plummeting and U.S. Thursday. This morning, Asian stock market sent negative signals with indices in very sharp drop. This bad mood due to a surge in concern about the state of the global economy, reinforced by poor indicators of the Atlantic.Bad index measuring the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing activity in the region, lower sales of existing homes in July, new jobless claims rising again during the second week of August … All signs of the apparent stagnation of growth in the United States.
Concerns about U.S. growth fears add to the debt crisis in Europe, European banks are the first to bear the brunt. In its Thursday edition, The Wall Street Journal reported on fears the U.S. Federal Reserve on the liquidity of European banks. And for the first time since February, the European Central Bank (ECB) has given a major dollar loan to a European bank, whose identity was not revealed.An action that reinforces doubts about the ability of banks to refinance.
Morgan Stanley has added his two cents to panic, explaining that she perceived the United States and Europe as "dangerously close to recession." The President of the European Union, Herman van Rompuy, tried Thursday to calm the mind by ensuring that there was "no new recession" in sight. And this morning, Chinese Vice President Xi Jinping has reaffirmed that the U.S. economy was "resilient". In vain.
"The bears are back"
"The bears (pessimistic players, ie) are back in force that night, after disappointing U.S. economic indicators and renewed fears about the stability of European banks, which prompted investors to push the button sales," said Ben Potter, an analyst at IG Markets in Australia."There seems to be getting ready for a weekend very ugly, with a market dominated once again by fear and panic," he added.
Gold reached a new record Friday morning in Asia, to 1,837.50 dollars per ounce, due to the concern. And oil, which fell 6% in New York yesterday, continues to fall in morning trading. A barrel of "light sweet crude" for September delivery lost 1.69 dollars to 80.69 dollars while that of Brent North Sea crude for October delivery gave 68 cents to 106.31 dollars.
No significant indicator that could reverse the trend, are expected on Friday.
Values to follow
The banking sector
European financial stocks, which had been rolled by a renewed tensions in the interbank market and concerns about the short-term refinancing of banks are still misguided.BNP Paribas (-3.22% to 33.11 dollars), Natixis (-2.90% to 2.81 dollars), Credit Agricole (-2.70% to 6.06 euros), Société Générale (-2, 69% to 21.02 dollars) and AXA (-0.56% to 10.28 euros) are in the red.
Danone: -1.75% to 46.05 euros
Nestlé, the group became a favorite activity for infant formula, Wyeth, Pfizer subsidiary, valued at approximately ten billion dollars (seven billion euros), officials said a source familiar with the bank.
Technip: -3.67% to 57.77 euros
The French engineering group said it had received a letter of intent on the part of the American oil company Anadarko for the construction of an offshore platform for the Gulf of Mexico.
Towards a tax on "high income"
When in 2007 the Merkel government has created an additional income tax of 45%, Germany was against the current. At the time, it was time to lower taxes to encourage work. But the crisis and rising public deficits have changed everything. Germany has become more and more followers. In 2010, the UK has increased to 50% the rate of the highest portion of its income tax (IR). And Italy is preparing to introduce a solidarity tax for employees earning more than 90,000 euros.
More surprising number of taxpayers potentially affected by such a tax do not hesitate to ask now open! American side, the billionaire Warren Buffett has called this week for a contribution of "mégariches."In France, Maurice Levy, chief executive of Publicis Group and president of the Afep (French association of private companies), wrote in his name, an article in Le Monde, where he considered it "essential that the effort Solidarity begins with those whom fate has spared. " All indications are that it will be heard as the French government pledged last spring to introduce a tax on high incomes. "Today we are working on the issue of remuneration is said sometimes extravagant," reiterated on Wednesday on Europe 1, the budget minister, Valérie Pécresse.
The majority has already noted last year from 40% to 41% in the final tranche of IR. But this time it is hit with higher incomes (the final installment begins 71,000 euros in annual revenues). And this without creating a new rate of IR.While some lawmakers, like Senator Jean Arthuis centrist, still defend the idea, Nicolas Sarkozy is opposed to any new slice. Since the fall, the government has consistently rejected in Parliament every initiative of his majority to create a slice with 46% annual earnings per share in excess of 100,000 euros.
A million or 150,000 euros of income a year?
The Ministers of Economy and Budget has established a working group of parliamentarians who must propose measures in the fall, in the 2012 budget. The idea of the executive, initially was rather taxing high incomes via the company by making non-deductible from corporate tax wages above a certain level. But the government now seems to favor a direct taxation at the household level, a solution advocated by many parliamentarians.Gilles Carrez, the UMP rapporteur of the budget in the Assembly proposes to introduce a contribution of 1% to 2% of annual revenues in excess of one million euros.
Advantage: All income is affected, including dividends and capital gains, not just wages (as with the non-deductibility). The threshold of 1 million French can target very easy – 30,000 homes would be affected. "The measure must be a symbol. This is not to bail out of the state, "said Jerome Chartier, UMP du Val-d'Oise. Indeed, 2%, the new tax would yield only 300 million (against $ 1 billion for the portion eg 46%). "Be careful not to pour into demagoguery and rich hunting. The contribution must be calibrated, "adds Philippe Marini, UMP rapporteur of the budget in the Senate.
Problem: all members do not see it that way.Pierre Mehaignerie, the UMP president of the Committee on Social Affairs in the Assembly hopes that the contribution applies from 150,000 to 200,000 euros in annual income for couples and 80,000 euros for a single. At this level, more than 300,000 homes were affected, including many executives. "I understand that. But our people are ready to make an effort if, at the same time, the state reform, "Pierre defends Méhaignerie. The animated discussions ahead in the majority!
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Debt: France deserves what score she?
The three major rating agencies have Anglo-Saxon reassured after the deterioration of the U.S. debt rating by Standard & Poor's: France, with a AAA, will not follow the same path. At least in the coming months. An agency is an exception, the Chinese Dagong. It gives the country an AA-rating, while preventing it could soon lower it. Large agencies and small news, who's right?
Dagong is not severe with France. "She has a much more negative than Western agencies of the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Belgium, Italy, Spain, observes in a note to Patrick Artus, head of economic research at Natixis.Regarding the situation of public finances and potential growth, we can only give reason for Dagong against three major rating agencies. "
But the financial rating of a state that reflects the risk that it does not pay-or-bad debt, is not based solely on purely accounting. Moreover, France does not deserve an AA if only the statistics alone were taken into account by Standard & Poor's, according to calculations of Natixis.
Political risks
"The gap between Dagong and the three major agencies and explained in the apprehension of risk policy and governance," notes Juan Carlos Rodado, economist at Natixis, and author of a study on the methodology of rating agencies. An example: Venezuela has severely noted Standard & Poor's (BB-) by Dagong (BB +), because the former has less confidence in the Chavez government.Moody's, Fitch and Standard & Poor's, unlike Dagong, also place a note on the weight of history. If a country has poorly paid its creditors in the past, such as Russia in 1998, the final verdict will be more severe. This factor discriminates against developing countries, and benefits the West.
At the heart of the statistical arguments, the Chinese agency promotes stronger economic growth and foreign exchange reserves, that is to say the cash generated by an entire economy thanks to exports. This way of clearly favors the emerging countries, major exporters (including China) and catching up economically.
The agency Dagong appears too severe, however, in general, said Jean-Christophe Caffet, an economist in charge of France, Natixis also: "She has placed virtually no major country in the AAA category, and those that are found are the debt markets rather narrow in which we can not really invest, such as Norway, Denmark, Luxembourg and New Zealand. "
Question of Independence
Also emit some doubts about the credibility of the agency Dagong. It has only twenty analysts to rate 67 countries, against 70 to 80 126 Standard & Poor's. In addition, its relationship with the Beijing government cast doubt on some Chinese economists, reports Le Monde. Finally, the same method as slides Juan Carlos Rodado, is not innocent: "When Dagong underestimated so the political risk, we understand the underlying interest."Namely encourage emerging countries close to China.
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Paris and Berlin agreed before the summit on the euro
A first relief is visible on Thursday morning in the euro area, a few hours of the meeting of European heads of state in 13 hours, which is to lay the foundations for the rescue of Greece. Indeed, after a marathon meeting more than seven hours, which ended the night in Berlin, Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel have agreed on a "common position". The head of the European Central Bank Jean-Claude Trichet joined the French president and German Chancellor later in the evening, he joined the discussions.
No tax on banks in the European level
Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel did not present the details of the compromise. They prefer to reserve the premiere of the content of this agreement for seventeen countries of the monetary union when they meet in Brussels. The Franco-German consensus as a basis for negotiations between the countries of the eurozone.
Still, the Franco-German snatched in the night is "a prerequisite" to a European compromise in Brussels, said this morning on France 2 Valérie Pécresse, budget minister and spokesman of the French government. "We must find a way to stop international speculation and stabilize the euro area", had said his side in the evening the French Foreign Minister, Alain Juppe, in Madrid. He added: "If the euro broke out, it would be a catastrophe." If not addressed on Greece "the consequences will be felt throughout Europe and beyond," stated yesterday the President of the European executive, Jose Manuel Barroso, calling the situation "very serious". "Borrowing 30 years "
The plan under discussion would be based in part on a private sector contribution of 32 billion euros over three years no credit check payday loans.It would ease the debt of Athens and would extend the term of the loans (up to thirty years), while remaining sustainable for the Greek economy. Along the lines of this project, private creditors would participate actively in the rescue of Greece, but each of these banks would remain free to choose the terms of its contribution from three possibilities.
Moreover, the German daily Bild reported that several leaders of major European banks will be involved in discussions. Josef Ackermann, the influential head of the first German bank Deutsche Bank, will include some of the participants in the summit, said the newspaper.
Diversification and increase in Fund resources Stability
In addition, the amount allocated to the European financial stability, currently 440 billion euros, should be raised. Europeans could also expand its missions.The latter lend in Athens what buy its own debt in the market for a price usually mentioned by 60% of their face value. Such an option would have the advantage of reducing the debt burden of the country to enable it to regain growth and ultimately solvency. The fund could also reduce the interest rate and lengthen the maturity of its loans to Greece, flexibility Ireland and Portugal could then benefit.
The suspense will last a few hours, the agreement between the countries of the eurozone is expected in the evening. But now, after the meeting between France and Germany, the euro is slightly redrese 1.4254 dollars.
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Life insurance less attractive
The French preferred to shun their investment. For six months, the payments on life insurance contracts are in free fall. In one year, they were down 12% at the end of May But it is true that last year at the same time, the collection was exceptionally strong.
His back is not what concerns most insurers. They are especially concerned more and more savers to make withdrawals from their contracts. These purchases (and capital paid after the death of the policyholder) jumped 15% in one year, and even 29% on the single month of May. According to the French Federation of Insurance Companies (FFSA), the movement affects all contracts, better filled with more modest. Crisis forces, some French draw on their savings to finance their spending. Others are shifting their capital to other investments, including real estate faxless pay day loans.The erosion yield contracts (3.4% on average in 2010) encourages them. As uncertainty about the sustainability of the tax advantages of life insurance.
Even the famous Afer the contract is affected. The G76, a syndicate of agents of the historical savings association, a phenomenon of outflows unprecedented explosion in the number of closings of contracts for two months, and decreased – for the first time – the number of members . In the weeks preceding the general meeting of Afer, June 29, the G76 has spared no criticism of the current leaders, denouncing particular problems of governance and lack of independence of Association vis-à-vis Aviva, the insurer that manages the contract Afer. Two points on which he joined the SOS Principles Afer. Further discussions that may leave investors confused again.
The Ideal City in 2050
Atlanta Barcelona instead. That is the conclusion from the report today entitled "Cities of the future, the future of cities." Barcelona is 26 times less extent that Atlanta, which reduces transportation and therefore energy consumption. "In Barcelona we consume ten times less energy than Atlanta," it said in the report, which draws the portrait of the ideal city by 2050. A city that is sure to play the card of density but without falling into the excesses of Mexico, a "monstruopole" of 22 million people suffocated by its size, which has the largest slum in the world.
To avoid this shift, Shanghai with 17 million inhabitants has a plan: develop nearby cities to ensure that services are not concentrated only in the city world fast payday loans. Another challenge: finding the right level of decision in these cities more and more large.In Toronto, for example, the five municipalities that made up this megalopolis since the early twentieth century were merged in 1995 to save money while making governance more effective. A political choice that has not been successful: the "New Toronto" was still recruited 3,500 people for its operation. And some red tape remains in decision-making.
Nuclear RWE and EON angry and France under pressure
The German government "plays with the competitiveness" of the country by accelerating the dropping of the atom civilian judge the boss's number two Germany's RWE, the megaphones and nuclear. Juergen Grossmann said that Germany wants "a future without major international groups in the energy sector," it said in the daily newspaper Bild on Wednesday in reaction to the decision of the German state of halt atomic energy by 2022.
For its part, the country's leading sector, EON, warned he would sue the position of Chancellor Angela Merkel to accelerate the abandonment of nuclear energy, and in particular not to abandon the tax nuclear fuel, saying that this tax "raises legal."The tax was created as a part-cons to a longer than twelve years of the life of the 17 nuclear reactors in Germany, decided last year and then canceled in a hurry after the disaster of Fukushima. She must report 2.3 billion euros per year in the German state. Proceeding in the same sense that Jürgen Grossmann, the group has also ensured that such decisions penalize investments in renewables and disability meet its European competitors.
A meeting Thursday, June 9 in France
In France, the pressure rises. On Wednesday morning, the Energy Minister Eric Besson announced on 9 June a meeting of the energy system to assess the consequences of the German decision. He acknowledged that France Info France would be affected "in the short term," deprived of a source of imports, when drought increases the need for electricity."The immediate halt of the seven nuclear plants in Germany removes about 10% of its electricity production", which means that "Germany will no longer be able to export, or much less," said Eric Besson.
The minister also said that delaying the opening of the public inquiry into the proposed EPR nuclear reactor Penly – it was to open on Wednesday 1 June – did not mean a "stop the process of public inquiry to Penly, recalling that President Nicolas Sarkozy had reaffirmed the nuclear option.
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Portugal: two aid plans exist
What is the real plan of assistance to Portugal? Since Friday, the question is on everyone's lips in the country. Doubts have been launched by the third television station in the country, Sic, who spoke of the existence of two different versions of the plan signed by the European Union (EU) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) with the Socialist government resigning.
Thus, a first version of the document, signed May 3 by the Socialist government after talks with the troika (EU, IMF, ECB), has been submitted for approval to the two main opposition parties, the PSD (center right) and CDS (right). But it is another version of the text, including changes in schedule, which was eventually signed officially by the government on May 17 in Brussels at a meeting of EU finance ministers.
A surprise for the opposition
This revelation has caused controversy in the country, forcing the Ministry of Finance to explain. In a memo to reporters, he confirmed the existence of "ad hoc adjustments" between "the draft memorandum of agreement" developed in Lisbon and "the final version signed by the Ministry of Finance, the Governor of the Bank Portugal and the European Commission on May 17 payday loan.
Similarly, the outgoing Prime Minister Jose Socrates said the parties had signed "two documents, one with the European Commission, the other with the IMF, and the final text did the" make compatible . But for its part, the president of PSD, Pedro Passos Coelho says "not having been informed of these differences," which he said "are not just small adjustments."
For the socialist Jose Socrates, this mess falls at the worst time. The Prime Minister, who resigned in March following the rejection by parliament of its austerity program, is indeed a candidate to succeed himself for early parliamentary elections on 5 June. This Saturday, surveys conducted for the newspaper Publico and Expresso weekly show that PSD collects between 33.9 and 35.8% of the vote, beating the Socialist Party, credited with 32.3 to 34.1% of voice. CDS (right) remains in third place with 11.3 to 13.4% of the vote.
(With Agencies)
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Market movements in the outhouse
The lines are moving among specialists support the addiction. Fifteen months after its IPO, the third French player in specialist nursing homes and care facilities on, saw the arrival of a new shareholder in its capital. A shareholder not quite unknown in the health sector, far from it, because it is the family holding Ruggieri Batipart already shares amounting to 23.8% of Korian the second major player side sector.
In a statement, said Batipart have acquired from the BC Partners Funds 9.5% stake in Medica. For this, the holding company has spent about 72.5 million. BC Partners, who wanted to disengage from Medica via IPO in February 2010, also sold 18.6% of the group Medica Covéa (mutual insurance: MAAF, MMA, GMF, etc.)..Following the transaction, BC Partners, which had already reduced its stake in March by selling 14.6% stake, holds longer qu'environde 3% of specialist care dependency.
An opportunity to 'rare'
For this operation, Batipart take this particular situation of the round table Medica. "It is rare to have such a big business opportunity in health," says Nicolas Ruggieri, associate director of Batipart. This entry to the capital allows us to strengthen the sector, the second major strategic Batipart, with real estate. " Among the other listed companies, a withdrawal of investors with holdings as large as that of BC Patners (30.5% at the time of the introduction) is indeed unusual.Since health is seen to hold for the long-term investments are generally in the same same horizon.
Investors semblainet share this enthusiasm Thursday in the Paris Bourse, clinching the title Medica 3% in early trade, to 15.3 euros. "This is clearly a long-term investment from Batipart, says Nicolas Ruggieri." Remains to be seen what position to adopt the new entrant later and wants to eventually take over his new participation. "We do not exclude us strengthen, says Nicolas Ruggieri, but we will not do so significantly, if at night floating Medica, who at nearly 55%, is one of the major advantages of this investment" . Today, the largest shareholder Medica is the life insurance company Prédica, with 11.3% of the round.
Side Medica, little reaction on the operation."The arrival of a new shareholder, a priori known for its investment over time, can only be a good thing," confined to explain Bailet Jacques, CEO of Medica. The group should issue a statement in the morning.
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ICL plans to enter free
LCI she will soon be a free DTT channel? The matter is under study in TF1 wants to preserve one of its jewels. The first group of private television has quietly begun consulting the public to know under what conditions this could be changing.
The proposed solution is the demand in good and due form the High Council of Audiovisual (CSA) changes of the Convention on LCI pay channel free channel. What embarrasses the regulator, because the operation is not without risk and "give rise to litigation," promises an expert of the file.
TF1 pleads for the public interest and diversity of information in television. But critics denounce them, "a substantial modification if it completely changes the LCI media landscape." And everybody will go before the State Council.Government side, we observe with interest the maneuver. The State has to settle the sensitive issue of bonus channels, the passage of free LCI could be a good way to calm the war between TF1, M6 and Canal + since it unveiled its draft Canal20 free channel. In exchange for the rescue of LCI, TF1 calm his opposition to the arrival of new competitors.
Finding new advertising revenue
Canal + has been very clear. This is not about to pay 15 million euros per year for LCI is only CanalSat. Bertrand Meheut, CEO of Canal + 'the info is now free. " Canal + in fact no longer wants to put money on the table to distribute news channel competing with its own channel i-Tele. According to observers, Canal + could just pay 2 million euros per year. This will leave a hole in the finances of LCI.Especially as Numericable is preparing, in turn, reduce by half the fee of 5 million. Consequently, LCI, which is already losing 5.8 million euros for a turnover of 42.7 million must find the money. The news channel is currently negotiating distribution for all IPTV operators but this is not enough to offset the loss of the amount of Canal +.
If LCI chooses to stay free, we must find twenty million of additional advertising revenue to balance its accounts. But the market is crowded by BFM TV which has a total turnover of 34.5 million euros and i-Tele.
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