At The Core
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The euro resumed after "dropping too fast"
Traders have noted an increase in major currencies this past week. As the euro. This Wednesday, June 16, the single currency rating beyond $ 1.23, stable on the day. In ten days, the European currency, which is then treated $ 1.19, won 3.4%, which is a very strong increase in the foreign exchange market.
Yet, the euro had reason to be heckled. The excuse to sell the currency did not in fact missed this week. Even the degradation of the notes by Moody's on Debt Greek Monday, then on the banks of the country, there is nothing. Not more than bad German Zew index. "This renewed appetite for risk has increased since last Thursday following the reassurances of Jean-Claude Trichet, ECB president, analysts said Saxo Bank.The European Central Bank expects growth in the euro zone between 0.7% and 1.3%, against 0.4% and 1.2% previously. The central bank left rates unchanged, while the acceleration of inflation in the euro area was confirmed at 1.6% in May on a year on Wednesday by Eurostat.
So why the euro has appreciated it as much? "The reason is mainly technical: the euro has fallen too quickly in recent weeks, he was catching his breath," says Pierre-Antoine Dusoulier, CEO of Saxo Bank. Other mechanical reason: the falling dollar, which causes the exchange rate euro / dollar rising. However, the dollar has folded. "Historically, there has always been an inverse relationship between the U.S. equity market and the greenback," said the official. Witness the decline of the dollar against the yen, for example.
This trend "is likely to continue at 72 hours – Friday, June 18 – four witches," that famous day will end simultaneously four different products: stock options, index options, futures and stock futures index. Investors still expect that day to extreme volatility. Hence the distrust of investors, which is directly affected by the gold price, rising again, about 1235 dollars an ounce.
But basically, the trend remains bearish, especially as the economic landscape has not changed.
The British currency toped
The pound was a little cup on Wednesday morning, but the trend was clearly upward this past week. The pound was quoted 1.4821 to the dollar early this morning.Either its levels of early May.
The origin of the slowdown, the publication of unemployment figures in Britain. The rate according to ILO (International Labour Office) is lowered to 7.9% in the three months ended in April, against 8% for the three months ended in March, while economists expected a steady rate.
The index of consumer prices in May stood at 3.4% annual rate, down compared to April (3.7%), seems to confirm the inflation targets in Great Britain the BoE (Bank of England), less than 2% by early 2011, provided that the austerity policies of the new government does not impose a further increase in VAT, according to analysts.
Switzerland should remain at a rate of 0.25%
The meeting tomorrow Thursday the Swiss National Bank – Central Bank – should not bring surprises. This should keep its benchmark rate to 0.25%."The SNB could still announce some measures to address liquidity drying up against a risk of inflation induced by its interventions to support the euro, these interventions flooding the market with CHF," says Realtime Forex.
The Swiss franc reached record on record since the end of 2009. Then he had another 1.5 Swiss francs per euro in December, the exchange rate reached 1.3920 désoramis, with a low 1.38 in early June
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In Russia, the Central Bank announced its intention to diversify its reserves by including the Australian dollar and Canadian dollar.
Regarding China, the Middle Kingdom has signed contracts for a thirteen billion euros of Greek companies, when Athens strives to attract foreign capital. Turkey and Arab countries have also seen in Greece.
- The yuan hit record highs
- Wall Street ends sharply lower
- The Tokyo Stock Exchange drops after the earthquake
- The euro at its highest in five months
- Volatility is back in Stock